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Systemic Risks in CCP Networks

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  • Russell Barker
  • Andrew Dickinson
  • Alex Lipton
  • Rajeev Virmani

Abstract

We propose a model for the credit and liquidity risks faced by clearing members of Central Counterparty Clearing houses (CCPs). This model aims to capture the features of: gap risk; feedback between clearing member default, market volatility and margining requirements; the different risks faced by various types of market participant and the changes in margining requirements a clearing member faces as the system evolves. By considering the entire network of CCPs and clearing members, we investigate the distribution of losses to default fund contributions and contingent liquidity requirements for each clearing member; further, we identify wrong-way risks between defaults of clearing members and market turbulence.

Suggested Citation

  • Russell Barker & Andrew Dickinson & Alex Lipton & Rajeev Virmani, 2016. "Systemic Risks in CCP Networks," Papers 1604.00254, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1604.00254
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul H. Kupiec, 1994. "The performance of S&P 500 futures product margins under the SPAN margining system," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(7), pages 789-811, October.
    2. François M. Longin, 1999. "Optimal margin level in futures markets: Extreme price movements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pages 127-152, April.
    3. Murphy, David & Nahai-Williamson, Paul, 2014. "Financial Stability Paper 30: Dear Prudence, won’t you come out to play? Approaches to the analysis of CCP default fund adequacy," Bank of England Financial Stability Papers 30, Bank of England.
    4. Broussard, John Paul, 2001. "Extreme-value and margin setting with and without price limits," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 365-385.
    5. Cumming, Fergus & Noss, Joseph, 2013. "Financial Stability Paper No 26: Assessing the adequacy of CCPs' default resources," Bank of England Financial Stability Papers 26, Bank of England.
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    1. Berlinger, Edina & Dömötör, Barbara & Illés, Ferenc, 2019. "Anti-cyclical versus risk-sensitive margin strategies in central clearing," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 117-131.
    2. Paddrick, Mark & Young, H. Peyton, 2021. "How safe are central counterparties in credit default swap markets?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101170, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Edina Berlinger & Barbara Dömötör & Ferenc Illés & Kata Váradi, 2016. "Stress Indicator for Clearing Houses," Central European Business Review, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(4), pages 47-60.
    4. Lannoo, Karel, 2017. "Derivatives Clearing and Brexit: A comment on the proposed EMIR revisions," ECMI Papers 13150, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    5. Massimiliano Affinito & Matteo Piazza, 2021. "Always Look on the Bright Side? Central Counterparties and Interbank Markets during the Financial Crisis," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(1), pages 231-283, March.
    6. Melinda Friesz & Kira Muratov-Szabó & Andrea Prepuk & Kata Váradi, 2021. "Risk Mutualization in Central Clearing: An Answer to the Cross-Guarantee Phenomenon from the Financial Stability Viewpoint," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-19, August.
    7. H Peyton Young & Mark Paddrik, 2019. "How Safe are Central Counterparties in Credit Default Swap Markets?," Economics Series Working Papers 885, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

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