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Modelling waiting time for passengers transferring from rail to buses

Author

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  • Shuxia Guo
  • Lei Yu
  • Xumei Chen
  • Yu Zhang

Abstract

This paper develops a mathematical model to calculate the average waiting time for passengers transferring from rail transit to buses based on the statistical analysis of primary data collected in Beijing. An important part of the average waiting time modelling is to analyse the distributions of passenger arrival rates. It is shown that the lognormal and gamma distributions have the best fit for direct transfer and non-direct transfer passengers, respectively. Subsequently, an average waiting time model for transferring passengers is developed based on passenger arrival rate distributions. Furthermore, case studies are conducted for two scenarios with real and estimated data, resulting in relative errors of −3.69% and −3.77%, respectively. Finally, the paper analyses the impacts of bus headway, the headway of rail cars, and the proportion of direct transfer passengers on average waiting time.

Suggested Citation

  • Shuxia Guo & Lei Yu & Xumei Chen & Yu Zhang, 2011. "Modelling waiting time for passengers transferring from rail to buses," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(8), pages 795-809, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:transp:v:34:y:2011:i:8:p:795-809
    DOI: 10.1080/03081060.2011.613589
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. E. E. Osuna & G. F. Newell, 1972. "Control Strategies for an Idealized Public Transportation System," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 6(1), pages 52-72, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Po-Chieh & Hsu, Yu-Ting & Hsu, Chia-Wei, 2021. "Analysis of waiting time perception of bus passengers provided with mobile service," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 319-336.
    2. Zhou, Min & Ge, Shichao & Liu, Jiali & Dong, Hairong & Wang, Fei-Yue, 2020. "Field observation and analysis of waiting passengers at subway platform — A case study of Beijing subway stations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
    3. Mohammad Reza Amin-Naseri & Vahid Baradaran, 2015. "Accurate Estimation of Average Waiting Time in Public Transportation Systems," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(2), pages 213-222, May.
    4. Pei Yin & Miaojuan Peng, 2023. "Station Layout Optimization and Route Selection of Urban Rail Transit Planning: A Case Study of Shanghai Pudong International Airport," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-29, March.

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