IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2011.08620.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Static Hedging of Weather and Price Risks in Electricity Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Pantoja Robayo

    (School of Economics and Finance, Universidad EAFIT. Medellin, Colombia)

  • Juan C. Vera

    (Tilburg School of Economics and Management, Tilburg University, The Netherlands)

Abstract

We present the closed-form solution to the problem of hedging price and quantity risks for energy retailers (ER), using financial instruments based on electricity price and weather indexes. Our model considers an ER who is intermediary in a regulated electricity market. ERs buy a fixed quantity of electricity at a variable cost and must serve a variable demand at a fixed cost. Thus ERs are subject to both price and quantity risks. To hedge such risks, an ER could construct a portfolio of financial instruments based on price and weather indexes. We construct the closed form solution for the optimal portfolio for the mean-Var model in the discrete setting. Our model does not make any distributional assumption.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Pantoja Robayo & Juan C. Vera, 2020. "Static Hedging of Weather and Price Risks in Electricity Markets," Papers 2011.08620, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.08620
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2011.08620
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Campbell, Rachel & Huisman, Ronald & Koedijk, Kees, 2001. "Optimal portfolio selection in a Value-at-Risk framework," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 1789-1804, September.
    2. Kostas Andriosopoulos & Nikos Nomikos, 2015. "Risk management in the energy markets and Value-at-Risk modelling: a hybrid approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(7), pages 548-574, May.
    3. P. Carr & D. Madan, 2001. "Optimal positioning in derivative securities," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 19-37.
    4. Sébastien Chaumont & Peter Imkeller & Matthias Müller & Ulrich Horst, 2005. "A Simple Model for Trading Climate Risk," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 74(2), pages 175-195.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Javier Orlando Pantoja Robayo & Andrea Roncoroni, 2012. "Optimal Static Hedging of Energy Price and Volume Risk: Closed-Form Results," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10668, Universidad EAFIT.
    2. Lee, Yongheon & Oren, Shmuel S., 2009. "An equilibrium pricing model for weather derivatives in a multi-commodity setting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 702-713, September.
    3. Alessia Naccarato & Andrea Pierini & Giovanna Ferraro, 2021. "Markowitz portfolio optimization through pairs trading cointegrated strategy in long-term investment," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 81-99, April.
    4. Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2023. "Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data," Papers 2304.12450, arXiv.org.
    5. Hongzhong Zhang, 2018. "Stochastic Drawdowns," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 10078, December.
    6. Boswijk, H. Peter & Laeven, Roger J.A. & Vladimirov, Evgenii, 2024. "Estimating option pricing models using a characteristic function-based linear state space representation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(1).
    7. Todorov, Viktor & Zhang, Yang, 2023. "Bias reduction in spot volatility estimation from options," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 53-81.
    8. Silva, A. Christian & Prange, Richard E., 2007. "Virtual volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 376(C), pages 507-516.
    9. Jeroen Rombouts & Marno Verbeek, 2009. "Evaluating portfolio Value-at-Risk using semi-parametric GARCH models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(6), pages 737-745.
    10. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2018. "On the interdependence of natural gas and stock markets under structural breaks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 149-161.
    11. Bertrand, Philippe & Prigent, Jean-luc, 2016. "Equilibrium of financial derivative markets under portfolio insurance constraints," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 278-291.
    12. Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping & Tang, Ling & Wu, Dengsheng, 2012. "Identifying the risk-return tradeoff and exploring the dynamic risk exposure of country portfolio of the FSU's oil economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2494-2503.
    13. Fouad Ben Abdelaziz & Ray Saadaoui Mallek, 2018. "Multi-criteria optimal stopping methods applied to the portfolio optimisation problem," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 267(1), pages 29-46, August.
    14. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
    15. Alexander, Gordon J. & Baptista, Alexandre M. & Yan, Shu, 2014. "Bank regulation and international financial stability: A case against the 2006 Basel framework for controlling tail risk in trading books," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 107-130.
    16. Hentati-Kaffel, R. & Prigent, J.-L., 2016. "Optimal positioning in financial derivatives under mixture distributions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PA), pages 115-124.
    17. Pengyu Wei & Zuo Quan Xu, 2021. "Dynamic growth-optimum portfolio choice under risk control," Papers 2112.14451, arXiv.org.
    18. Jin-Chuan Duan & Weiqi Zhang, 2014. "Forward-Looking Market Risk Premium," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(2), pages 521-538, February.
    19. Rania HENTATI & Jean-Luc PRIGENT, 2010. "Structured Portfolio Analysis under SharpeOmega Ratio," EcoMod2010 259600073, EcoMod.
    20. repec:dau:papers:123456789/9296 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Philippe Bacchetta & Cédric Tille & Eric van Wincoop, 2012. "Self-Fulfilling Risk Panics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(7), pages 3674-3700, December.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2011.08620. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.