IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/tprsxx/v55y2017i17p5142-5156.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting consumer product demands via Big Data: the roles of online promotional marketing and online reviews

Author

Listed:
  • Alain Yee Loong Chong
  • Eugene Ch’ng
  • Martin J. Liu
  • Boying Li

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the contributions of online promotional marketing and online reviews as predictors of consumer product demands. Using electronic data from Amazon.com, we attempt to predict if online review variables such as valence and volume of reviews, the number of positive and negative reviews, and online promotional marketing variables such as discounts and free deliveries, can influence the demand of electronic products in Amazon.com. A Big Data architecture was developed and Node.JS agents were deployed for scraping the Amazon.com pages using asynchronous Input/Output calls. The completed Web crawling and scraping data-sets were then preprocessed for Neural Network analysis. Our results showed that variables from both online reviews and promotional marketing strategies are important predictors of product demands. Variables in online reviews in general were better predictors as compared to online marketing promotional variables. This study provides important implications for practitioners as they can better understand how online reviews and online promotional marketing can influence product demands. Our empirical contributions include the design of a Big Data architecture that incorporate Neural Network analysis which can used as a platform for future researchers to investigate how Big Data can be used to understand and predict online consumer product demands.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Yee Loong Chong & Eugene Ch’ng & Martin J. Liu & Boying Li, 2017. "Predicting consumer product demands via Big Data: the roles of online promotional marketing and online reviews," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(17), pages 5142-5156, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:tprsxx:v:55:y:2017:i:17:p:5142-5156
    DOI: 10.1080/00207543.2015.1066519
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00207543.2015.1066519
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/00207543.2015.1066519?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Doern, Rachel R. & Fey, Carl F., 2006. "E-commerce developments and strategies for value creation: The case of Russia," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 315-327, December.
    2. Payam Zarafshan & S. Ali A. Moosavian, 2011. "Rigid--flexible interactive dynamics modelling approach," Mathematical and Computer Modelling of Dynamical Systems, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 175-199, July.
    3. Liu, Martin J. & Yannopoulou, Natalia & Bian, Xuemei & Elliott, Richard, 2015. "Authenticity Perceptions in the Chinese Marketplace," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 27-33.
    4. Garrett P. Sonnier & Leigh McAlister & Oliver J. Rutz, 2011. "A Dynamic Model of the Effect of Online Communications on Firm Sales," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 30(4), pages 702-716, July.
    5. Dobrzykowski, David & Saboori Deilami, Vafa & Hong, Paul & Kim, Seung-Chul, 2014. "A structured analysis of operations and supply chain management research in healthcare (1982–2011)," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(PB), pages 514-530.
    6. Gupta, Sunil & Cooper, Lee G, 1992. "The Discounting of Discounts and Promotion Thresholds," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 19(3), pages 401-411, December.
    7. Xianghua Lu & Sulin Ba & Lihua Huang & Yue Feng, 2013. "Promotional Marketing or Word-of-Mouth? Evidence from Online Restaurant Reviews," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 24(3), pages 596-612, September.
    8. Duan, Wenjing & Gu, Bin & Whinston, Andrew B., 2008. "The dynamics of online word-of-mouth and product sales—An empirical investigation of the movie industry," Journal of Retailing, Elsevier, vol. 84(2), pages 233-242.
    9. Chong, Alain Yee-Loong & Ooi, Keng-Boon & Sohal, Amrik, 2009. "The relationship between supply chain factors and adoption of e-Collaboration tools: An empirical examination," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 150-160, November.
    10. Seshadri Tirunillai & Gerard J. Tellis, 2012. "Does Chatter Really Matter? Dynamics of User-Generated Content and Stock Performance," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 31(2), pages 198-215, March.
    11. Zhang, Jason Q. & Craciun, Georgiana & Shin, Dongwoo, 2010. "When does electronic word-of-mouth matter? A study of consumer product reviews," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(12), pages 1336-1341, December.
