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Bent Flyvbjerg

Personal Details

First Name:Bent
Middle Name:
Last Name:Flyvbjerg
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pfl122
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
http://www.linkedin.com/in/flyvbjerg

Affiliation

Saïd Business School
Oxford University

Oxford, United Kingdom
http://www.sbs.ox.ac.uk/
RePEc:edi:sbsoxuk (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Chapters Books

Working papers

  1. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2022. "How to Solve Big Problems: Bespoke Versus Platform Strategies," Papers 2206.08754, arXiv.org.
  2. Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Jong Seok Lee & Mark Keil & Daniel Lunn & Dirk W. Bester, 2022. "The Empirical Reality of IT Project Cost Overruns: Discovering A Power-Law Distribution," Papers 2210.01573, arXiv.org.
  3. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2022. "Top Ten Behavioral Biases in Project Management: An Overview," Papers 2202.00125, arXiv.org.
  4. Bent Flyvbjerg & Dirk W. Bester, 2021. "The Cost-Benefit Fallacy: Why Cost-Benefit Analysis Is Broken and How to Fix It," Papers 2112.03171, arXiv.org.
  5. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2021. "Four Ways to Scale Up: Smart, Dumb, Forced, and Fumbled," Papers 2101.11104, arXiv.org.
  6. Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2020. "Regression to the Tail: Why the Olympics Blow Up," Papers 2009.14682, arXiv.org.
  7. Alexander Budzier & Bent Flyvbjerg & Andi Garavaglia & Andreas Leed, 2019. "Quantitative Cost and Schedule Risk Analysis of Nuclear Waste Storage," Papers 1901.11123, arXiv.org.
  8. Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier, 2019. "Report for the Commission of Inquiry Respecting the Muskrat Falls Project," Papers 1901.03698, arXiv.org.
  9. Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier, 2018. "Report for the Edinburgh Tram Inquiry," Papers 1805.12106, arXiv.org.
  10. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2018. "Planning Fallacy or Hiding Hand: Which Is the Better Explanation?," Papers 1802.09999, arXiv.org.
  11. Bent Flyvbjerg & J. Rodney Turner, 2017. "Do Classics Exist in Megaproject Management?," Papers 1710.09678, arXiv.org.
  12. Bent Flyvbjerg & Chi-keung Hon & Wing Huen Fok, 2017. "Reference Class Forecasting for Hong Kong's Major Roadworks Projects," Papers 1710.09419, arXiv.org.
  13. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2016. "Big is Fragile: An Attempt at Theorizing Scale," Papers 1603.01416, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2017.
  14. Bent Flyvbjerg & Allison Stewart & Alexander Budzier, 2016. "The Oxford Olympics Study 2016: Cost and Cost Overrun at the Games," Papers 1607.04484, arXiv.org.
  15. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2016. "Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from China," Papers 1609.00415, arXiv.org.
  16. Bent Flyvbjerg & Cass R. Sunstein, 2015. "The Principle of the Malevolent Hiding Hand; or, the Planning Fallacy Writ Large," Papers 1509.01526, arXiv.org.
  17. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2014. "What You Should Know About Megaprojects, and Why: An Overview," Papers 1409.0003, arXiv.org.
  18. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2014. "Should we build more large dams? The actual costs of hydropower megaproject development," Papers 1409.0002, arXiv.org.
  19. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "How Planners Deal with Uncomfortable Knowledge: The Dubious Ethics of the American Planning Association," Papers 1303.7405, arXiv.org.
  20. Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier, 2013. "Why Your IT Project Might Be Riskier Than You Think," Papers 1304.0265, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
  21. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Five Misunderstandings About Case-Study Research," Papers 1304.1186, arXiv.org.
