IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v39y2019i6p635-655.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pricing variance swaps under the Hawkes jump‐diffusion process

Author

Listed:
  • Weiyi Liu
  • Song‐Ping Zhu

Abstract

This paper presents an analytical approach for pricing variance swaps with discrete sampling times when the underlying asset follows a Hawkes jump‐diffusion process characterized with both stochastic volatility and clustered jumps. A significantly simplified method, with which there is no need to solve partial differential equations, is used to derive a closed‐form pricing formula. A distinguished feature is that many recently published formulas can be shown to be special cases of the one presented here. Some numerical examples are provided with results demonstrating that jump clustering indeed has a significant impact on the price of variance swaps.

Suggested Citation

  • Weiyi Liu & Song‐Ping Zhu, 2019. "Pricing variance swaps under the Hawkes jump‐diffusion process," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 635-655, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:39:y:2019:i:6:p:635-655
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.21997
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.21997
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/fut.21997?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bollerslev, Tim & Zhou, Hao, 2004. "Corrigendum to "Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility" [J. Econom. 109 (2002) 33-65]," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 221-222, March.
    2. Bo, Lijun & Tang, Dan & Wang, Yongjin, 2017. "Optimal investment of variance-swaps in jump-diffusion market with regime-switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 175-197.
    3. Robert C. Merton, 2005. "Theory of rational option pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Sudipto Bhattacharya & George M Constantinides (ed.), Theory Of Valuation, chapter 8, pages 229-288, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Peter Carr & Roger Lee & Liuren Wu, 2012. "Variance swaps on time-changed Lévy processes," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 335-355, April.
    5. Yong Ma & Keshab Shrestha & Weidong Xu, 2017. "Pricing Vulnerable Options with Jump Clustering," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(12), pages 1155-1178, December.
    6. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    7. Richard Jordan & Charles Tier, 2009. "The Variance Swap Contract Under The Cev Process," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(05), pages 709-743.
    8. Leunglung Chan & Eckhard Platen, 2015. "Pricing and hedging of long dated variance swaps under a 3/2 volatility model," Published Paper Series 2015-6, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    9. Pun, Chi Seng & Chung, Shing Fung & Wong, Hoi Ying, 2015. "Variance swap with mean reversion, multifactor stochastic volatility and jumps," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 245(2), pages 571-580.
    10. Alireza Javaheri & Paul Wilmott & Espen Haug, 2004. "GARCH and Volatility swaps," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(5), pages 589-595.
    11. Bollerslev, Tim & Zhou, Hao, 2002. "Estimating stochastic volatility diffusion using conditional moments of integrated volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 33-65, July.
    12. Chavez-Demoulin, V. & McGill, J.A., 2012. "High-frequency financial data modeling using Hawkes processes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 3415-3426.
    13. Bates, David S, 1996. "Jumps and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate Processes Implicit in Deutsche Mark Options," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(1), pages 69-107.
    14. Grunbichler, Andreas & Longstaff, Francis A., 1996. "Valuing futures and options on volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(6), pages 985-1001, July.
    15. José Da Fonseca & Riadh Zaatour, 2015. "Clustering and Mean Reversion in a Hawkes Microstructure Model," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(9), pages 813-838, September.
    16. Bjørn Eraker & Michael Johannes & Nicholas Polson, 2003. "The Impact of Jumps in Volatility and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 1269-1300, June.
    17. Mark Broadie & Ashish Jain, 2008. "The Effect Of Jumps And Discrete Sampling On Volatility And Variance Swaps," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(08), pages 761-797.
    18. Robert Elliott & Tak Kuen Siu & Leunglung Chan, 2007. "Pricing Volatility Swaps Under Heston's Stochastic Volatility Model with Regime Switching," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 41-62.
    19. Matthias Kirchner, 2017. "An estimation procedure for the Hawkes process," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 571-595, April.
    20. José Da Fonseca & Riadh Zaatour, 2014. "Hawkes Process: Fast Calibration, Application to Trade Clustering, and Diffusive Limit," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(6), pages 548-579, June.
    21. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:3:p:1367-1404 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Robert J. Elliott & Guang-Hua Lian, 2012. "Pricing variance and volatility swaps in a stochastic volatility model with regime switching: discrete observations case," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 687-698, March.
    23. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Cacho-Diaz, Julio & Laeven, Roger J.A., 2015. "Modeling financial contagion using mutually exciting jump processes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 585-606.
