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Distributionally robust portfolio maximisation and marginal utility pricing in one period financial markets

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  • Jan Obloj
  • Johannes Wiesel

Abstract

We consider the optimal investment and marginal utility pricing problem of a risk averse agent and quantify their exposure to a small amount of model uncertainty. Specifically, we compute explicitly the first-order sensitivity of their value function, optimal investment policy and marginal option prices to model uncertainty. The latter is understood as replacing a baseline model $\mathbb{P}$ with an adverse choice from a small Wasserstein ball around $\mathbb{P}$ in the space of probability measures. Our sensitivities are thus fully non-parametric. We show that the results entangle the baseline model specification and the agent's risk attitudes. The sensitivities can behave in a non-monotone way as a function of the baseline model's Sharpe's ratio, the relative weighting of assets in an agent's portfolio can change and marginal prices can increase when an agent faces model uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Obloj & Johannes Wiesel, 2021. "Distributionally robust portfolio maximisation and marginal utility pricing in one period financial markets," Papers 2105.00935, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2105.00935
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    Cited by:

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    4. Ariel Neufeld & Julian Sester & Mario Šikić, 2023. "Markov decision processes under model uncertainty," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 618-665, July.
    5. Daniel Bartl & Johannes Wiesel, 2022. "Sensitivity of multiperiod optimization problems in adapted Wasserstein distance," Papers 2208.05656, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    6. Alexander M. G. Cox & Annemarie M. Grass, 2023. "Robust option pricing with volatility term structure -- An empirical study for variance options," Papers 2312.09201, arXiv.org.
    7. H'el`ene Halconruy, 2021. "The insider problem in the trinomial model: a discrete-time jump process approach," Papers 2106.15208, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    8. Ariel Neufeld & Matthew Ng Cheng En & Ying Zhang, 2024. "Robust SGLD algorithm for solving non-convex distributionally robust optimisation problems," Papers 2403.09532, arXiv.org.
    9. Jan Obłój & Johannes Wiesel, 2021. "Distributionally robust portfolio maximization and marginal utility pricing in one period financial markets," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1454-1493, October.
    10. Laurence Carassus & Johannes Wiesel, 2023. "Strategies with minimal norm are optimal for expected utility maximization under high model ambiguity," Papers 2306.01503, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    11. Ariel Neufeld & Julian Sester, 2024. "Non-concave distributionally robust stochastic control in a discrete time finite horizon setting," Papers 2404.05230, arXiv.org.

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