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John Keith Ord

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First Name:John
Middle Name:Keith
Last Name:Ord
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RePEc Short-ID:por111
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Research output

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Working papers

  1. Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord & Anne B. Koehler & Keith R. McLaren & Adrian Beaumont, 2015. "Forecasting Compositional Time Series: A State Space Approach," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/15, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  2. Ralph Snyder & Adrian Beaumont & J. Keith Ord, 2012. "Intermittent demand forecasting for inventory control: A multi-series approach," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 15/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  3. Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord & Adrian Beaumont, 2010. "Forecasting the Intermittent Demand for Slow-Moving Items," Working Papers 2010-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2011.
  4. Anne B. Koehler & Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord & Adrian Beaumont, 2010. "Forecasting Compositional Time Series with Exponential Smoothing Methods," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 20/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  5. Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord, 2009. "Exponential Smoothing and the Akaike Information Criterion," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  6. Muhammad Akram & Rob J Hyndman & J. Keith Ord, 2008. "Exponential smoothing and non-negative data," Working Papers 2008-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
  7. J. Keith Ord, 2008. "Monitoring Processes with Changing Variances," Working Papers 2008-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
  8. Muhammad Akram & Rob J. Hyndman & J. Keith Ord, 2007. "Non-linear exponential smoothing and positive data," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  9. J Keith Ord & Ralph D Snyder & Anne B Koehler & Rob J Hyndman & Mark Leeds, 2005. "Time Series Forecasting: The Case for the Single Source of Error State Space," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  10. Phillip Gould & Anne B. Koehler & Farshid Vahid-Araghi & Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord & Rob J. Hyndman, 2004. "Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 28/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, revised Oct 2005.
  11. Ralph D. Snyder & Anne B. Koehler & Rob J. Hyndman & J. Keith Ord, 2002. "Exponential Smoothing for Inventory Control: Means and Variances of Lead-Time Demand," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  12. Hyndman, R.J. & Koehler, A.B. & Ord, J.K. & Snyder, R.D., 2001. "Prediction Intervals for Exponential Smoothing State Space Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/01, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  13. Koehler, A.B. & Snyder, R.D. & Ord, J.K., 1999. "Forecasting Models and Prediction Intervals for the Multiplicative Holt-Winters Method," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/99, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  14. Snyder, R.D. & Koehler, A. & Ord, K., 1999. "Forecasting for Inventory Control with Exponential Smoothing," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 10/99, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  15. Snyder, R.D. & Koehler, A.B. & Ord, J.K., 1998. "Lead Time demand for Simple Exponential Smoothing," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 13/98, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  16. Snyder, R.D. & Ord, J.K. & Koehler, A.B., 1997. "Prediction Intervals for Arima Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/97, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  17. Ord, J.K. & Koehler, A. & Snyder, R.D., 1995. "Estimation and Prediction for a Class of Dynamic Nonlinear Statistical Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/95, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.

