IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1912.02151.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

High Dimensional Latent Panel Quantile Regression with an Application to Asset Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandre Belloni

    (Kevin)

  • Mingli Chen

    (Kevin)

  • Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

    (Kevin)

  • Zixuan

    (Kevin)

  • Wang

Abstract

We propose a generalization of the linear panel quantile regression model to accommodate both \textit{sparse} and \textit{dense} parts: sparse means while the number of covariates available is large, potentially only a much smaller number of them have a nonzero impact on each conditional quantile of the response variable; while the dense part is represent by a low-rank matrix that can be approximated by latent factors and their loadings. Such a structure poses problems for traditional sparse estimators, such as the $\ell_1$-penalised Quantile Regression, and for traditional latent factor estimator, such as PCA. We propose a new estimation procedure, based on the ADMM algorithm, consists of combining the quantile loss function with $\ell_1$ \textit{and} nuclear norm regularization. We show, under general conditions, that our estimator can consistently estimate both the nonzero coefficients of the covariates and the latent low-rank matrix. Our proposed model has a "Characteristics + Latent Factors" Asset Pricing Model interpretation: we apply our model and estimator with a large-dimensional panel of financial data and find that (i) characteristics have sparser predictive power once latent factors were controlled (ii) the factors and coefficients at upper and lower quantiles are different from the median.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Belloni & Mingli Chen & Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla & Zixuan & Wang, 2019. "High Dimensional Latent Panel Quantile Regression with an Application to Asset Pricing," Papers 1912.02151, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1912.02151
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1912.02151
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2021. "Economic Predictions With Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2409-2437, September.
    2. Stephen A. Ross, 2013. "The Arbitrage Theory of Capital Asset Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 1, pages 11-30, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Galvao, Antonio F. & Kato, Kengo, 2016. "Smoothed quantile regression for panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 92-112.
    4. Bai, Jushan & Ng, Serena, 2013. "Principal components estimation and identification of static factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 18-29.
    5. Kato, Kengo & F. Galvao, Antonio & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel V., 2012. "Asymptotics for panel quantile regression models with individual effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(1), pages 76-91.
    6. Kozak, Serhiy & Nagel, Stefan & Santosh, Shrihari, 2020. "Shrinking the cross-section," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 271-292.
    7. Y. She & K. Chen, 2017. "Robust reduced-rank regression," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 104(3), pages 633-647.
    8. Guanhao Feng & Stefano Giglio & Dacheng Xiu, 2020. "Taming the Factor Zoo: A Test of New Factors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(3), pages 1327-1370, June.
    9. Susan Athey & Mohsen Bayati & Nikolay Doudchenko & Guido Imbens & Khashayar Khosravi, 2021. "Matrix Completion Methods for Causal Panel Data Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 116(536), pages 1716-1730, October.
    10. Liang Chen & Juan J. Dolado & Jesús Gonzalo, 2021. "Quantile Factor Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 875-910, March.
    11. Ma, Shujie & Linton, Oliver & Gao, Jiti, 2021. "Estimation and inference in semiparametric quantile factor models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 295-323.
    12. Graham, Bryan S. & Hahn, Jinyong & Poirier, Alexandre & Powell, James L., 2018. "A quantile correlated random coefficients panel data model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 206(2), pages 305-335.
    13. Daniel, Kent & Titman, Sheridan, 1997. "Evidence on the Characteristics of Cross Sectional Variation in Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 1-33, March.
    14. Stefano Giglio & Dacheng Xiu, 2021. "Asset Pricing with Omitted Factors," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(7), pages 1947-1990.
    15. Chamberlain, Gary & Rothschild, Michael, 1983. "Arbitrage, Factor Structure, and Mean-Variance Analysis on Large Asset Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 51(5), pages 1281-1304, September.
    16. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    17. Arnak S. Dalalyan & Mohamed Hebiri & Johannes Lederer, 2014. "On the Prediction Performance of the Lasso," Working Papers 2014-05, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    18. Galvao Jr., Antonio F., 2011. "Quantile regression for dynamic panel data with fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 142-157, September.
    19. Yuanshan Wu & Guosheng Yin, 2015. "Conditional quantile screening in ultrahigh-dimensional heterogeneous data," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 102(1), pages 65-76.
    20. John H. Cochrane, 2011. "Presidential Address: Discount Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(4), pages 1047-1108, August.
    21. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2021. "Matrix Completion, Counterfactuals, and Factor Analysis of Missing Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 116(536), pages 1746-1763, October.
    22. Lettau, Martin & Pelger, Markus, 2020. "Estimating latent asset-pricing factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 1-31.
    23. Koenker, Roger, 2004. "Quantile regression for longitudinal data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 74-89, October.
    24. Abrevaya, Jason & Dahl, Christian M, 2008. "The Effects of Birth Inputs on Birthweight," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 26, pages 379-397.
    25. Connor, Gregory & Korajczyk, Robert A., 1988. "Risk and return in an equilibrium APT : Application of a new test methodology," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 255-289, September.
    26. Junlong Feng, 2019. "Regularized Quantile Regression with Interactive Fixed Effects," Papers 1911.00166, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    27. Hyungsik Roger Moon & Martin Weidner, 2018. "Nuclear Norm Regularized Estimation of Panel Regression Models," Papers 1810.10987, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2023.
    28. Jushan Bai, 2009. "Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(4), pages 1229-1279, July.
    29. Manuel Arellano & Stéphane Bonhomme, 2017. "Quantile Selection Models With an Application to Understanding Changes in Wage Inequality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 1-28, January.
