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Reliability inference for field conditions from accelerated degradation testing

Author

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  • Haitao Liao
  • Elsayed A. Elsayed

Abstract

Accelerated degradation testing (ADT) is usually conducted under deterministic stresses such as constant‐stress, step‐stress, and cyclic‐stress. Based on ADT data, an ADT model is developed to predict reliability under normal (field) operating conditions. In engineering applications, the “standard” approach for reliability prediction assumes that the normal operating conditions are deterministic or simply uses the mean values of the stresses while ignoring their variability. Such an approach may lead to significant prediction errors. In this paper, we extend an ADT model obtained from constant‐stress ADT experiments to predict field reliability by considering the stress variations. A case study is provided to demonstrate the proposed statistical inference procedure. The accuracy of the procedure is verified by simulation using various distributions of field stresses. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006.

Suggested Citation

  • Haitao Liao & Elsayed A. Elsayed, 2006. "Reliability inference for field conditions from accelerated degradation testing," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(6), pages 576-587, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:navres:v:53:y:2006:i:6:p:576-587
    DOI: 10.1002/nav.20163
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    Cited by:

    1. Ao, Dan & Hu, Zhen & Mahadevan, Sankaran, 2017. "Design of validation experiments for life prediction models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 22-33.
    2. Zhai, Qingqing & Chen, Piao & Hong, Lanqing & Shen, Lijuan, 2018. "A random-effects Wiener degradation model based on accelerated failure time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 94-103.
    3. Wang, Pingping & Tang, Yincai & Joo Bae, Suk & He, Yong, 2018. "Bayesian analysis of two-phase degradation data based on change-point Wiener process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 244-256.
    4. Pang, Zhenan & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Du, Dangbo & Pei, Hong, 2021. "A Bayesian Inference for Remaining Useful Life Estimation by Fusing Accelerated Degradation Data and Condition Monitoring Data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    5. Ye, Zhi-Sheng & Chen, Nan & Shen, Yan, 2015. "A new class of Wiener process models for degradation analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 58-67.
    6. Yousefi, Nooshin & Coit, David W. & Song, Sanling, 2020. "Reliability analysis of systems considering clusters of dependent degrading components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    7. Wang, Lizhi & Pan, Rong & Li, Xiaoyang & Jiang, Tongmin, 2013. "A Bayesian reliability evaluation method with integrated accelerated degradation testing and field information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 38-47.
    8. Le Liu & Xiao-Yang Li & Enrico Zio & Rui Kang & Tong-Min Jiang, 2017. "Model Uncertainty in Accelerated Degradation Testing Analysis," Post-Print hal-01652218, HAL.
    9. I‐Chen Lee & Sheng‐Tsaing Tseng & Yili Hong, 2020. "Global planning of accelerated degradation tests based on exponential dispersion degradation models," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 67(6), pages 469-483, September.
    10. Yan, Bingxin & Ma, Xiaobing & Yang, Li & Wang, Han & Wu, Tianyi, 2020. "A novel degradation-rate-volatility related effect Wiener process model with its extension to accelerated ageing data analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    11. Peng, Weiwen & Li, Yan-Feng & Yang, Yuan-Jian & Huang, Hong-Zhong & Zuo, Ming J., 2014. "Inverse Gaussian process models for degradation analysis: A Bayesian perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 175-189.
    12. Guo, Jingbo & Wang, Changxi & Cabrera, Javier & Elsayed, Elsayed A., 2018. "Improved inverse Gaussian process and bootstrap: Degradation and reliability metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 269-277.
    13. Jen Tang & Tsui‐Shu Su, 2008. "Estimating failure time distribution and its parameters based on intermediate data from a Wiener degradation model," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(3), pages 265-276, April.
    14. Peng, Weiwen & Li, Yan-Feng & Mi, Jinhua & Yu, Le & Huang, Hong-Zhong, 2016. "Reliability of complex systems under dynamic conditions: A Bayesian multivariate degradation perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 75-87.
    15. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Wang, Wenbin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2011. "Remaining useful life estimation - A review on the statistical data driven approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 1-14, August.
    16. Zhang, Zhengxin & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Lei, Yaguo, 2018. "Degradation data analysis and remaining useful life estimation: A review on Wiener-process-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 775-796.
    17. Shah Limon & Om Prakash Yadav & Ming J Zuo & Jason Muscha & Russell Honeyman, 2016. "Reliability estimation considering usage rate profile and warranty claims," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(3), pages 297-308, June.

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