Articles

  1. Ord, J. Keith, 2022. "The uncertainty track: Machine learning, statistical modeling, synthesis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1526-1530.
  2. Kamrad, Bardia & Ord, Keith & Schmidt, Glen M., 2021. "Maximizing the probability of realizing profit targets versus maximizing expected profits: A reconciliation to resolve an agency problem," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
  3. Snyder, Ralph D. & Ord, J. Keith & Koehler, Anne B. & McLaren, Keith R. & Beaumont, Adrian N., 2017. "Forecasting compositional time series: A state space approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 502-512.
  4. Keith Ord & David A. Walker & Christina R. Hunt, 2016. "Privatization and Fiscal Deficits in European Emerging Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(11), pages 2585-2594, November.
  5. Koehler, Anne B. & Snyder, Ralph D. & Ord, J. Keith & Beaumont, Adrian, 2012. "A study of outliers in the exponential smoothing approach to forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 477-484.
  6. Snyder, Ralph D. & Ord, J. Keith & Beaumont, Adrian, 2012. "Forecasting the intermittent demand for slow-moving inventories: A modelling approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 485-496.
  7. J. Ord & Arthur Getis, 2012. "Local spatial heteroscedasticity (LOSH)," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 48(2), pages 529-539, April.
  8. Durkin, Thomas A. & Ord, Keith & Walker, David A., 2010. "Long-run credit growth in the US," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 62(5), pages 383-400, September.
  9. R Malaga & D Porter & K Ord & B Montano, 2010. "A new end-of-auction model for curbing sniping," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(8), pages 1265-1272, August.
  10. Ord, J. Keith & Koehler, Anne B. & Snyder, Ralph D. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2009. "Monitoring processes with changing variances," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 518-525, July.
  11. Gorr, Wilpen L. & Ord, J. Keith, 2009. "Introduction to time series monitoring," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 463-466, July.
  12. Gould, Phillip G. & Koehler, Anne B. & Ord, J. Keith & Snyder, Ralph D. & Hyndman, Rob J. & Vahid-Araghi, Farshid, 2008. "Forecasting time series with multiple seasonal patterns," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 207-222, November.
  13. Ernst, Ricardo & Kamrad, Bardia & Ord, Keith, 2007. "Delivery performance in vendor selection decisions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(1), pages 534-541, January.
  14. Ord, J. Keith & Iglarsh, Harvey J., 2007. "The Estimation of Conditional Distributions From Large Databases," The American Statistician, American Statistical Association, vol. 61, pages 308-314, November.
  15. Ord, Keith, 2007. "Comments on "significance tests harm progress in forecasting"," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 331-332.
  16. Bardia Kamrad & Keith Ord, 2006. "Market risk and process uncertainty in production operations," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(7), pages 627-640, October.
  17. Hyndman, Rob J. & Ord, J. Keith, 2006. "Twenty-five years of forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 413-414.
  18. Anne B. Koehler & Rob J. Hyndman & Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord, 2005. "Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 17-37.
  19. Ord, Keith, 2004. "Shrinking: When and how?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 567-568.
  20. Snyder, Ralph D. & Koehler, Anne B. & Hyndman, Rob J. & Ord, J. Keith, 2004. "Exponential smoothing models: Means and variances for lead-time demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 158(2), pages 444-455, October.
  21. Ord, Keith, 2004. "Charles Holt's report on exponentially weighted moving averages: an introduction and appreciation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 1-3.
  22. Snyder, Ralph D. & Koehler, Anne B. & Ord, J. Keith, 2002. "Forecasting for inventory control with exponential smoothing," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 5-18.
  23. Goodwin, Paul & Ord, J. Keith & Oller, Lars-Erik & Sniezek, Janet A. & Leonard, Mike, 2002. "Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners: J. Scott Armstrong (Ed.), (2001), Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 849 pages. Hardback: ISBN: 0-7923-7930-6; $190, [UK pound," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 468-478.
  24. J. Keith Ord & Arthur Getis, 2001. "Testing for Local Spatial Autocorrelation in the Presence of Global Autocorrelation," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(3), pages 411-432, August.
  25. Snyder, Ralph D & Ord, J Keith & Koehler, Anne B, 2001. "Prediction Intervals for ARIMA Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 19(2), pages 217-225, April.
  26. Koehler, Anne B. & Snyder, Ralph D. & Ord, J. Keith, 2001. "Forecasting models and prediction intervals for the multiplicative Holt-Winters method," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 269-286.
  27. F R Johnston & R D Snyder & A B Koehler & J K Ord, 2000. "Viewpoint and Respons," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 51(9), pages 1107-1110, September.
  28. Ord, Keith, 2000. "Commercially available software and the M3-Competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 531-531.
  29. Balkin, Sandy D. & Ord, J. Keith, 2000. "Automatic neural network modeling for univariate time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 509-515.
  30. Fong, Duncan K. H. & Gempesaw, Virginia M. & Keith Ord, J., 2000. "Analysis of a dual sourcing inventory model with normal unit demand and Erlang mixture lead times," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 97-107, January.
  31. Ord, Keith & Hibon, Michele & Makridakis, Spyros, 2000. "The M3-Competition1," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 433-436.
  32. R D Snyder & A B Koehler & J K Ord, 1999. "Lead time demand for simple exponential smoothing: an adjustment factor for the standard deviation," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 50(10), pages 1079-1082, October.
  33. Xin X. He & Susan H. Xu & J. Keith Ord & Jack C. Hayya, 1998. "An Inventory Model with Order Crossover," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(3-supplem), pages 112-119, June.
