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Model Uncertainty, Recalibration, and the Emergence of Delta-Vega Hedging

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  • Sebastian Herrmann
  • Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Abstract

We study option pricing and hedging with uncertainty about a Black-Scholes reference model which is dynamically recalibrated to the market price of a liquidly traded vanilla option. For dynamic trading in the underlying asset and this vanilla option, delta-vega hedging is asymptotically optimal in the limit for small uncertainty aversion. The corresponding indifference price corrections are determined by the disparity between the vegas, gammas, vannas, and volgas of the non-traded and the liquidly traded options.

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  • Sebastian Herrmann & Johannes Muhle-Karbe, 2017. "Model Uncertainty, Recalibration, and the Emergence of Delta-Vega Hedging," Papers 1704.04524, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1704.04524
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    2. Julio Backhoff-Veraguas & Daniel Bartl & Mathias Beiglbock & Manu Eder, 2019. "Adapted Wasserstein Distances and Stability in Mathematical Finance," Papers 1901.07450, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    3. Daniel Bartl & Ariel Neufeld & Kyunghyun Park, 2023. "Sensitivity of robust optimization problems under drift and volatility uncertainty," Papers 2311.11248, arXiv.org.
    4. Ariel Neufeld & Matthew Ng Cheng En & Ying Zhang, 2024. "Robust SGLD algorithm for solving non-convex distributionally robust optimisation problems," Papers 2403.09532, arXiv.org.
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    6. Alexander M. G. Cox & Annemarie M. Grass, 2023. "Robust option pricing with volatility term structure -- An empirical study for variance options," Papers 2312.09201, arXiv.org.
    7. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2018. "A risk-neutral equilibrium leading to uncertain volatility pricing," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 281-295, April.

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