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Firm-bank linkages and optimal policies in a lockdown

Author

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  • Anatoli Segura

    (Banca d’Italia)

  • Alonso Villacorta

    (University of California Santa Cruz)

Abstract

We develop a novel framework featuring loss amplification through firm-bank linkages. We use it to study optimal intervention in a lockdown situation that creates cash shortfalls for firms, which must resort to bank lending. Firms’ increased debt reduces their output due to moral hazard. Banks need safe collateral to raise funds. Without intervention, aggregate risk constrains bank lending, amplifying output losses. Optimal government support provides sufficient aggregate risk insurance, and is implemented through transfers to firms and fairly-priced guarantees on banks’ debt. When aggregate risk is not too large, such guarantees can be financed through a procyclical taxation of firms’ profits.

Suggested Citation

  • Anatoli Segura & Alonso Villacorta, 2021. "Firm-bank linkages and optimal policies in a lockdown," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1343, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1343_21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Pozo & Youel Rojas, 2021. "Unconventional Credit Policy in an Economy under Zero Lower Bound," IHEID Working Papers 14-2021, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
    2. Carlo Altavilla & Andrew Ellul & Marco Pagano & Andrea Polo & Thomas Vlassopoulos, 2021. "Loan Guarantees, Bank Lending and Credit Risk Reallocation," CSEF Working Papers 629, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, revised 30 Jul 2022.
    3. Guo, Wen-Chung & Tseng, Ping-Lun, 2023. "COVID-19, bank risk, and capital regulation: The aggregate shock and social distancing," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 155-173.
    4. Charlie Tchinda & Marcus Dejardin, 2021. "Are Business Policy Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic to Be Equally Valued? An Exploration According to SMEs Owners’ Business Expectations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-42, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid-19; cash shortfall; firms' debt; moral hazard; bank equity; aggregate risk; government interventions.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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