    30. Victor Chernozhukov & Christian Hansen & Yuan Liao & Yinchu Zhu, 2019. "Inference for heterogeneous effects using low-rank estimations," CeMMAP working papers CWP31/19, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    31. Shujie Ma & Oliver Linton & Jiti Gao, 2017. "Estimation and inference in semiparametric quantile factor models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    32. Jushan Bai & Junlong Feng, 2019. "Robust Principal Component Analysis with Non-Sparse Errors," Papers 1902.08735, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    33. Jushan Bai & Serena Ng, 2017. "Principal Components and Regularized Estimation of Factor Models," Papers 1708.08137, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2017.
    34. Chen, Mingli, 2016. "Estimation of Nonlinear Panel Models with Multiple Unobserved Effects," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1120, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    35. Lamarche, Carlos, 2010. "Robust penalized quantile regression estimation for panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 396-408, August.
    36. Jeremiah Green & John R. M. Hand & X. Frank Zhang, 2017. "The Characteristics that Provide Independent Information about Average U.S. Monthly Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(12), pages 4389-4436.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hong, Shengjie & Su, Liangjun & Jiang, Tao, 2023. "Profile GMM estimation of panel data models with interactive fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 927-948.
    2. Babii, Andrii & Ball, Ryan T. & Ghysels, Eric & Striaukas, Jonas, 2023. "Machine learning panel data regressions with heavy-tailed dependent data: Theory and application," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
    3. Vogt, M. & Walsh, C. & Linton, O., 2022. "CCE Estimation of High-Dimensional Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2242, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    4. Ma, Shujie & Su, Liangjun & Zhang, Yichong, 2020. "Detecting Latent Communities in Network Formation Models," Economics and Statistics Working Papers 12-2020, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
    5. Miao, Ke & Phillips, Peter C.B. & Su, Liangjun, 2023. "High-dimensional VARs with common factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 233(1), pages 155-183.
    6. Kean Ming Tan & Lan Wang & Wen‐Xin Zhou, 2022. "High‐dimensional quantile regression: Convolution smoothing and concave regularization," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 84(1), pages 205-233, February.
    7. Yiren Wang & Liangjun Su & Yichong Zhang, 2022. "Low-rank Panel Quantile Regression: Estimation and Inference," Papers 2210.11062, arXiv.org.
    8. Oliver Linton & Maximilian Ruecker & Michael Vogt & Christopher Walsh, 2022. "Estimation and Inference in High-Dimensional Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects," Papers 2206.12152, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    9. Vogt, M. & Walsh, C. & Linton, O., 2022. "CCE Estimation of High-Dimensional Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2218, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liang Chen & Juan J. Dolado & Jesús Gonzalo, 2021. "Quantile Factor Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 875-910, March.
    2. Baruník, Jozef & Čech, František, 2021. "Measurement of common risks in tails: A panel quantile regression model for financial returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    3. Tomohiro Ando & Jushan Bai, 2020. "Quantile Co-Movement in Financial Markets: A Panel Quantile Model With Unobserved Heterogeneity," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(529), pages 266-279, January.
    4. Ruofan Xu & Jiti Gao & Tatsushi Oka & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2022. "Quantile Random-Coefficient Regression with Interactive Fixed Effects: Heterogeneous Group-Level Policy Evaluation," Papers 2208.03632, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
    5. Ruofan Xu & Jiti Gao & Tatsushi Oka & Yoon-Jae Whang, 2022. "Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Using Quantile Regression with Interactive Fixed Effects," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 13/22, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    6. Wan, Runzhe & Li, Yingying & Lu, Wenbin & Song, Rui, 2024. "Mining the factor zoo: Estimation of latent factor models with sufficient proxies," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 239(2).
    7. Liang Chen & Yulong Huo, 2019. "A Simple Estimator for Quantile Panel Data Models Using Smoothed Quantile Regressions," Papers 1911.04729, arXiv.org.
    8. Ma, Tian & Leong, Wen Jun & Jiang, Fuwei, 2023. "A latent factor model for the Chinese stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    9. Kelly, Bryan T. & Pruitt, Seth & Su, Yinan, 2019. "Characteristics are covariances: A unified model of risk and return," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 501-524.
    10. Maysam Khodayari Gharanchaei & Prabhu Prasad Panda & Xilin Chen, 2024. "Quantitative Investment Diversification Strategies via Various Risk Models," Papers 2407.01550, arXiv.org.
    11. Martin Lettau & Markus Pelger & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Factors That Fit the Time Series and Cross-Section of Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 2274-2325.
    12. Gu, Shihao & Kelly, Bryan & Xiu, Dacheng, 2021. "Autoencoder asset pricing models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 429-450.
    13. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Printzis, Panagiotis, 2021. "Investment and uncertainty: Are large firms different from small ones?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 302-317.
    14. Yiren Wang & Liangjun Su & Yichong Zhang, 2022. "Low-rank Panel Quantile Regression: Estimation and Inference," Papers 2210.11062, arXiv.org.
    15. Shihao Gu & Bryan Kelly & Dacheng Xiu, 2020. "Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 2223-2273.
    16. Qihui Chen, 2022. "A Unified Framework for Estimation of High-dimensional Conditional Factor Models," Papers 2209.00391, arXiv.org.
    17. Markus Pelger, 2020. "Understanding Systematic Risk: A High‐Frequency Approach," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 2179-2220, August.
    18. Solène Collot & Tobias Hemauer, 2021. "A literature review of new methods in empirical asset pricing: omitted-variable and errors-in-variable bias," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(1), pages 77-100, March.
    19. Gagliardini, Patrick & Ossola, Elisa & Scaillet, Olivier, 2019. "Estimation of large dimensional conditional factor models in finance," Working Papers unige:125031, University of Geneva, Geneva School of Economics and Management.
    20. Joachim Freyberger & Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber, 2020. "Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(5), pages 2326-2377.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1912.02151. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.