IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2205.07563.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Resemblance of the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian and nonlinear point processes

Author

Listed:
  • Aleksejus Kononovicius
  • Rytis Kazakeviv{c}ius
  • Bronislovas Kaulakys

Abstract

We analyze the statistical properties of a temporal point process driven by a confined fractional Brownian motion. The event count distribution and power spectral density of this non--Markovian point process exhibit power--law scaling. We show that a nonlinear Markovian point process can reproduce the same scaling behavior. This result indicates a possible link between nonlinearity and apparent non--Markovian behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksejus Kononovicius & Rytis Kazakeviv{c}ius & Bronislovas Kaulakys, 2022. "Resemblance of the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian and nonlinear point processes," Papers 2205.07563, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2205.07563
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2205.07563
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth, 2012. "Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 8457, December.
    2. Vygintas Gontis & Bronislovas Kaulakys, 2003. "Multiplicative point process as a model of trading activity," Papers cond-mat/0303089, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2004.
    3. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth, 2012. "Extensions of temperature and wind speed models," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives, chapter 6, pages 139-155, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. V. Gontis & A. Kononovicius, 2014. "Consentaneous agent-based and stochastic model of the financial markets," Papers 1403.1574, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2014.
    5. Li, Zhongping & Cui, Lirong & Chen, Jianhui, 2018. "Traffic accident modelling via self-exciting point processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 312-320.
    6. Giraitis, Liudas & Robinson, Peter M. & Surgailis, Donatas, 2000. "A model for long memory conditional heteroscedasticity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 299, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Jaume Masoliver & Katja Lindenberg, 2017. "Continuous time persistent random walk: a review and some generalizations," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 90(6), pages 1-13, June.
    8. Rytis Kazakevicius & Aleksejus Kononovicius & Bronislovas Kaulakys & Vygintas Gontis, 2021. "Understanding the nature of the long-range memory phenomenon in socioeconomic systems," Papers 2108.02506, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    9. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    10. Vygintas Gontis & Aleksejus Kononovicius, 2014. "Consentaneous Agent-Based and Stochastic Model of the Financial Markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(7), pages 1-12, July.
    11. R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
    12. Kononovicius, A. & Gontis, V., 2012. "Agent based reasoning for the non-linear stochastic models of long-range memory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1309-1314.
    13. Akinlar, M.A. & Inc, Mustafa & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Boutarfa, B., 2020. "Solutions of a disease model with fractional white noise," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    14. Fred Espen Benth & Jūratė Šaltytė Benth, 2012. "Financial markets for weather," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives, chapter 1, pages 1-13, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    15. Ben Hambly & Jasdeep Kalsi & James Newbury, 2020. "Limit Order Books, Diffusion Approximations and Reflected SPDEs: From Microscopic to Macroscopic Models," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-2), pages 132-170, July.
    16. Liudas Giraitis & Remigijus Leipus & Donatas Surgailis, 2007. "Recent Advances in ARCH Modelling," Springer Books, in: Gilles Teyssière & Alan P. Kirman (ed.), Long Memory in Economics, pages 3-38, Springer.
    17. Michelitsch, Thomas M. & Riascos, Alejandro P., 2020. "Continuous time random walk and diffusion with generalized fractional Poisson process," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    18. Gontis, V. & Kaulakys, B., 2004. "Multiplicative point process as a model of trading activity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 505-514.
    19. Gontis, V. & Ruseckas, J. & Kononovičius, A., 2010. "A long-range memory stochastic model of the return in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(1), pages 100-106.
    20. Giraitis, Liudas & Robinson, Peter & Surgailis, Donatas, 2000. "A model for long memory conditional heteroscedasticity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2103, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    21. Kiyoshi Kanazawa & Didier Sornette, 2021. "Ubiquitous power law scaling in nonlinear self-excited Hawkes processes," Papers 2102.00242, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    22. Kaulakys, Bronislovas & Ruseckas, Julius & Gontis, Vygintas & Alaburda, Miglius, 2006. "Nonlinear stochastic models of 1/f noise and power-law distributions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 365(1), pages 217-221.
    23. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Eliazar, Iddo, 2023. "Spectral design of anomalous diffusion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 626(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kononovicius, Aleksejus & Kazakevičius, Rytis & Kaulakys, Bronislovas, 2022. "Resemblance of the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian and nonlinear point processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    2. Rytis Kazakevicius & Aleksejus Kononovicius & Bronislovas Kaulakys & Vygintas Gontis, 2021. "Understanding the nature of the long-range memory phenomenon in socioeconomic systems," Papers 2108.02506, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    3. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Julius Ruseckas, 2014. "Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise," Papers 1412.6244, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
    4. Kononovicius, A. & Ruseckas, J., 2015. "Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 427(C), pages 74-81.
    5. Gontis, V. & Havlin, S. & Kononovicius, A. & Podobnik, B. & Stanley, H.E., 2016. "Stochastic model of financial markets reproducing scaling and memory in volatility return intervals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 1091-1102.
    6. Vygintas Gontis & Shlomo Havlin & Aleksejus Kononovicius & Boris Podobnik & H. Eugene Stanley, 2015. "Stochastic model of financial markets reproducing scaling and memory in volatility return intervals," Papers 1507.05203, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
    7. Liudas Giraitis & Donatas Surgailis & Andrius Škarnulis, 2015. "Integrated ARCH, FIGARCH and AR Models: Origins of Long Memory," Working Papers 766, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    8. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Vygintas Gontis & Valentas Daniunas, 2012. "Agent-based Versus Macroscopic Modeling of Competition and Business Processes in Economics and Finance," Papers 1202.3533, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2012.
    9. Liudas Giraitis & Donatas Surgailis & Andrius Škarnulis, 2015. "Integrated ARCH, FIGARCH and AR Models: Origins of Long Memory," Working Papers 766, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
    10. Vygintas Gontis & Aleksejus Kononovicius & Stefan Reimann, 2012. "The class of nonlinear stochastic models as a background for the bursty behavior in financial markets," Papers 1201.3083, arXiv.org, revised May 2012.
    11. Dmitri Koulikov, 2002. "Modeling Sequences of Long Memory Positive Weakly Stationary Random Variables," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 493, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    12. Vygintas Gontis & Aleksejus Kononovicius, 2014. "Consentaneous Agent-Based and Stochastic Model of the Financial Markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(7), pages 1-12, July.
    13. Christian FRANCQ & Jean-Michel ZAKOIAN, 2009. "Properties of the QMLE and the Weighted LSE for LARCH(q) Models," Working Papers 2009-19, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    14. Christopher M Wray & Steven R Bishop, 2016. "A Financial Market Model Incorporating Herd Behaviour," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-28, March.
    15. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Bronislovas Kaulakys, 2022. "$1/f$ noise from the sequence of nonoverlapping rectangular pulses," Papers 2210.11792, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    16. Arteche, Josu, 2004. "Gaussian semiparametric estimation in long memory in stochastic volatility and signal plus noise models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 131-154, March.
    17. Giraitis, Liudas & Leipus, Remigijus & Robinson, Peter M. & Surgailis, Donatas, 2004. "LARCH, leverage, and long memory," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 294, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Liudas Giraitis & Remigijus Leipus & Peter M Robinson & Donatas Surgailis, 2003. "LARCH, Leverage and Long Memory," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series 460, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE.
    19. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Julius Ruseckas, 2018. "Order book model with herd behavior exhibiting long-range memory," Papers 1809.02772, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
    20. Francq, Christian & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2010. "Inconsistency of the MLE and inference based on weighted LS for LARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 151-165, November.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2205.07563. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.