    12. Chakravarty, Anindita & Liu, Yong & Mazumdar, Tridib, 2010. "The Differential Effects of Online Word-of-Mouth and Critics' Reviews on Pre-release Movie Evaluation," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 185-197.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kick, Markus, 2015. "Social Media Research: A Narrative Review," EconStor Preprints 182506, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    2. Satyendra Kumar Sharma & Swapnajit Chakraborti & Tanaya Jha, 2019. "Analysis of book sales prediction at Amazon marketplace in India: a machine learning approach," Information Systems and e-Business Management, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 261-284, December.
    3. King, Robert Allen & Racherla, Pradeep & Bush, Victoria D., 2014. "What We Know and Don't Know About Online Word-of-Mouth: A Review and Synthesis of the Literature," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 167-183.
    4. Zhen Li & Fangzhou Li & Jing Xiao & Zhi Yang, 2020. "Topic Features in Negative Customer Reviews: Evidence Based on Text Data Mining," The Review of Socionetwork Strategies, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 19-40, April.
    5. Duan, Yongrui & Liu, Tonghui & Mao, Zhixin, 2022. "How online reviews and coupons affect sales and pricing: An empirical study based on e-commerce platform," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Kim, Jikyung (Jeanne) & Dong, Hang & Choi, Jeonghye & Chang, Sue Ryung, 2022. "Sentiment change and negative herding: Evidence from microblogging and news," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 364-376.
    7. Marchand, André & Hennig-Thurau, Thorsten & Wiertz, Caroline, 2017. "Not all digital word of mouth is created equal: Understanding the respective impact of consumer reviews and microblogs on new product success," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 336-354.
    8. Divakaran, Pradeep Kumar Ponnamma & Palmer, Adrian & Søndergaard, Helle Alsted & Matkovskyy, Roman, 2017. "Pre-launch Prediction of Market Performance for Short Lifecycle Products Using Online Community Data," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 12-28.
    9. Zheng, Lili, 2021. "The classification of online consumer reviews: A systematic literature review and integrative framework," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 226-251.
    10. Gobinda Roy & Biplab Datta & Rituparna Basu, 2017. "Effect of eWOM Valence on Online Retail Sales," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(1), pages 198-209, February.
    11. Khim-Yong Goh & Cheng-Suang Heng & Zhijie Lin, 2013. "Social Media Brand Community and Consumer Behavior: Quantifying the Relative Impact of User- and Marketer-Generated Content," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 24(1), pages 88-107, March.
    12. Pradeep Kumar Ponnamma Divakaran & Jie Xiong, 2022. "Eliciting brand association networks: A new method using online community data," Post-Print hal-03700393, HAL.
    13. Pauwels, Koen & Aksehirli, Zeynep & Lackman, Andrew, 2016. "Like the ad or the brand? Marketing stimulates different electronic word-of-mouth content to drive online and offline performance," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 639-655.
    14. Kim, Jikyung (Jeanne) & Kim, Sanghwa & Choi, Jeonghye, 2020. "Purchase now and consume later: Do online and offline environments drive online social interactions and sales?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 274-285.
    15. Antioco, Michael & Coussement, Kristof, 2018. "Misreading of consumer dissatisfaction in online product reviews: Writing style as a cause for bias," International Journal of Information Management, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 301-310.
    16. Agnieszka Zablocki & Bodo Schlegelmilch & Michael J. Houston, 2019. "How valence, volume and variance of online reviews influence brand attitudes," AMS Review, Springer;Academy of Marketing Science, vol. 9(1), pages 61-77, June.
    17. Christof Naumzik & Stefan Feuerriegel & Markus Weinmann, 2022. "I Will Survive: Predicting Business Failures from Customer Ratings," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(1), pages 188-207, January.
    18. Anatoli Colicev & Ashwin Malshe & Koen Pauwels, 2018. "Social Media and Customer-Based Brand Equity: An Empirical Investigation in Retail Industry," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-16, September.
    19. Steven F. Lehrer & Tian Xie, 2022. "The Bigger Picture: Combining Econometrics with Analytics Improves Forecasts of Movie Success," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(1), pages 189-210, January.
    20. Sulin Ba & Yuan Jin & Xinxin Li & Xianghua Lu, 2020. "One Size Fits All? The Differential Impact of Online Reviews and Coupons," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 29(10), pages 2403-2424, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:tprsxx:v:55:y:2017:i:17:p:5142-5156. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/TPRS20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.