  22. Chantal C. Cantarelli & Eric J. E. Molin & Bert van Wee & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Characteristics of Cost Overruns for Dutch Transport Infrastructure Projects and the Importance of the Decision to Build and Project Phases," Papers 1307.2178, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
  23. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Measuring Inaccuracy in Travel Demand Forecasting: Methodological Considerations Regarding Ramp Up and Sampling," Papers 1303.7401, arXiv.org.
  24. Bent Flyvbjerg & Nils Bruzelius & Werner Rothengatter, 2013. "Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition," Papers 1303.7404, arXiv.org.
  25. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Survival of the Unfittest: Why the Worst Infrastructure Gets Built, And What We Can Do about It," Papers 1303.6571, arXiv.org.
  26. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Delusions of Success: Comment on Dan Lovallo and Daniel Kahneman," Papers 1305.0741, arXiv.org.
  27. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Policy and Planning for Large Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, Cures," Papers 1303.7400, arXiv.org.
  28. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Quality Control and Due Diligence in Project Management: Getting Decisions Right by Taking the Outside View," Papers 1302.2544, arXiv.org.
  29. Bent Flyvbjerg & Nils Bruzelius & Bert van Wee, 2013. "Comparison of Capital Costs per Route-Kilometre in Urban Rail," Papers 1303.6569, arXiv.org.
  30. Chantal C. Cantarelli & Bert van Wee & Eric J. E. Molin & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Different Cost Performance: Different Determinants? The Case of Cost Overruns in Dutch Transportation Infrastructure Projects," Papers 1307.2179, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
  31. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right," Papers 1302.3642, arXiv.org.
  32. Bent Flyvbjerg & Mette Skamris Holm & S{o}ren L. Buhl, 2013. "How (In)accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects? The Case of Transportation," Papers 1303.6654, arXiv.org.
  33. Bent Flyvbjerg & Mette K. Skamris Holm & S{o}ren L. Buhl, 2013. "What Causes Cost Overrun in Transport Infrastructure Projects?"," Papers 1304.4476, arXiv.org.
  34. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Why Mass Media Matter to Planning Research: The Case of Megaprojects," Papers 1304.1665, arXiv.org.
  35. Bent Flyvbjerg & Massimo Garbuio & Dan Lovallo, 2013. "Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: Two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster," Papers 1303.7403, arXiv.org.
  36. Alexander Budzier & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Overspend? Late? Failure? What the Data Say About IT Project Risk in the Public Sector," Papers 1304.4525, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2013.
  37. Chantal C. Cantarelli & Bent Flybjerg & Bert van Wee & Eric J. E. Molin, 2013. "Lock-in and Its Influence on the Project Performance of Large-Scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects. Investigating the Way in Which Lock-in Can Emerge and Affect Cost Overruns," Papers 1307.2177, arXiv.org.
  38. Chantal C. Cantarelli & Bent Flybjerg & Eric J. E. Molin & Bert van Wee, 2013. "Cost overruns in Large-Scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects: Explanations and Their Theoretical Embeddedness," Papers 1307.2176, arXiv.org.
  39. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Cost Overruns and Demand Shortfalls in Urban Rail and Other Infrastructure," Papers 1303.7402, arXiv.org.
  40. Chantal C. Cantarelli & Bent Flyvbjerg & S{o}ren L. Buhl, 2013. "Geographical Variation in Project Cost Performance: The Netherlands versus Worldwide," Papers 1307.2181, arXiv.org.
  41. Alexander Budzier & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Double Whammy - How ICT Projects are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent," Papers 1304.4590, arXiv.org.
  42. Flyvbjerg, Bent & Holm, Mette Skamris & Buhl, Søren, 2006. "Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt98r01936, University of California Transportation Center.

