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Solutions of a disease model with fractional white noise

Author

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  • Akinlar, M.A.
  • Inc, Mustafa
  • Gómez-Aguilar, J.F.
  • Boutarfa, B.

Abstract

We consider an epidemic disease system by an additive fractional white noise to show that epidemic diseases may be more competently modeled in the fractional-stochastic settings than the ones modeled by deterministic differential equations. We generate a new SIRS model and perturb it to the fractional-stochastic systems. We study chaotic behavior at disease-free and endemic steady-state points on these systems. We also numerically solve the fractional-stochastic systems by an trapezoidal rule and an Euler type numerical method. We also associate the SIRS model with fractional Brownian motion by Wick product and determine numerical and explicit solutions of the resulting system. There is no SIRS-type model which considers fractional epidemic disease models with fractional white noise or Wick product settings which makes the paper totally a new contribution to the related science.

Suggested Citation

  • Akinlar, M.A. & Inc, Mustafa & Gómez-Aguilar, J.F. & Boutarfa, B., 2020. "Solutions of a disease model with fractional white noise," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:137:y:2020:i:c:s096007792030240x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109840
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Rytis Kazakeviv{c}ius & Bronislovas Kaulakys, 2022. "Resemblance of the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian and nonlinear point processes," Papers 2205.07563, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    2. Xin, Baogui & Peng, Wei & Kwon, Yekyung, 2020. "A discrete fractional-order Cournot duopoly game," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 558(C).
    3. Kononovicius, Aleksejus & Kazakevičius, Rytis & Kaulakys, Bronislovas, 2022. "Resemblance of the power-law scaling behavior of a non-Markovian and nonlinear point processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    4. Adak, Debadatta & Majumder, Abhijit & Bairagi, Nandadulal, 2021. "Mathematical perspective of Covid-19 pandemic: Disease extinction criteria in deterministic and stochastic models," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    5. Fei Gao & Shuaiqiang Liu & Cornelis W. Oosterlee & Nico M. Temme, 2022. "Solution of integrals with fractional Brownian motion for different Hurst indices," Papers 2203.02323, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2022.
    6. Vasile Brătian & Ana-Maria Acu & Camelia Oprean-Stan & Emil Dinga & Gabriela-Mariana Ionescu, 2021. "Efficient or Fractal Market Hypothesis? A Stock Indexes Modelling Using Geometric Brownian Motion and Geometric Fractional Brownian Motion," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(22), pages 1-20, November.

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