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Weltwirtschaft durch EU-Austritt Großbritanniens kaum beeinträchtigt. Mittelfristige Prognose bis 2021

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  • Stefan Schiman-Vukan

Abstract

Das Weltwirtschaftswachstum beschleunigt sich mittelfristig nur leicht. Zügig expandieren wird die Wirtschaft auf Basis einer robusten Binnennachfrage und einer zunehmenden Erwerbsbevölkerung in den USA. Im Euro-Raum verläuft die Expansion langsamer, da die institutionellen Mängel der Währungsunion die Erwartungen dämpfen und die Erwerbsbevölkerung stagniert. Der EU-Austritt Großbritanniens wird vor allem die britische Wirtschaft selbst treffen, weniger deren Handelspartner. Die Zugkraft des Wachstums in den Schwellenländern lässt weiter nach. In China verlangsamt es sich, in Russland und Brasilien erholt sich die Konjunktur aufgrund der niedrigen Rohstoffpreise nur schleppend aus der aktuellen Krise.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Schiman-Vukan, 2016. "Weltwirtschaft durch EU-Austritt Großbritanniens kaum beeinträchtigt. Mittelfristige Prognose bis 2021," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 89(10), pages 717-727, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2016:i:10:p:717-727
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Mittelfristige Prognose; Weltwirtschaft;

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