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Past price ‘memory’ in the housing market: testing the performance of different spatio-temporal specifications

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  • Jean Dubé
  • Diègo Legros
  • Sotirios Thanos

Abstract

Recent methodological developments provide a way to incorporate the temporal dimension when accounting for spatial effects in hedonic pricing. Weight matrices should decompose the spatial effects into two distinct components: bidirectional contemporaneous spatial connections; and unidirectional spatio-temporal effects from past transactions. Our iterative estimation approach explicitly analyses the role of time in price determination. The results show that both spatio-temporal components should be included in model specification; past transaction information stops contributing to price determination after eight months; and limited temporal friction is exhibited within this period. These findings highlight the decidedly non-linear temporal patterns of such information effects.

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  • Jean Dubé & Diègo Legros & Sotirios Thanos, 2018. "Past price ‘memory’ in the housing market: testing the performance of different spatio-temporal specifications," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 118-138, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:specan:v:13:y:2018:i:1:p:118-138
    DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2018.1395063
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sotirios Thanos & Michael White, 2014. "Expectation Adjustment in the Housing Market: Insights from the Scottish Auction System," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(3), pages 339-361, April.
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    8. Dubé, Jean & Legros, Diègo & Thériault, Marius & Des Rosiers, François, 2014. "A spatial Difference-in-Differences estimator to evaluate the effect of change in public mass transit systems on house prices," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 24-40.
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    2. Sonia Yousfi & Jean Dubé & Diègo Legros & Sotirios Thanos, 2020. "Mass appraisal without statistical estimation: a simplified comparable sales approach based on a spatiotemporal matrix," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 64(2), pages 349-365, April.
    3. Duran, Nicolas & Elhorst, J. Paul, 2017. "A Spatio-temporal-similarity and Common Factor Approach of Individual Housing Prices," Research Report 2018007-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).

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