  34. Ord, Keith, 1996. "Outliers in statistical data : V. Barnett and T. Lewis, 1994, 3rd edition, (John Wiley & Sons, Chichester), 584 pp., [UK pound]55.00, ISBN 0-471-93094-6," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 175-176, March.
  35. Gorski, Carol & Elliott, Ord & Dunne, Kenis, 1995. "Rethinking the reengineering metaphor," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 8(7), pages 22-30.
  36. Ord, Keith, 1995. "The future of the International Journal of Forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 197-198, June.
  37. Ord, J. Keith, 1994. "Elements of multivariate time series : Gregory C. Reinsel, 1993, Springer Series in Statistics, (Springer-Verlag, New York), 263 pp. US 49.00. ISBN 0-387-94063-4," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 463-463, November.
  38. Dawes, Robyn & Fildes, Robert & Lawrence, Michael & Ord, Keith, 1994. "The past and the future of forecasting research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 151-159, June.
  39. Ord, Keith, 1993. "Calculating interval forecasts : C. Chatfield, Journal of business and economic statistics, 11 (1993), 121-144 (with discussion and response by author)," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 430-430, November.
  40. Ranga V. Ramasesh & J. Keith Ord & Jack C. Hayya, 1993. "Note: Dual sourcing with nonidentical suppliers," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(2), pages 279-288, March.
  41. Makridakis, Spyros & Chatfield, Chris & Hibon, Michele & Lawrence, Michael & Mills, Terence & Ord, Keith & Simmons, LeRoy F., 1993. "The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 5-22, April.
  42. Ord, Keith, 1993. "Calculating Interval Forecasts: Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(2), pages 138-139, April.
  43. Ord, J. Keith & Geriner, Pamela A. & Reilly, David & Winkel, Robert, 1993. "Personal views of the M2-competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 26-28, April.
  44. Ranga V. Ramasesh & J. Keith Ord & Jack C. Hayya & Andrew Pan, 1991. "Sole Versus Dual Sourcing in Stochastic Lead-Time (s, Q) Inventory Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 37(4), pages 428-443, April.
  45. Geriner, Pamela Texter & Ord, J. Keith, 1991. "Automatic forecasting using explanatory variables: A comparative study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 127-140, August.
  46. Samuel G. Davis & J. Keith Ord, 1990. "Improving and Measuring the Performance of a Securities Industry Surveillance System," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 20(5), pages 31-42, October.
  47. Ord, Keith, 1989. "Market structure and technological change : William L. Baldwin and John T. Scott, (Harwood Academic Publishers, Chur, New York and Switzerland, 1987) pp. 170, $?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 281-282.
  48. Young, Peg & Ord, J. Keith, 1989. "Model selection and estimation for technological growth curves," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 501-513.
  49. Texter, Pamela A. & Ord, J. Keith, 1989. "Forecasting using automatic identification procedures: A comparative analysis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 209-215.
  50. Ord, J. Keith, 1988. "Future developments in forecasting : The time series connexion," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 389-401.
  51. Ord, Keith, 1988. "The manager's guide to business forecasting : Michael Barron and David Targett. (Blackwell, Oxford and New York, 1985) pp. 230, $39.95, [UK pound]15.00," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 498-498.
  52. Ord, Keith, 1986. "AUTOBOX : (Version 1.02, March 1986). Automatic Forecasting Systems Inc., P.O. Box 563, Hatboro, PA 19040, 215-675-0652. List price $1,695 (AUTOBJ-univariate only-$595). Requirements: 320K, two disk d," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 511-513.
  53. Ord, Keith, 1986. "The forecasting accuracy of major time series methods : Spyros Makridakis, Allen Andersen, Robert Carbone, Robert Fildes, Michele Hibon, Rudolf Lewandowski, Joseph Newton, Emmanuel Parzen and Robert W," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 119-121.
  54. Wood, Robert A & McInish, Thomas H & Ord, J Keith, 1985. "An Investigation of Transactions Data for NYSE Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 723-739, July.
  55. J. K. Ord & U. Bagchi, 1983. "The truncated normal–gamma mixture as a distribution for lead time demand," Naval Research Logistics Quarterly, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(2), pages 359-365, June.
  56. Chan, K Hung & Hayya, Jack C & Ord, J Keith, 1977. "A Note on Trend Removal Methods: The Case of Polynomial Regression versus Variate Differencing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(3), pages 737-744, April.
  57. A D Cliff & J K Ord & Referee R S Baxter, 1977. "Algorithm 2: Latent Roots and Vectors of an Arbitrary Real Matrix," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 9(6), pages 703-713, June.
  58. J K Ord & A D Cliff, 1976. "The Analysis of Commuting Patterns," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 8(8), pages 941-946, December.
  59. A D Cliff & J K Ord, 1975. "The Comparison of Means When Samples Consist of Spatially Autocorrelated Observations," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 7(6), pages 725-734, September.

Chapters

  1. Arthur Getis & J. Keith Ord, 2010. "The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Luc Anselin & Sergio J. Rey (ed.), Perspectives on Spatial Data Analysis, chapter 0, pages 127-145, Springer.
  2. J. Keith Ord, 2010. "Spatial Autocorrelation: A Statistician’s Reflections," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Luc Anselin & Sergio J. Rey (ed.), Perspectives on Spatial Data Analysis, chapter 0, pages 165-180, Springer.

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 14 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (12) 2002-04-25 2002-08-10 2004-12-20 2005-04-16 2007-11-24 2008-05-31 2009-05-23 2009-07-03 2010-05-22 2010-11-27 2011-03-19 2015-05-02. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (12) 2002-04-25 2002-04-25 2002-07-31 2004-12-20 2005-04-16 2007-11-24 2009-05-23 2009-07-03 2010-05-22 2010-11-27 2011-03-19 2015-05-02. Author is listed
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (8) 2007-11-24 2009-05-23 2009-07-03 2010-05-22 2010-11-27 2011-03-19 2012-08-23 2015-05-02. Author is listed

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