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Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Internal Migrations in Brazil

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  • Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza
  • Horridge, Mark

Abstract

Recent internal migration flows in Brazil differ from historical patterns observed since the seventies. In the past internal migration typically flowed from states in Northeast Brazil and Minas Gerais towards the richer states of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. According to Brito and Carvalho (2006) between 1960 and 1990 about 8.1 million people left the Northeast and 3.8 million left Minas Gerais. This was the "normal" internal migration pattern in Brazil until the eighties, when, according to Brito and Carvalho (2006), a succession of economic crises and expansion of the agricultural frontiers changed the picture. Actually, during the nineties emigration from the Northeast region slowed down considerably; the region became a net recipient of population in recent years. At the same time, the Southeast states of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, the main destination for migrants until the end of the eighties, have recently lost population. Some of the migrants leaving the Southeast return to the Northeast, but many go to the dynamic new agricultural Center-west regions. Presented at the 13th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, 2010, Penang, Malaysia
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  • Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza & Horridge, Mark, 2010. "Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture and Internal Migrations in Brazil," Conference papers 331926, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:pugtwp:331926
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    Cited by:

    1. Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza & Horridge, Mark, 2011. "Ethanol Expansion and the Indirect Land Use Change in Brazil," Conference papers 332079, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Carauta, Marcelo & Parussis, Julia & Hampf, Anna & Libera, Affonso & Berger, Thomas, 2021. "No more double cropping in Mato Grosso, Brazil? Evaluating the potential impact of climate change on the profitability of farm systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    3. Ferreira-Filho, Joaquim Bento de Souza & Horridge, Mark, 2012. "Endogenous Land Use and Supply, and Food Security in Brazil," Conference papers 332215, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Diniz, Tiago B. & Caiado Couto, Lilia, 2024. "Achieving a high share of non-hydro renewable integration in Brazil through wind power: Regional growth and employment effects," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    5. Raphael Corbi & Elias Papaioannou & Paolo Surico, 2014. "Regional Transfers," NBER Working Papers 20751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Terciane Sabadini Carvalho & Edson Paulo Domingues, 2016. "Controlling Deforestation In The Brazilian Amazon: Regional Economic Impacts And Land-Use Change," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 192, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    7. Elizabeth L. Roos & Heinrich R. Bohlmann & Jonathan M. Horridge & Lardo Stander & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2018. "Regional economic effects of changes in South Africa’s electricity generation mix," Working Papers 756, Economic Research Southern Africa.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Environmental Economics and Policy; Consumer/Household Economics;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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