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Konjunkturzyklen der österreichischen Wirtschaft

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  • Marcus Scheiblecker

Abstract

Das um Saison- und Arbeitstagseffekte bereinigte Bruttoinlandsprodukt ging im III. und IV. Quartal 2001 zurück. Gelegentlich wird im ökonomischen Sprachgebrauch eine solche Periode negativer Veränderungsraten in zwei aufeinanderfolgenden Quartalen als Rezession bezeichnet. Diese mechanistische Interpretation entspricht nicht der Konjunkturdefinition im "klassischen" Sinn, die auf die gesamtwirtschaftliche Kapazitätsauslastung abstellt. Eine Datierung der Rezessionen in Österreich seit 1954 gemäß dieser Regel kommt zu unterschiedlichen Ergebnissen, wenn sich die Bereinigung nur auf die Saison- und Arbeitstagseffekte oder auch auf eine verbleibende irreguläre Restkomponente erstreckt.

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  • Marcus Scheiblecker, 2002. "Konjunkturzyklen der österreichischen Wirtschaft," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 75(7), pages 437-446, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2002:i:7:p:437-446
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Marcus Scheiblecker, 2004. "The Working-Day Effect in the Austrian Economy," Austrian Economic Quarterly, WIFO, vol. 9(1), pages 14-23, February.
    2. Ulrike Huemer & Rainer Eppel & Marion Kogler & Helmut Mahringer & Lukas Schmoigl & David Pichler, 2021. "Effektivität von Instrumenten der aktiven Arbeitsmarktpolitik in unterschiedlichen Konjunkturphasen," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 67250.
    3. Marcus Scheiblecker, 2015. "Österreichs Wirtschaft im Rückstand?," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(6), pages 497-510, June.
    4. Sandra Bilek-Steindl, 2012. "On the Change in the Austrian Business Cycle," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(1), pages 1-18.
    5. N. N., 2015. "WIFO-Monatsberichte, Heft 6/2015," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 88(6), June.
    6. Susanne Bärenthaler-Sieber & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Christian Glocker, 2013. "Trade Synchronisation During Major Economic Crises," WIFO Working Papers 449, WIFO.
    7. Margarete Czerny & Michael Weingärtler, 2007. "Housing Construction and Renovation as a Tool of Economic Prosperity," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 29179.

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