IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/adl/winewp/2021-05.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Expanding the Global Bev Model to enhance analysis of trade policy, COVID impacts and other wine industry issues

Author

Listed:
  • Glyn Wittwer

    (Centre of Policy Studies, Victoria University, Australia)

Abstract

The Global Bev Model is a partial equilibrium model of various wine types plus beer and spirits. This paper summarises four enhancements to the model. First, each still wine type is split into red and white. This is relevant in response to the prohibitive tariff imposed by China on Australian wine imports. Second, an on-premise sector is added to improve the depiction of wine consumption in the model. During COVID, lockdowns and social restrictions have resulted in marked reductions in hotel and restaurant activity, with a corresponding reduction in on-premise wine consumption. Now, the impacts on on-premise and off-premise can be analysed separately. Third, given the importance of interstate exports of wine from California to the rest of the nation, California is split from the rest of USA in the global model. Finally, a top-down module has been added to the model to capture sub-national impacts in Australia and sub-state impacts in California.

Suggested Citation

  • Glyn Wittwer, 2021. "Expanding the Global Bev Model to enhance analysis of trade policy, COVID impacts and other wine industry issues," Wine Economics Research Centre Working Papers 2021-05, University of Adelaide, Wine Economics Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:adl:winewp:2021-05
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://media.adelaide.edu.au/economics/papers/winedoc/winewp2021-05.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kym Anderson & Kimie Harada, 2019. "How Much Wine Is Really Produced and Consumed in China, Hong Kong, and Japan?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 15, pages 379-404, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    2. Wittwer, Glyn & Anderson, Kym, 2020. "A Model of Global Beverage Markets," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 330-354, August.
    3. Mark Horridge, 2011. "The TERM model and its data base," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-219, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Glyn Wittwer, 2021. "Expanding Global Bev to enhance analysis of trade policy, COVID impacts and other wine industry issues," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-319, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    2. Bohlmann, H.R. & Horridge, J.M. & Inglesi-Lotz, R. & Roos, E.L. & Stander, L., 2019. "Regional employment and economic growth effects of South Africa’s transition to low-carbon energy supply mix," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 830-837.
    3. Wittwer, Glyn & Anderson, Kym, 2021. "COVID-19 and Global Beverage Markets: Implications for Wine," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 117-130, May.
    4. Francois J. Stofberg & Jan H. van Heerden, 2015. "The Short Term Economic Impact of Levying E-Tolls on Industries," Working Papers 201527, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    5. Tran, Nhi & Roos, Louise & Giesecke, James & Madden, John, 2015. "Regionally targeted migration policy as an instrument for regional development: a general equilibrium assessment," Conference papers 332608, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    6. Francois Jacobus Stofberg & Jan Van Heerden, 2016. "The Short-Term Economic Impact of Levying E-Tolls on Industries," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 84(4), pages 574-593, December.
    7. Deborah C. Peterson & Lin Crase, 2021. "Disaster, disruption, recovery and resilience: lessons from and for agricultural and resource‐based industries," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(4), pages 767-775, October.
    8. Camila Callegari & Tarik Tanure & Ana Carolina Oliveira Fiorini & Eduardo Haddad & Edson Domingues & Aline Magalhães & Fernando Perobelli & Alexandre Porsse & André F. P. Lucena & Eveline Vasquez-Arro, 2023. "The Role of Cities: Linking Integrated Assessment Models to Urban Solutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-18, March.
    9. Jonathan Gonçalves Da Silva & Joaquim Bento De Souza Ferreira Filho, 2016. "Climate Change, Agriculture And Livestock Intensification In Brazil: The Borlaug Hypothesis," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 184, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    10. Viktor Pirmana & Armida Alisjahbana & Irlan Adiyatma Rum, 2015. "Boosting National Infrastructure Investment in West Java: An Analysis Using TERM CGE Model," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 201507, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Dec 2015.
    11. Elberry, Ahmed M. & Garaffa, Rafael & Faaij, André & van der Zwaan, Bob, 2024. "A review of macroeconomic modelling tools for analysing industrial transformation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    12. Honkatukia, Juha, 2013. "The VATTAGE Regional Model VERM - A Dynamic, Regional, Applied General Equilibrium Model of the Finn," Research Reports 171, VATT Institute for Economic Research.
    13. Francois J. Stofberg & Jan H. van Heerden & Heinrich R. Bohlmann, 2020. "A Fiscus for Better Economic and Social Development in South Africa," Working Papers 202072, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    14. Standardi, Gabriele & Turdyeva, Natalia, 2019. "Testing a methodology to split a national SAM and compute intra-national trade flows: an application for the Russian regions," Conference papers 333050, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    15. Aino Friman & Nina Hyytiä, 2022. "The Economic and Welfare Effects of Food Waste Reduction on a Food-Production-Driven Rural Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-18, March.
    16. Wittwer, Glyn & Anderson, Kym, 2020. "A Model of Global Beverage Markets," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(3), pages 330-354, August.
    17. Glyn Wittwer & Kym Anderson, 2022. "Enhancing a model of global beverage markets," Wine Economics Research Centre Working Papers 2022-04, University of Adelaide, Wine Economics Research Centre.
    18. Kym Anderson, 2020. "Asia’S Emergence In Global Beverage Markets: The Rise Of Wine," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(04), pages 755-779, June.
    19. Arief A. Yusuf & Elizabeth L. Roos & Jonathan M. Horridge, 2018. "Indonesia's Moratorium on Palm Oil Expansion from Natural Forests: Economy-Wide Impacts and the Role of International Transfers," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 35(2), pages 85-112, September.
    20. Wittwer, Gly & Anderson, Kym, 2021. "COVID-19’s impact on Australian wine markets and regions," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 65(04), January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    global wine modelling; tariff impacts; on-premise consumption;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:adl:winewp:2021-05. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kym Anderson (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/decadau.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.