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Preserving job matches during the Covid-19 pandemic: firm-level evidence on the role of government aid

Author

Listed:
  • Morten Bennedsen
  • Berthe Larsen
  • Ian M. Schmutte
  • Daniela Scur

Abstract

We analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and government policies on firms' aid takeup, layoff and furlough decisions. We collect new survey data for 10,642 small, medium and large Danish firms, and match to government records of all aid-supported furloughed workers during the pandemic as well as administrative accounting data. This is the first representative sample of firms reporting the pandemic's impact on their revenue and labor choices, showing a steep decline in revenue and a strong reported effect of labor aid take-up on lower job separations. Relative to a normal year, 30 percent more firms have experienced revenue declines. Comparing firms' actual layoff and furlough decisions to their reported counterfactual decisions in the absence of aid, we estimate 81,000 fewer workers were laid off and 285,000 workers were furloughed. Our results suggest the aid policy was effective in preserving job matches at the start of the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Morten Bennedsen & Berthe Larsen & Ian M. Schmutte & Daniela Scur, 2020. "Preserving job matches during the Covid-19 pandemic: firm-level evidence on the role of government aid," CEP Occasional Papers 51, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:cep:cepops:51
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; aid packages; firm labor responses;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • M54 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - Labor Management

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