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Trust in the ECB: Drivers and consequences

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  • Brouwer, Nils
  • de Haan, Jakob

Abstract

We use a survey among Dutch households to analyze trust in the European Central Bank (ECB). Our results confirm a positive association between respondents’ right-wing ideology, knowledge of the ECB, and trust in other European institutions on the one hand and trust in the ECB on the other. A novel result is that we also find that individuals who were clients of a bank that received government support during the global financial crisis trust the ECB more. Furthermore, our results suggest that inflation expectations of respondents who trust the ECB are more in line with the ECB’s inflation target.

Suggested Citation

  • Brouwer, Nils & de Haan, Jakob, 2022. "Trust in the ECB: Drivers and consequences," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:poleco:v:74:y:2022:i:c:s0176268022000660
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2022.102262
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    Cited by:

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    2. Cars Hommes & Julien Pinter & Isabelle Salle, 2023. "What People Believe About Monetary Finance and What We Can(’t) Do About It: Evidence from a Large-Scale, Multi-Country Survey Experiment," Staff Working Papers 23-36, Bank of Canada.
    3. Ehrmann, Michael, 2024. "Trust in central banks," Working Paper Series 3006, European Central Bank.
    4. Simplice A. Asongu & Samba Diop & Cheikh Tidiane Ndiaye, 2024. "Who supports the African Union? Understanding the determinants of citizens’ opinion for African integration," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 24/018, African Governance and Development Institute..
    5. Eickmeier, Sandra & Petersen, Luba, 2024. "Toward a holistic approach to central bank trust," Discussion Papers 27/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    6. Diop, Samba & Asongu, Simplice A. & Ndiaye, Cheikh Tidiane, 2024. "Supporting African union: Do macroeconomic fluctuations matter?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(3).
    7. Hayo, Bernd & Méon, Pierre-Guillaume, 2024. "Preaching to the agnostic: Inflation reporting can increase trust in the central bank but only among people with weak priors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    8. Hwang, In Do & Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2023. "Central bank communication and public trust: The case of ECB speeches," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    9. de Haan, Jakob & Hoogduin, Lex, 2024. "ECB communication policies: An overview and comparison with the Federal Reserve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    10. Keefer, Philip & Vlaicu, Razvan, 2024. "Employee trust and performance constraints in public sector organizations," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Federico M. Ferrara & Donato Masciandaro & Manuela Moschella & Davide Romelli, 2023. "What do politicians think of technocratic institutions? Experimental Evidence on the European Central Bank," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 23201, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    12. Carin van der Cruijsen & Jakob de Haan & Maarten van Rooij, 2023. "The impact of high inflation on trust in national politics and central banks," Working Papers 762, DNB.
    13. Irena Munteanu & Amelia Petrică, 2022. "Aspects Regarding the Monetary Policy in The European Union's Countries," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 933-942, Decembrie.
    14. Popova, Olga & See, Sarah Grace & Nikolova, Milena & Otrachshenko, Vladimir, 2023. "The Societal Costs of Inflation and Unemployment," IZA Discussion Papers 16541, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Zhuo Wenjun, 2023. "Circulation Expectations, Farmer Trust, and Farmers’ Contract Choice Behavior," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-15, August.
    16. Simplice A. Asongu & Samba Diop & Cheikh T. Ndiaye, 2024. "Who supports the African Union? Understanding the determinants of citizens' opinion for African integration," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 36(2), pages 266-278, June.
    17. Salle, Isabelle & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2023. "Lifetime Memories of Inflation: Evidence from Surveys and the Lab," IZA Discussion Papers 16670, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    18. Stanisławska, Ewa & Paloviita, Maritta, 2024. "Heterogeneous responsiveness of consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    19. Meinerding, Christoph & Poinelli, Andrea & Schüler, Yves, 2023. "Households’ inflation expectations and concern about climate change," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central bank; ECB; General public; Trust;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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