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Multilayer Feed Forward Models in Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Meteorological Data in Public Management

Author

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  • Georgios N. Kouziokas

    (University of Thessaly)

  • Alexander Chatzigeorgiou

    (University of Macedonia)

  • Konstantinos Perakis

    (University of Thessaly)

Abstract

Managing the groundwater resources is very vital for human life. This research proposes a methodology for predicting the groundwater levels which can be very valuable in water resources management. This study investigates the application of multilayer feed forward network models for forecasting the groundwater values in the region of Montgomery country in Pennsylvania. Multiple training algorithms and network structures were investigated to develop the best model in order to forecast the groundwater levels. Several multilayer feed forward models were created in order to be tested for their performance by changing the network topology parameters so as to find the optimal prediction model. The forecasting models were developed by applying different structures regarding the number of the neurons in every hidden layer and the number of the hidden network layers. The final results have shown a very good forecasting accuracy of the predicted groundwater levels. This research can be very valuable in water resources and environmental management.

Suggested Citation

  • Georgios N. Kouziokas & Alexander Chatzigeorgiou & Konstantinos Perakis, 2018. "Multilayer Feed Forward Models in Groundwater Level Forecasting Using Meteorological Data in Public Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(15), pages 5041-5052, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:32:y:2018:i:15:d:10.1007_s11269-018-2126-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-018-2126-y
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    1. S. Mohanty & Madan Jha & S. Raul & R. Panda & K. Sudheer, 2015. "Using Artificial Neural Network Approach for Simultaneous Forecasting of Weekly Groundwater Levels at Multiple Sites," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5521-5532, December.
    2. Ruth Langridge & Bruce Daniels, 2017. "Accounting for Climate Change and Drought in Implementing Sustainable Groundwater Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(11), pages 3287-3298, September.
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    5. Sandra M. Guzman & Joel O. Paz & Mary Love M. Tagert, 2017. "The Use of NARX Neural Networks to Forecast Daily Groundwater Levels," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(5), pages 1591-1603, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Afshin Khoshand, 2021. "Application of artificial intelligence in groundwater ecosystem protection: a case study of Semnan/Sorkheh plain, Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(11), pages 16617-16631, November.
    2. Ao, Chang & Zeng, Wenzhi & Wu, Lifeng & Qian, Long & Srivastava, Amit Kumar & Gaiser, Thomas, 2021. "Time-delayed machine learning models for estimating groundwater depth in the Hetao Irrigation District, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    3. Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis & Harris Vangelis, 2018. "Water Resources and Environment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(15), pages 4813-4817, December.
    4. Saeideh Samani & Meysam Vadiati & Farahnaz Azizi & Efat Zamani & Ozgur Kisi, 2022. "Groundwater Level Simulation Using Soft Computing Methods with Emphasis on Major Meteorological Components," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3627-3647, August.
    5. Mohadeseh Kavusi & Abbas Khashei Siuki & Mahdi Dastourani, 2020. "Optimal Design of Groundwater Monitoring Network Using the Combined Election-Kriging Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(8), pages 2503-2516, June.
    6. Dilip Kumar Roy & Sujit Kumar Biswas & Kowshik Kumar Saha & Khandakar Faisal Ibn Murad, 2021. "Groundwater Level Forecast Via a Discrete Space-State Modelling Approach as a Surrogate to Complex Groundwater Simulation Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1653-1672, April.
    7. Saeed Mozaffari & Saman Javadi & Hamid Kardan Moghaddam & Timothy O. Randhir, 2022. "Forecasting Groundwater Levels using a Hybrid of Support Vector Regression and Particle Swarm Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(6), pages 1955-1972, April.

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