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Sovereign rating changes and realized volatility in Asian foreign exchange markets during the Asian crisis

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  • Emawtee Bissoondoyal-Bheenick
  • Robert Brooks
  • Samantha Hum
  • Sirimon Treepongkaruna

Abstract

This article explores the impacts of sovereign rating changes by multiple rating agencies on foreign exchange rate volatility during the Asian crisis. We extend the existing literature to explore the impacts of multiple agency sovereign rating changes on the realized volatility of foreign exchange markets. Our findings show that the rating downgrades are associated with increases in foreign exchange volatility, and that multiple downgrades lead to a much higher increase in volatility as compared to single downgrades. Our results demonstrate that rating downgrades are part of the important news for the national markets consistent with the analysis of contagion analysis in Baur and Fry (2006, 2009).

Suggested Citation

  • Emawtee Bissoondoyal-Bheenick & Robert Brooks & Samantha Hum & Sirimon Treepongkaruna, 2011. "Sovereign rating changes and realized volatility in Asian foreign exchange markets during the Asian crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(13), pages 997-1003.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:21:y:2011:i:13:p:997-1003
    DOI: 10.1080/09603107.2011.554367
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    2. Brůha, Jan & Kočenda, Evžen, 2018. "Financial stability in Europe: Banking and sovereign risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 305-321.
    3. Laura Andrade-Pardo & Oscar Valencia-Arana & Diego Vásquez-Escobar & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2016. "Uncovering the portfolio balance channel with the use of sovereign credit ratings," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 34(81), pages 191-205, December.

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