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Multiple Marginalization and Trade Liberalization: The Case of the Canadian Dairy Industry

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  • Abbassi, Abdessalem
  • Larue, Bruno

Abstract

The paper analyzes the welfare impacts of trade liberalization under multiple marginalization through a spatial quilibrium model of provincial dairy markets. Canada’s dairy policy implements a supply management scheme designed to achieve higher domestic prices for farmers, taking into account the mark-up rules used by downstream firms. Our model builds on the reciprocal dumping model of Brander and Krugman (1983) as processing firms from different provinces compete à la Cournot with one another in several provinces. Simulations reveal that welfare in the Canadian dairy sector could increase by as much as $1 billion per year if aggressive tariff cuts were made while moderate liberalization plans would yield annual gains of $234.5 million. Even large producing provinces like Quebec and Ontario gain from trade liberalization. In comparison, a perfect competition model yields more modest welfare gains in the range of $15.6 million and $34.5 million. Finally, we show that the switch in the sign of the transport cost-welfare relation identified by Brander and Krugman (1983) occurs at transport costs that are too high to be policy-relevant.

Suggested Citation

  • Abbassi, Abdessalem & Larue, Bruno, 2012. "Multiple Marginalization and Trade Liberalization: The Case of the Canadian Dairy Industry," Working Papers 148592, Structure and Performance of Agriculture and Agri-products Industry (SPAA).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:spaawp:148592
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.148592
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Colin Busby & Daniel Schwanen, 2013. "Putting the Market Back in Dairy Marketing," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 374, March.
    2. Bruno Larue, 2018. "Economic Integration Reconsidered," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 66(1), pages 5-25, March.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries;
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