    24. Wendong Zheng & Yue Kuen Kwok, 2014. "Closed Form Pricing Formulas For Discretely Sampled Generalized Variance Swaps," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(4), pages 855-881, October.
    25. Bates, David S., 2000. "Post-'87 crash fears in the S&P 500 futures option market," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-2), pages 181-238.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Song, Shiyu, 2024. "The valuation of arithmetic Asian options with mean reversion and jump clustering," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    2. Tong, Zhigang & Liu, Allen, 2022. "Pricing variance swaps under subordinated Jacobi stochastic volatility models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    3. Luis A. Souto Arias & Pasquale Cirillo & Cornelis W. Oosterlee, 2022. "A new self-exciting jump-diffusion process for option pricing," Papers 2205.13321, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    4. Xinglin Yang & Ji Chen, 2021. "VIX term structure: The role of jump propagation risks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 785-810, June.
    5. Sha Lin & Xin‐Jiang He, 2024. "Closed‐Form Formulae for Variance and Volatility Swaps Under Stochastic Volatility With Stochastic Liquidity Risks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(8), pages 1447-1461, August.
    6. Jing, Bo & Li, Shenghong & Ma, Yong, 2021. "Consistent pricing of VIX options with the Hawkes jump-diffusion model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Guanghua Lian & Robert J. Elliott & Petko Kalev & Zhaojun Yang, 2022. "Approximate pricing of American exchange options with jumps," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 983-1001, June.
    8. Yiru Xi & Hoi Ying Wong, 2021. "Discrete variance swap in a rough volatility economy," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(10), pages 1640-1654, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wu, Bin & Chen, Pengzhan & Ye, Wuyi, 2024. "Variance swaps with mean reversion and multi-factor variance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(1), pages 191-212.
    2. Ah-Reum Han & Jeong-Hoon Kim & See-Woo Kim, 2021. "Variance Swaps with Deterministic and Stochastic Correlations," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 1059-1092, April.
    3. Ben-Zhang Yang & Jia Yue & Nan-Jing Huang, 2019. "Equilibrium Price Of Variance Swaps Under Stochastic Volatility With Lévy Jumps And Stochastic Interest Rate," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-33, June.
    4. Bo Jing & Shenghong Li & Yong Ma, 2020. "Pricing VIX options with volatility clustering," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 928-944, June.
    5. Kaeck, Andreas & Alexander, Carol, 2012. "Volatility dynamics for the S&P 500: Further evidence from non-affine, multi-factor jump diffusions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 3110-3121.
    6. Li, Chenxu & Chen, Dachuan, 2016. "Estimating jump–diffusions using closed-form likelihood expansions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 195(1), pages 51-70.
    7. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Ornthanalai, Chayawat & Wang, Yintian, 2008. "Option valuation with long-run and short-run volatility components," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 272-297, December.
    8. Zhu, Song-Ping & Lian, Guang-Hua, 2015. "Pricing forward-start variance swaps with stochastic volatility," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 920-933.
    9. Chen, Jian & Qi, Shuyuan, 2024. "Limit-hitting exciting effects: Modeling jump dependencies in stock markets adhering to daily price-limit rules," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    10. Du Du & Dan Luo, 2019. "The Pricing of Jump Propagation: Evidence from Spot and Options Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 2360-2387, May.
    11. Xinglin Yang & Ji Chen, 2021. "VIX term structure: The role of jump propagation risks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 785-810, June.
    12. Gonçalo Faria & João Correia-da-Silva, 2014. "A closed-form solution for options with ambiguity about stochastic volatility," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 125-159, July.
    13. Ke Wang & Xunxiang Guo, 2024. "Valuations of Variance and Volatility Swaps Under Double Heston Jump-Diffusion Model With Approximative Fractional Stochastic Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(4), pages 1543-1573, April.
    14. Griffin, J.E. & Steel, M.F.J., 2006. "Inference with non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes for stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(2), pages 605-644, October.
    15. Shackleton, Mark B. & Taylor, Stephen J. & Yu, Peng, 2010. "A multi-horizon comparison of density forecasts for the S&P 500 using index returns and option prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2678-2693, November.
    16. Yueh-Neng Lin & Ken Hung, 2008. "Is Volatility Priced?," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 9(1), pages 39-75, May.
    17. Garcia, René & Lewis, Marc-André & Pastorello, Sergio & Renault, Éric, 2011. "Estimation of objective and risk-neutral distributions based on moments of integrated volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 22-32, January.
    18. In Kim & In-Seok Baek & Jaesun Noh & Sol Kim, 2007. "The role of stochastic volatility and return jumps: reproducing volatility and higher moments in the KOSPI 200 returns dynamics," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 69-110, July.
    19. Ben-zhang Yang & Jia Yue & Nan-jing Huang, 2017. "Variance swaps under L\'{e}vy process with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate in incomplete markets," Papers 1712.10105, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:39:y:2019:i:6:p:635-655. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.