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Agent-based Versus Macroscopic Modeling of Competition and Business Processes in Economics and Finance

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  • Aleksejus Kononovicius
  • Vygintas Gontis
  • Valentas Daniunas

Abstract

We present examples of agent-based and stochastic models of competition and business processes in economics and finance. We start from as simple as possible models, which have microscopic, agent-based, versions and macroscopic treatment in behavior. Microscopic and macroscopic versions of herding model proposed by Kirman and Bass diffusion of new products are considered in this contribution as two basic ideas. Further we demonstrate that general herding behavior can be considered as a background of nonlinear stochastic model of financial fluctuations.

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  • Aleksejus Kononovicius & Vygintas Gontis & Valentas Daniunas, 2012. "Agent-based Versus Macroscopic Modeling of Competition and Business Processes in Economics and Finance," Papers 1202.3533, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2012.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1202.3533
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kirman Alan & Teyssière Gilles, 2002. "Microeconomic Models for Long Memory in the Volatility of Financial Time Series," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(4), pages 1-23, January.
    2. Vygintas Gontis & Bronislovas Kaulakys, 2003. "Multiplicative point process as a model of trading activity," Papers cond-mat/0303089, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2004.
    3. Alan Kirman, 1993. "Ants, Rationality, and Recruitment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(1), pages 137-156.
    4. Kononovicius, A. & Gontis, V., 2012. "Agent based reasoning for the non-linear stochastic models of long-range memory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1309-1314.
    5. Alfarano, Simone & Lux, Thomas & Wagner, Friedrich, 2008. "Time variation of higher moments in a financial market with heterogeneous agents: An analytical approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 101-136, January.
    6. Frank M. Bass, 1969. "A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 15(5), pages 215-227, January.
    7. J. Doyne Farmer & Duncan Foley, 2009. "The economy needs agent-based modelling," Nature, Nature, vol. 460(7256), pages 685-686, August.
    8. Gontis, V. & Kaulakys, B., 2004. "Multiplicative point process as a model of trading activity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 343(C), pages 505-514.
    9. Kaulakys, Bronislovas & Ruseckas, Julius & Gontis, Vygintas & Alaburda, Miglius, 2006. "Nonlinear stochastic models of 1/f noise and power-law distributions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 365(1), pages 217-221.
    10. Simone Alfarano & Thomas Lux & Friedrich Wagner, 2005. "Estimation of Agent-Based Models: The Case of an Asymmetric Herding Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 26(1), pages 19-49, August.
    11. Gontis, V. & Kaulakys, B. & Ruseckas, J., 2008. "Trading activity as driven Poisson process: Comparison with empirical data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3891-3896.
    12. M. Cristelli & L. Pietronero & A. Zaccaria, 2011. "Critical Overview of Agent-Based Models for Economics," Papers 1101.1847, arXiv.org.
    13. R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
    14. V. Gontis & B. Kaulakys, 2006. "Long-range memory model of trading activity and volatility," Papers physics/0606115, arXiv.org.
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    Cited by:

    1. Vygintas Gontis & Aleksejus Kononovicius, 2013. "Fluctuation analysis of the three agent groups herding model," Papers 1305.5958, arXiv.org.
    2. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Vygintas Gontis, 2012. "Three-state herding model of the financial markets," Papers 1210.1838, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2013.
    3. Vygintas Gontis & Aleksejus Kononovicius, 2014. "Consentaneous Agent-Based and Stochastic Model of the Financial Markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(7), pages 1-12, July.
    4. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Julius Ruseckas, 2018. "Order book model with herd behavior exhibiting long-range memory," Papers 1809.02772, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
    5. Kononovicius, Aleksejus & Ruseckas, Julius, 2019. "Order book model with herd behavior exhibiting long-range memory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 171-191.
    6. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Valentas Daniunas, 2013. "Agent-based and macroscopic modeling of the complex socio-economic systems," Papers 1303.3693, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.

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