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Leveraging Vision-Language Models for Granular Market Change Prediction

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  • Christopher Wimmer
  • Navid Rekabsaz

Abstract

Predicting future direction of stock markets using the historical data has been a fundamental component in financial forecasting. This historical data contains the information of a stock in each specific time span, such as the opening, closing, lowest, and highest price. Leveraging this data, the future direction of the market is commonly predicted using various time-series models such as Long-Short Term Memory networks. This work proposes modeling and predicting market movements with a fundamentally new approach, namely by utilizing image and byte-based number representation of the stock data processed with the recently introduced Vision-Language models. We conduct a large set of experiments on the hourly stock data of the German share index and evaluate various architectures on stock price prediction using historical stock data. We conduct a comprehensive evaluation of the results with various metrics to accurately depict the actual performance of various approaches. Our evaluation results show that our novel approach based on representation of stock data as text (bytes) and image significantly outperforms strong deep learning-based baselines.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher Wimmer & Navid Rekabsaz, 2023. "Leveraging Vision-Language Models for Granular Market Change Prediction," Papers 2301.10166, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2301.10166
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.10166
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nikolaos Passalis & Anastasios Tefas & Juho Kanniainen & Moncef Gabbouj & Alexandros Iosifidis, 2019. "Deep Adaptive Input Normalization for Time Series Forecasting," Papers 1902.07892, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.
    2. Tae Wan Kim & Matloob Khushi, 2020. "Portfolio Optimization with 2D Relative-Attentional Gated Transformer," Papers 2101.03138, arXiv.org.
    3. Mukul Jaggi & Priyanka Mandal & Shreya Narang & Usman Naseem & Matloob Khushi, 2021. "Text Mining of Stocktwits Data for Predicting Stock Prices," Papers 2103.16388, arXiv.org.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yuzhe Yang & Yifei Zhang & Yan Hu & Yilin Guo & Ruoli Gan & Yueru He & Mingcong Lei & Xiao Zhang & Haining Wang & Qianqian Xie & Jimin Huang & Honghai Yu & Benyou Wang, 2024. "UCFE: A User-Centric Financial Expertise Benchmark for Large Language Models," Papers 2410.14059, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    2. Yuqi Nie & Yaxuan Kong & Xiaowen Dong & John M. Mulvey & H. Vincent Poor & Qingsong Wen & Stefan Zohren, 2024. "A Survey of Large Language Models for Financial Applications: Progress, Prospects and Challenges," Papers 2406.11903, arXiv.org.

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