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Fiscal Policy and Regional Output Volatility: Evidence from Russia

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  • Markus Eller
  • Jarko Fidrmuc
  • Zuzana Fungáčová

Abstract

Eller M., Fidrmuc J. and Fungácˇ ová Z. Fiscal policy and regional output volatility: evidence from Russia, Regional Studies. This paper investigates the relationship between fiscal policy and output volatility in Russian regions between 2000 and 2009. Accounting for endogeneity between output volatility and fiscal developments by using system-generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation techniques, the results indicate that discretionary fiscal policy contributes to output volatility and induces macroeconomic instability at the regional level in Russia. This corroborates previous studies using cross-country data. To reduce business cycle fluctuations, it would be necessary to curtail procyclical fiscal activism at the regional level, e.g. via fiscal rules and sound institutions of fiscal federalism.

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Eller & Jarko Fidrmuc & Zuzana Fungáčová, 2016. "Fiscal Policy and Regional Output Volatility: Evidence from Russia," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(11), pages 1849-1862, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:regstd:v:50:y:2016:i:11:p:1849-1862
    DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2015.1064884
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    3. Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A. & Ulbricht, Dirk & Fidrmuc, Jarko, 2016. "Between the Hammer and the Anvil: The Impact of Economic Sanctions and Oil Prices on Russia’s Ruble," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 295-308.
    4. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu, 2022. "Bank Financial Stability and International Oil Prices: Evidence from Listed Russian Public Banks," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(3), pages 217-246, May.
    5. Muhsin Ali & Karim Khan, 2020. "Volatility in Discretionary Public Spending and Economic Growth: A Cross Country Analysis," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 45-68.
    6. El-Shagi, Makram & Fidrmuc, Jarko & Yamarik, Steven, 2020. "Inequality and credit growth in Russian regions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 550-558.
    7. Shobande Olatunji Abdul, 2020. "Fiscal Rule in Africa," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 112-120, January.
    8. Hansjörg Blöchliger & Olivier Durand-Lasserve, 2018. "The drivers of regional growth in Russia: A baseline model with applications," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1523, OECD Publishing.
    9. Oussama Ritahi & Abdellah Echaoui, 2024. "Budgetary policy and Macroeconomic resilience in Morocco: Assessment and Impact," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2024(3), pages 357-379.
    10. Shobande Olatunji Abdul, 2020. "Fiscal Rule in Africa," Open Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 112-120, January.
    11. Vlasov, S. & Deryugina, E., 2018. "Fiscal Multipliers in Russia," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 38(2), pages 104-119.
    12. Claudiu Albulescu, 2020. "Bank financial stability, bank valuation and international oil prices: Evidence from listed Russian public banks," Papers 2004.12791, arXiv.org.
    13. Michael V. Alexeev & Andrey V. Korytin & Elena V. Melkova, 2022. "Regional Tax Competition in Canada, the United States and Russia: Assessment of Regulatory Experience," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 6, pages 8-24, December.

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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