Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts with Bayesian Signal Detection Models
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DOI: 10.1111/risa.12127
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References listed on IDEAS
- Levi, Keith, 1985. "A signal detection framework for the evaluation of probabilistic forecasts," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 143-166, October.
- Jeffrey Rouder & Jun Lu & Dongchu Sun & Paul Speckman & Richard Morey & Moshe Naveh-Benjamin, 2007. "Signal Detection Models with Random Participant and Item Effects," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 621-642, December.
- Clemon, Robert T & Winkler, Robert L, 1986. "Combining Economic Forecasts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 4(1), pages 39-46, January.
- Robert T. Clemen, 1986. "Calibration and the Aggregation of Probabilities," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 32(3), pages 312-314, March.
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- David A. Comerford, 2021. "Apparent age and gender differences in survival optimism: To what extent are they a bias in the translation of beliefs onto a percentage scale?," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 16(4), pages 1072-1096, July.
- repec:cup:judgdm:v:17:y:2022:i:1:p:91-123 is not listed on IDEAS
- J. Richard Eiser & Amy Donovan & R. Stephen J. Sparks, 2015. "Risk Perceptions and Trust Following the 2010 and 2011 Icelandic Volcanic Ash Crises," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(2), pages 332-343, February.
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