Articles

  1. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2022. "How to solve big problems: bespoke versus platform strategies," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 38(2), pages 338-368.
  2. Flyvbjerg, Bent & Bester, Dirk W., 2021. "The Cost-Benefit Fallacy: Why Cost-Benefit Analysis Is Broken and How to Fix It," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 395-419, October.
  3. Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2021. "Regression to the tail: Why the Olympics blow up," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 53(2), pages 233-260, March.
  4. Flyvbjerg, Bent & Ansar, Atif & Budzier, Alexander & Buhl, Søren & Cantarelli, Chantal & Garbuio, Massimo & Glenting, Carsten & Holm, Mette Skamris & Lovallo, Dan & Molin, Eric & Rønnest, Arne & Stewa, 2019. "On de-bunking “Fake News” in the post-truth era: How to reduce statistical error in research," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 409-411.
  5. Flyvbjerg, Bent & Ansar, Atif & Budzier, Alexander & Buhl, Søren & Cantarelli, Chantal & Garbuio, Massimo & Glenting, Carsten & Holm, Mette Skamris & Lovallo, Dan & Lunn, Daniel & Molin, Eric & Rønnes, 2018. "Five things you should know about cost overrun," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 174-190.
  6. Flyvbjerg, Bent, 2018. "Planning Fallacy or Hiding Hand: Which is the Better Explanation?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 383-386.
  7. Edgardo M. Latrubesse & Eugenio Y. Arima & Thomas Dunne & Edward Park & Victor R. Baker & Fernando M. d’Horta & Charles Wight & Florian Wittmann & Jansen Zuanon & Paul A. Baker & Camila C. Ribas & Ric, 2017. "Damming the rivers of the Amazon basin," Nature, Nature, vol. 546(7658), pages 363-369, June.
  8. Flyvbjerg, Bent, 2016. "The Fallacy of Beneficial Ignorance: A Test of Hirschman’s Hiding Hand," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 176-189.
  9. Atif Ansar & Bent Flyvbjerg & Alexander Budzier & Daniel Lunn, 2016. "Does infrastructure investment lead to economic growth or economic fragility? Evidence from China," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 32(3), pages 360-390.
  10. Ansar, Atif & Flyvbjerg, Bent & Budzier, Alexander & Lunn, Daniel, 2014. "Should we build more large dams? The actual costs of hydropower megaproject development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 43-56.
  11. Cantarelli, C.C. & Flyvbjerg, B. & Buhl, S.L., 2012. "Geographical variation in project cost performance: the Netherlands versus worldwide," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 324-331.
  12. Cantarelli, C.C. & Molin, E.J.E. & van Wee, B. & Flyvbjerg, B., 2012. "Characteristics of cost overruns for Dutch transport infrastructure projects and the importance of the decision to build and project phases," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 49-56.
  13. Cantarelli, C.C. & van Wee, B. & Molin, E.J.E. & Flyvbjerg, B., 2012. "Different cost performance: different determinants?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 88-95.
  14. Chantal C Cantarelli & Bent Flyvbjerg & Bert van Wee & Eric J E Molin, 2010. "Lock-in and its Influence on the Project Performance of Large-Scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects: Investigating the Way in Which Lock-in Can Emerge and Affect Cost Overruns," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 37(5), pages 792-807, October.
  15. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2009. "Survival of the unfittest: why the worst infrastructure gets built--and what we can do about it," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 25(3), pages 344-367, Autumn.
  16. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2008. "Response to Todd Landman," Political Studies Review, Political Studies Association, vol. 6(2), pages 189-190, May.
  17. Hugo Priemus & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2007. "Planning and Design of Large Infrastructure Projects," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 34(4), pages 576-577, August.
  18. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2007. "Policy and Planning for Large-Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, Cures," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 34(4), pages 578-597, August.
  19. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2006. "Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Planning: Reference Class Forecasting in Practice," European Planning Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 3-21, August.
  20. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2006. "Cost Overruns and Demand Shortfalls in Urban Rail and Other Infrastructure," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 9-30, February.
  21. Bent Flyvbjerg & Mette K. Skamris Holm & Søren L. Buhl, 2005. "Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(1), pages 1-24, April.
  22. Flyvbjerg, Bent, 2005. "Measuring inaccuracy in travel demand forecasting: methodological considerations regarding ramp up and sampling," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 522-530, July.
  23. Petter Næss & Bent Flyvbjerg & Søren Buhl, 2005. "Do Road Planners Produce More ‘Honest Numbers’ than Rail Planners? An Analysis of Accuracy in Road‐traffic Forecasts in Cities versus Peripheral Regions," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(5), pages 537-555, December.
  24. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2004. "A Perestroikan Straw Man Answers Back: David Laitin and Phronetic Political Science," Politics & Society, , vol. 32(3), pages 389-416, September.
  25. Bent Flyvbjerg & Mette K. Skamris Holm & Søren L. Buhl, 2003. "What Causes Cost Overrun in Transport Infrastructure Projects?," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 3-18, January.
  26. Bent Flyvbjerg & Mette K. Skamris holm & Søren L. Buhl, 2003. "How common and how large are cost overruns in transport infrastructure projects?," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 71-88, January.
  27. Bruzelius, Nils & Flyvbjerg, Bent & Rothengatter, Werner, 2002. "Big decisions, big risks. Improving accountability in mega projects," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 143-154, April.
  28. Skamris, Mette K. & Flyvbjerg, Bent, 1997. "Inaccuracy of traffic forecasts and cost estimates on large transport projects," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 141-146, July.

