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Stock price prediction using BERT and GAN

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  • Priyank Sonkiya
  • Vikas Bajpai
  • Anukriti Bansal

Abstract

The stock market has been a popular topic of interest in the recent past. The growth in the inflation rate has compelled people to invest in the stock and commodity markets and other areas rather than saving. Further, the ability of Deep Learning models to make predictions on the time series data has been proven time and again. Technical analysis on the stock market with the help of technical indicators has been the most common practice among traders and investors. One more aspect is the sentiment analysis - the emotion of the investors that shows the willingness to invest. A variety of techniques have been used by people around the globe involving basic Machine Learning and Neural Networks. Ranging from the basic linear regression to the advanced neural networks people have experimented with all possible techniques to predict the stock market. It's evident from recent events how news and headlines affect the stock markets and cryptocurrencies. This paper proposes an ensemble of state-of-the-art methods for predicting stock prices. Firstly sentiment analysis of the news and the headlines for the company Apple Inc, listed on the NASDAQ is performed using a version of BERT, which is a pre-trained transformer model by Google for Natural Language Processing (NLP). Afterward, a Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) predicts the stock price for Apple Inc using the technical indicators, stock indexes of various countries, some commodities, and historical prices along with the sentiment scores. Comparison is done with baseline models like - Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), vanilla GAN, and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model.

Suggested Citation

  • Priyank Sonkiya & Vikas Bajpai & Anukriti Bansal, 2021. "Stock price prediction using BERT and GAN," Papers 2107.09055, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2107.09055
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hedayati , Amin & Hedayati , Moein & Esfandyari, Morteza, 2016. "Stock market index prediction using artificial neural network," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 21(41), pages 89-93.
    2. Mojtaba Nabipour & Pooyan Nayyeri & Hamed Jabani & Amir Mosavi, 2020. "Deep learning for Stock Market Prediction," Papers 2004.01497, arXiv.org.
    3. Pekka Malo & Ankur Sinha & Pekka Korhonen & Jyrki Wallenius & Pyry Takala, 2014. "Good debt or bad debt: Detecting semantic orientations in economic texts," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 65(4), pages 782-796, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aradhana Saxena & A. Santhanavijayan & Harish Kumar Shakya & Gyanendra Kumar & Balamurugan Balusamy & Francesco Benedetto, 2024. "Nested Sentiment Analysis for ESG Impact: Leveraging FinBERT to Predict Market Dynamics Based on Eco-Friendly and Non-Eco-Friendly Product Perceptions with Explainable AI," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-22, October.
    2. Jinan Zou & Qingying Zhao & Yang Jiao & Haiyao Cao & Yanxi Liu & Qingsen Yan & Ehsan Abbasnejad & Lingqiao Liu & Javen Qinfeng Shi, 2022. "Stock Market Prediction via Deep Learning Techniques: A Survey," Papers 2212.12717, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    3. Yanzhao Zou & Dorien Herremans, 2022. "PreBit -- A multimodal model with Twitter FinBERT embeddings for extreme price movement prediction of Bitcoin," Papers 2206.00648, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    4. Fateme Shahabi Nejad & Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh, 2023. "Stock market forecasting using DRAGAN and feature matching," Papers 2301.05693, arXiv.org.
    5. Jingyi Gu & Fadi P. Deek & Guiling Wang, 2023. "Stock Broad-Index Trend Patterns Learning via Domain Knowledge Informed Generative Network," Papers 2302.14164, arXiv.org.
    6. Yuze Lu & Hailong Zhang & Qiwen Guo, 2023. "Stock and market index prediction using Informer network," Papers 2305.14382, arXiv.org.
    7. Liping Wang & Jiawei Li & Lifan Zhao & Zhizhuo Kou & Xiaohan Wang & Xinyi Zhu & Hao Wang & Yanyan Shen & Lei Chen, 2023. "Methods for Acquiring and Incorporating Knowledge into Stock Price Prediction: A Survey," Papers 2308.04947, arXiv.org.
    8. Duygu Ider & Stefan Lessmann, 2022. "Forecasting Cryptocurrency Returns from Sentiment Signals: An Analysis of BERT Classifiers and Weak Supervision," Papers 2204.05781, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    9. Paul Bilokon & Yitao Qiu, 2023. "Transformers versus LSTMs for electronic trading," Papers 2309.11400, arXiv.org.

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