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Residents’ Reactions to Earthquake Early Warnings in Japan

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  • Kazuya Nakayachi
  • Julia S. Becker
  • Sally H. Potter
  • Maximilian Dixon

Abstract

This article empirically examines the effectiveness of earthquake early warning (EEW) in Japan based on experiences of residents who received warnings before earthquake shaking occurred. In Study 1, a survey (N = 299) was conducted to investigate residents’ experiences of, and reactions to, an EEW issued in Gunma and neighboring regions on June 17, 2018. The main results were as follows. (1) People's primary reactions to the EEW were mental, not physical, and thus motionless. Most residents stayed still, not for safety reasons, but because they were focusing on mentally bracing themselves. (2) Residents perceived the EEW to be effective because it enabled them to mentally prepare, rather than take physical protective actions, before strong shaking arrived. (3) In future, residents anticipate that on receipt of an EEW they would undertake mental preparation as opposed to physical protective actions. In Study 2, a survey (N = 450) was conducted on another EEW issued for an earthquake offshore of Chiba Prefecture on July 7, 2018. Results were in line with those of Study 1, suggesting that the findings described above are robust. Finally, given people's lack of impetus to undertake protective action on receipt of an EEW, this article discusses ways to enhance such actions.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazuya Nakayachi & Julia S. Becker & Sally H. Potter & Maximilian Dixon, 2019. "Residents’ Reactions to Earthquake Early Warnings in Japan," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(8), pages 1723-1740, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:39:y:2019:i:8:p:1723-1740
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.13306
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    1. Julia S. Becker & Sally H. Potter & Lauren J. Vinnell & Kazuya Nakayachi & Sara K. McBride & David M. Johnston, 2020. "Earthquake early warning in Aotearoa New Zealand: a survey of public perspectives to guide warning system development," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Zijian He & Peng Han & Zhiran Chen & Yixuan Liang & Zhihong Yang & Tao Li, 2023. "Evaluating the Effectiveness of the Earthquake Early Warning Message in China: An Affordance Perspective Using Immersive Virtual Reality," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-20, July.

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