Chapters

  1. Chantal C. Cantarelli & Bent Flyvbjerg, 2013. "Mega-projects’ cost performance and lock-in: problems and solutions," Chapters, in: Hugo Priemus & Bert van Wee (ed.), International Handbook on Mega-Projects, chapter 15, pages 333-355, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  2. Bent Flyvbjerg & Eamonn Molloy, 2011. "Delusion, Deception and Corruption in Major Infrastructure Projects: Causes, Consequences and Cures," Chapters, in: Susan Rose-Ackerman & Tina Søreide (ed.), International Handbook on the Economics of Corruption, Volume Two, chapter 3, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  3. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2009. "Optimism and Misrepresentation in Early Project Development," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Terry M. Williams & Knut Samset & Kjell J. Sunnevåg (ed.), Making Essential Choices with Scant Information, chapter 8, pages 147-168, Palgrave Macmillan.
  4. Hugo Priemus & Bent Flyvbjerg & Bert van Wee, 2008. "Introduction: Scope of the Book," Chapters, in: Hugo Priemus & Bent Flyvbjerg & Bert van Wee (ed.), Decision-Making on Mega-Projects, chapter 1, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  5. Bent Flyvbjerg, 2008. "Public Planning of Mega-Projects: Overestimation of Demand and Underestimation of Costs," Chapters, in: Hugo Priemus & Bent Flyvbjerg & Bert van Wee (ed.), Decision-Making on Mega-Projects, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.

Books

  1. Bent Flyvbjerg (ed.), 2014. "Megaproject Planning and Management: Essential Readings," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 0, number 14769.
  2. Hugo Priemus & Bent Flyvbjerg & Bert van Wee (ed.), 2008. "Decision-Making on Mega-Projects," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 4112.
  3. Flyvbjerg,Bent & Bruzelius,Nils & Rothengatter,Werner, 2003. "Megaprojects and Risk," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521009461, September.

More information

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Statistics

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Rankings

This author is among the top 5% authors according to these criteria:
  1. Number of Citations, Discounted by Citation Age
  2. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors
  3. Number of Citations, Weighted by Number of Authors, Discounted by Citation Age
  4. Number of Abstract Views in RePEc Services over the past 12 months
  5. Number of Downloads through RePEc Services over the past 12 months
  6. Number of Abstract Views in RePEc Services over the past 12 months, Weighted by Number of Authors
  7. Number of Downloads through RePEc Services over the past 12 months, Weighted by Number of Authors
  8. Wu-Index

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 39 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-PPM: Project, Program and Portfolio Management (29) 2013-03-02 2013-03-02 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-20 2013-04-20 2013-04-20 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2014-09-25 2015-09-11 2016-03-23 2017-11-05 2018-03-26 2018-07-23 2019-01-28 2022-01-31 2022-03-14 2022-07-18 2022-11-07. Author is listed
  2. NEP-TRE: Transport Economics (17) 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-20 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2016-09-11 2018-07-23 2019-01-28. Author is listed
  3. NEP-CDM: Collective Decision-Making (9) 2013-03-02 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-13 2013-04-20 2013-04-20 2013-04-20. Author is listed
  4. NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (9) 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-03-30 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-20 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15. Author is listed
  5. NEP-CWA: Central and Western Asia (7) 2013-03-02 2013-03-30 2013-04-06 2013-04-06 2013-04-13 2022-01-31 2022-03-14. Author is listed
  6. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (6) 2013-03-02 2013-03-30 2013-04-06 2013-04-20 2013-05-11 2017-11-05. Author is listed
  7. NEP-NPS: Nonprofit and Public Sector (5) 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15 2013-07-15. Author is listed
  8. NEP-HPE: History and Philosophy of Economics (4) 2013-05-11 2015-09-11 2016-03-23 2017-11-05
  9. NEP-CBE: Cognitive and Behavioural Economics (2) 2013-05-11 2022-03-14
  10. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (2) 2014-09-25 2019-01-28
  11. NEP-PBE: Public Economics (2) 2013-03-30 2013-04-06
  12. NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2013-04-06
  13. NEP-CNA: China (1) 2016-09-11
  14. NEP-CUL: Cultural Economics (1) 2013-04-13
  15. NEP-DEM: Demographic Economics (1) 2022-07-18
  16. NEP-EFF: Efficiency and Productivity (1) 2013-07-15
  17. NEP-HIS: Business, Economic and Financial History (1) 2014-09-25
  18. NEP-ICT: Information and Communication Technologies (1) 2022-11-07
  19. NEP-MKT: Marketing (1) 2013-04-06
  20. NEP-NEU: Neuroeconomics (1) 2022-03-14
  21. NEP-PAY: Payment Systems and Financial Technology (1) 2022-07-18
  22. NEP-PKE: Post Keynesian Economics (1) 2013-04-06
  23. NEP-REG: Regulation (1) 2022-01-31
  24. NEP-SEA: South East Asia (1) 2017-11-05
  25. NEP-SPO: Sports and Economics (1) 2020-10-12
  26. NEP-TRA: Transition Economics (1) 2016-09-11
  27. NEP-TUR: Tourism Economics (1) 2013-04-06
  28. NEP-UPT: Utility Models and Prospect Theory (1) 2013-03-02

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