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Excess sensitivity and borrowing constraints: Evidence from Iranian households

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  • Majid Einian
  • Masoud Nili

Abstract

In contrast to the findings of simple rational expectations permanent income hypothesis models, empirical studies show that income changes can help predict consumption change. This is dubbed as excess sensitivity in the macroeconomic literature. We use Iranian household data to investigate the excess sensitivity using civil servant status as a proxy for borrowing constraints. We observe that the excess sensitivity is different among different panels. Much less excess sensitivity is observed for government employees who have better access to finance due to the structure of the labour market and banking system in Iran. Our proxy variable to divide data, which is the working status of the head of the household, does not suffer from endogeneity problems evident in the previous literature. The results of this study indicate that the actual consumption profile of a constrained household is suboptimal and hence deepening financial access can decrease the welfare loss of this suboptimality.

Suggested Citation

  • Majid Einian & Masoud Nili, 2020. "Excess sensitivity and borrowing constraints: Evidence from Iranian households," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(1), pages 137-160, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ectrin:v:28:y:2020:i:1:p:137-160
    DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12233
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Attanasio, Orazio P & Browning, Martin, 1995. "Consumption over the Life Cycle and over the Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1118-1137, December.
    2. Fabrizio Perri & Dirk Krueger, 2008. "How does Household Consumption Respond to Income Shocks? Evidence and Theory," 2008 Meeting Papers 910, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Grant M Scobie & John K Gibson, 2003. "Household Saving Behaviour in New Zealand: Why do Cohorts Behave Differently?," Treasury Working Paper Series 03/32, New Zealand Treasury.
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    Cited by:

    1. Terézia Vančová & Luboš Střelec, 2020. "Consumption Function in the Context of Cultural Affinity Zones," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 68(4), pages 797-806.
    2. Chen Taiming & Qi Yingfei & Du Liangsheng, 2024. "Transportation Network Density, Domestic Market Integration and Excess Sensitivity of Household Consumption," China Finance and Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 13(3), pages 24-43.

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