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Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models

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  • Sara Fish
  • Yannai A. Gonczarowski
  • Ran I. Shorrer

Abstract

The rise of algorithmic pricing raises concerns of algorithmic collusion. We conduct experiments with algorithmic pricing agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs). We find that (1) LLM-based agents are adept at pricing tasks, (2) LLM-based pricing agents autonomously collude in oligopoly settings to the detriment of consumers, and (3) variation in seemingly innocuous phrases in LLM instructions ("prompts") may increase collusion. Novel off-path analysis techniques uncover price-war concerns as contributing to these phenomena. Our results extend to auction settings. Our findings uncover unique challenges to any future regulation of LLM-based pricing agents, and black-box pricing agents more broadly.

Suggested Citation

  • Sara Fish & Yannai A. Gonczarowski & Ran I. Shorrer, 2024. "Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models," Papers 2404.00806, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2404.00806
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Calzolari, Giacomo & Calvano, Emilio & Denicolo, Vincenzo & Pastorello, Sergio, 2021. "Algorithmic collusion with imperfect monitoring," CEPR Discussion Papers 15738, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Arnoud V. den Boer & Janusz M. Meylahn & Maarten Pieter Schinkel, 2022. "Artificial Collusion: Examining Supracompetitive Pricing by Q-learning Algorithms," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-067/VII, Tinbergen Institute.
    3. James W. Friedman, 1971. "A Non-cooperative Equilibrium for Supergames," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 38(1), pages 1-12.
    4. Justin P. Johnson & Andrew Rhodes & Matthijs Wildenbeest, 2023. "Platform Design When Sellers Use Pricing Algorithms," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(5), pages 1841-1879, September.
    5. Timo Klein, 2021. "Autonomous algorithmic collusion: Q‐learning under sequential pricing," RAND Journal of Economics, RAND Corporation, vol. 52(3), pages 538-558, September.
    6. Joseph E Harrington, 2018. "Developing Competition Law For Collusion By Autonomous Artificial Agents," Journal of Competition Law and Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 331-363.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ryan Y. Lin & Siddhartha Ojha & Kevin Cai & Maxwell F. Chen, 2024. "Strategic Collusion of LLM Agents: Market Division in Multi-Commodity Competitions," Papers 2410.00031, arXiv.org.

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