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A Novel Idea for Groundwater Resource Management during Megadrought Events

Author

Listed:
  • Ameneh Mianabadi

    (Ferdowsi University of Mashhad)

  • Hashem Derakhshan

    (Ferdowsi University of Mashhad)

  • Kamran Davary

    (Ferdowsi University of Mashhad)

  • Seyed Majid Hasheminia

    (Ferdowsi University of Mashhad)

  • Markus Hrachowitz

    (Delft University of Technology)

Abstract

Due to the effects of global climate change on duration, frequency and number of drought events, the occurrence of prolonged droughts, referred to as “megadroughts” (lasting for two decades or longer) will become more probable in the future. Thus, it is crucial for countries especially in arid and semi-arid regions of the world to develop appropriate preparedness plans for megadrought risk management. Since groundwater is the key water resource in these regions, it is important to reliably quantify the maximum sustainable extraction to ensure a sufficient groundwater reserve, i.e. the Strategic Groundwater Reserve, for a probable future megadrought event. For this purpose, a new concept of Probable Maximum Drought is proposed in this study, based on the concept of Probable Maximum Flood. As the spillways of large dams are designed based on the Probable Maximum Flood to minimize the probability of failure and the associated casualties and damages, the Probable Maximum Drought concept is proposed to estimate Strategic Groundwater Reserves to limit the consequences of prolonged droughts, including damage and threats to societal stability. This will allow water resources managers and policymakers to develop appropriate strategies to adapt and restrict development plans of a given region based on a sustainable megadrought risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Ameneh Mianabadi & Hashem Derakhshan & Kamran Davary & Seyed Majid Hasheminia & Markus Hrachowitz, 2020. "A Novel Idea for Groundwater Resource Management during Megadrought Events," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(5), pages 1743-1755, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:34:y:2020:i:5:d:10.1007_s11269-020-02525-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-020-02525-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ameneh Mianabadi & Seyed Majid Hasheminia & Kamran Davary & Hashem Derakhshan & Markus Hrachowitz, 2021. "Estimating the Aquifer’s Renewable Water to Mitigate the Challenges of Upcoming Megadrought Events," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(14), pages 4927-4942, November.
    2. Yizhong Chen & Hongwei Lu & Jing Li & Pengdong Yan & He Peng, 2021. "Multi-Level Decision-Making for Inter-Regional Water Resources Management with Water Footprint Analysis and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(2), pages 481-503, January.
    3. Ritsche A. Kloosterman & Jan Peter Hoek & Paulien Herder, 2021. "Resilient Drinking Water Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(1), pages 337-351, January.
    4. Mercedes Vélez-Nicolás & Santiago García-López & Verónica Ruiz-Ortiz & Ángel Sánchez-Bellón, 2020. "Towards a Sustainable and Adaptive Groundwater Management: Lessons from the Benalup Aquifer (Southern Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-28, June.
    5. Ruirui Zhu & Hongxing Zheng & Anthony J. Jakeman & Francis H.S. Chiew, 2023. "Multi-timescale Performance of Groundwater Drought in Connection with Climate," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3599-3614, July.

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