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Concentration-Based Inference for Evaluating Horizontal Mergers

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  • Paul S. Koh

Abstract

Antitrust authorities routinely rely on concentration measures to evaluate the potential negative impacts of mergers. Using a first-order approximation argument with logit and CES demand, I show that the welfare effect of a merger on consumer surplus is proportional to the change in the Herfindahl-Hirschman index, where the proportionality coefficient depends on price responsiveness parameter, market size, and the distribution of merging firms' shares. This paper elucidates how HHI measures inform the market power effects of mergers.

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  • Paul S. Koh, 2024. "Concentration-Based Inference for Evaluating Horizontal Mergers," Papers 2407.12924, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2407.12924
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Miller, Nathan H. & Remer, Marc & Ryan, Conor & Sheu, Gloria, 2017. "Upward pricing pressure as a predictor of merger price effects," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 216-247.
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    7. E. Glen Weyl & Michal Fabinger, 2013. "Pass-Through as an Economic Tool: Principles of Incidence under Imperfect Competition," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 121(3), pages 528-583.
    8. Orley C. Ashenfelter & Daniel S. Hosken & Matthew C. Weinberg, 2015. "Efficiencies brewed: pricing and consolidation in the US beer industry," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 46(2), pages 328-361, June.
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    12. Yossi Spiegel, 2021. "The Herfindahl‐Hirschman Index and the Distribution of Social Surplus," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(3), pages 561-594, September.
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