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Inferring information from the S&P 500, CBOE VIX, and CBOE SKEW indices

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  • Jiling Cao
  • Xinfeng Ruan
  • Wenjun Zhang

Abstract

This paper compares the information extracted from the S&P 500, CBOE VIX, and CBOE SKEW indices for the S&P 500 index option pricing. Based on our empirical analysis, VIX is a very informative index for option prices. Whether adding the SKEW or the VIX term structure can improve the option pricing performance depends on the model we choose. Roughly speaking, the VIX term structure is informative for some models, while the SKEW is very noisy and does not contain much important information for option prices. This paper also extends Zhang et al. (2017, J Futures Markets, 37, 211–237) into three typical affine models.

Suggested Citation

  • Jiling Cao & Xinfeng Ruan & Wenjun Zhang, 2020. "Inferring information from the S&P 500, CBOE VIX, and CBOE SKEW indices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 945-973, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:40:y:2020:i:6:p:945-973
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22093
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Xinglin Yang & Ji Chen, 2021. "VIX term structure: The role of jump propagation risks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 785-810, June.
    4. Hui Qu & Tianyang Wang & Peng Shangguan & Mengying He, 2024. "Revisiting the puzzle of jumps in volatility forecasting: The new insights of high‐frequency jump intensity," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(2), pages 218-251, February.
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    6. Massimo Guidolin & Giulia F. Panzeri, 2024. "Forecasting the CBOE VIX and SKEW Indices Using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-33, September.
    7. Mora-Valencia, Andrés & Rodríguez-Raga, Santiago & Vanegas, Esteban, 2021. "Skew index: Descriptive analysis, predictive power, and short-term forecast," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Jin E., 2021. "Time-varying uncertainty and variance risk premium," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    9. Qiao, Gaoxiu & Jiang, Gongyue & Yang, Jiyu, 2022. "VIX term structure forecasting: New evidence based on the realized semi-variances," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    10. Wu, Xinyu & Zhao, An & Liu, Li, 2023. "Forecasting VIX using two-component realized EGARCH model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).

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