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Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data

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  • Carsten H. Chong
  • Viktor Todorov

Abstract

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of the increment of the underlying process and the time gap between evaluating the conditional characteristic function are shrinking. The spot semimartingale characteristics of the underlying process as well as their spot semimartingale characteristics appear as leading terms in the derived asymptotic expansions. The analysis applies to a general class of It\^o semimartingales that includes in particular L\'evy-driven SDEs and time-changed L\'evy processes. The asymptotic expansion results are of direct use for constructing nonparametric estimates pertaining to the stochastic volatility dynamics of an asset from high-frequency data of options written on the underlying asset.

Suggested Citation

  • Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2023. "Asymptotic Expansions for High-Frequency Option Data," Papers 2304.12450, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.12450
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ilze Kalnina & Dacheng Xiu, 2017. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Leverage Effect: A Trade-Off Between Robustness and Efficiency," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(517), pages 384-396, January.
    2. Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2023. "Volatility of Volatility and Leverage Effect from Options," Papers 2305.04137, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    3. Simona Sanfelici & Imma Valentina Curato & Maria Elvira Mancino, 2015. "High-frequency volatility of volatility estimation free from spot volatility estimates," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(8), pages 1331-1345, August.
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    7. Johannes Muhle-Karbe & Marcel Nutz, 2010. "Small-Time Asymptotics of Option Prices and First Absolute Moments," Papers 1006.2294, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2011.
    8. Giacomo Toscano & Giulia Livieri & Maria Elvira Mancino & Stefano Marmi, 2021. "Volatility of volatility estimation: central limit theorems for the Fourier transform estimator and empirical study of the daily time series stylized facts," Papers 2112.14529, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    9. Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2022. "Short-time expansion of characteristic functions in a rough volatility setting with applications," Papers 2208.00830, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    10. Todorov, Viktor, 2021. "Higher-order small time asymptotic expansion of Itô semimartingale characteristic function with application to estimation of leverage from options," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 671-705.
    11. Jim Gatheral & Thibault Jaisson & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2018. "Volatility is rough," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 933-949, June.
    12. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Jianqing Fan & Roger J. A. Laeven & Christina Dan Wang & Xiye Yang, 2017. "Estimation of the Continuous and Discontinuous Leverage Effects," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(520), pages 1744-1758, October.
    13. Li, Yingying & Liu, Guangying & Zhang, Zhiyuan, 2022. "Volatility of volatility: Estimation and tests based on noisy high frequency data with jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 229(2), pages 422-451.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carsten H. Chong & Viktor Todorov, 2023. "Volatility of Volatility and Leverage Effect from Options," Papers 2305.04137, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    2. Chong, Carsten H. & Todorov, Viktor, 2024. "Volatility of volatility and leverage effect from options," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).

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