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Supporting African Union: Do Macroeconomic Fluctuations matter?

Author

Listed:
  • Samba Diop

    (Gaston Berger University, Saint-Louis, Senegal)

  • Simplice A. Asongu

    (Johannesburg, South Africa)

  • Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye

    (Gaston Berger University, Saint-Louis, Senegal)

Abstract

In this paper, we contribute empirically to the debate on the legitimacy of the African Union by exploring the question on whether individual opinions in support of African integration are sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations? For this purpose, we use the 4th, 5th, 6th and 8thAfrobarometer survey data waves and a contextual logistic model. We find that an increase in GDP per capita is associated with a decline in the probability to support the African Union. Accordingly, economic growth discourages citizens’ positive appraisal for the union. Our results also show an asymmetry in the relationship between public opinion on supporting the African Union and economic growth. Policy implications are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Samba Diop & Simplice A. Asongu & Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye, 2023. "Supporting African Union: Do Macroeconomic Fluctuations matter?," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 23/071, African Governance and Development Institute..
    • Handle: RePEc:agd:wpaper:23/071
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Simplice A. Asongu & Samba Diop & Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye, 2024. "Who supports the African Union? Understanding the determinants of citizens’ opinion for African integration," Working Papers 24/018, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    2. Simplice A. Asongu & Samba Diop & Cheikh T. Ndiaye, 2024. "Who supports the African Union? Understanding the determinants of citizens' opinion for African integration," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 36(2), pages 266-278, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Afrobarometer survey; African Union; Institutional support; macroeconomic fluctuations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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