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A Comparative Study of Artificial Intelligence Models and A Statistical Method for Groundwater Level Prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Mojtaba Poursaeid

    (MPO-Plan and Budget Organization
    Payam Noor University)

  • Amir Houssain Poursaeid

    (Lorestan University)

  • Saeid Shabanlou

    (Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah Branch)

Abstract

Today, various methods have been developed to extract drinking water resources, which scientists use to simulate the quantitative and qualitative water resources parameters. Due to Iran's geographical and climatic characteristics, this region is located on the drought belt in Asia. In this research, some Artificial Intelligence (AI) and mathematical models have been used for groundwater level prediction. The AI models used for this research are Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model. In this study, simultaneously, these models were used to simulate and estimate groundwater level (GWL). The database used in the simulation is the data related to the Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Electrical Conductivity (EC), Salinity (S), and Time (t) parameters. The results showed that ELM was more accurate than other methods. In Uncertainty Wilson Score Method (UWSM) analysis, ELM had an Underestimation performance and was determined as the more precise model.

Suggested Citation

  • Mojtaba Poursaeid & Amir Houssain Poursaeid & Saeid Shabanlou, 2022. "A Comparative Study of Artificial Intelligence Models and A Statistical Method for Groundwater Level Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(5), pages 1499-1519, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:36:y:2022:i:5:d:10.1007_s11269-022-03070-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-022-03070-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mehrdad Jeihouni & Ara Toomanian & Ali Mansourian, 2020. "Decision Tree-Based Data Mining and Rule Induction for Identifying High Quality Groundwater Zones to Water Supply Management: a Novel Hybrid Use of Data Mining and GIS," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(1), pages 139-154, January.
    2. Lyu, Wenjing & Liu, Jin, 2021. "Artificial Intelligence and emerging digital technologies in the energy sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    3. Partha Majumder & T.I. Eldho, 2020. "Artificial Neural Network and Grey Wolf Optimizer Based Surrogate Simulation-Optimization Model for Groundwater Remediation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(2), pages 763-783, January.
    4. Ghorban Asgari & Ensieh Komijani & Abdolmotaleb Seid-Mohammadi & Mohammad Khazaei, 2021. "Assessment the Quality of Bottled Drinking Water Through Mamdani Fuzzy Water Quality Index," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(15), pages 5431-5452, December.
    5. Mojtaba Kadkhodazadeh & Saeed Farzin, 2021. "A Novel LSSVM Model Integrated with GBO Algorithm to Assessment of Water Quality Parameters," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(12), pages 3939-3968, September.
    6. L. Guneshwor & T. I. Eldho & A. Vinod Kumar, 2018. "Identification of Groundwater Contamination Sources Using Meshfree RPCM Simulation and Particle Swarm Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(4), pages 1517-1538, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bulent Haznedar & Huseyin Cagan Kilinc, 2022. "A Hybrid ANFIS-GA Approach for Estimation of Hydrological Time Series," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4819-4842, September.
    2. Yong Huang & Kehan Miao & Xiaoguang Liu & Yin Jiang, 2022. "The Hysteresis Response of Groundwater to Reservoir Water Level Changes in a Plain Reservoir Area," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4739-4763, September.
    3. Saeideh Samani & Meysam Vadiati & Farahnaz Azizi & Efat Zamani & Ozgur Kisi, 2022. "Groundwater Level Simulation Using Soft Computing Methods with Emphasis on Major Meteorological Components," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3627-3647, August.
    4. R. Sarma & S. K. Singh, 2022. "A Comparative Study of Data-driven Models for Groundwater Level Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(8), pages 2741-2756, June.
    5. Stephen Afrifa & Tao Zhang & Peter Appiahene & Vijayakumar Varadarajan, 2022. "Mathematical and Machine Learning Models for Groundwater Level Changes: A Systematic Review and Bibliographic Analysis," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-31, August.

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