IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v33y2019i7d10.1007_s11269-019-02266-z.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fuzzy Risk Assessment of Flash Floods Using a Cloud-Based Information Diffusion Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Ming Zhong

    (Sun Yat-sen University)

  • Jiao Wang

    (Sun Yat-sen University)

  • Liang Gao

    (University of Oklahoma)

  • Kairong Lin

    (Sun Yat-sen University
    Sun Yat-sen University)

  • Yang Hong

    (University of Oklahoma)

Abstract

The assessment of flash flood risks is the basis on which flash flood prevention measures and early-warning systems can be proposed and reasonably implemented. However, inadequate monitoring of flash flood data which mainly occurs in remote areas restricts quantitative risk assessment. This study aimed to address the problems of limited data availability. A new model that integrating the Cloud-based Information Diffusion (CID) model and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach is developed to assess flash flood risks. The proposed method improves the information diffusion function by introducing cloud model, while converting single-valued observations with incomplete information into fuzzy set-valued samples. The new approach can perform comprehensive risk assessment tasks with various indexes that are composed of incomplete information. Another advantage of this approach is that it can illustrate fuzzy uncertainty, fuzziness, and randomness of risk indexes by coupling with the cloud model, the risk magnitude is quantified with membership degree. A mountainous watershed in Southern China named Yangshan County was selected as the study area. Compared with information diffusion (ID) and entropy-based information diffusion (EID), the assessment results of the three models are, in general, consistent with one another, and agree with the reported values. According to the principle of maximum membership degree, Yangshan County is determined as a high-risk region when confronting with flash flood hazards. This model provides a feasible and effective method on fuzzy risk assessment of flash flooding, and is expected to be applied in other multi-criteria decision with limited available information or small sample problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Ming Zhong & Jiao Wang & Liang Gao & Kairong Lin & Yang Hong, 2019. "Fuzzy Risk Assessment of Flash Floods Using a Cloud-Based Information Diffusion Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(7), pages 2537-2553, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:7:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02266-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02266-z
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-019-02266-z
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-019-02266-z?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abhishek Ghosh & Shyamal Kumar Kar, 2018. "Correction to: Application of analytical hierarchy process (AHP) for flood risk assessment: a case study in Malda district of West Bengal, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 369-369, October.
    2. Abhishek Ghosh & Shyamal Kumar Kar, 2018. "Application of analytical hierarchy process (AHP) for flood risk assessment: a case study in Malda district of West Bengal, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 349-368, October.
    3. Li Gong & Chunling Jin, 2009. "Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation for Carrying Capacity of Regional Water Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(12), pages 2505-2513, September.
    4. Ahamd Radmehr & Shahab Araghinejad, 2015. "Flood Vulnerability Analysis by Fuzzy Spatial Multi Criteria Decision Making," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(12), pages 4427-4445, September.
    5. K. Cheng & Q. Fu & J. Meng & T. X. Li & W. Pei, 2018. "Analysis of the Spatial Variation and Identification of Factors Affecting the Water Resources Carrying Capacity Based on the Cloud Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(8), pages 2767-2781, June.
    6. Yangfan Xiao & Shanzhen Yi & Zhongqian Tang, 2018. "A Spatially Explicit Multi-Criteria Analysis Method on Solving Spatial Heterogeneity Problems for Flood Hazard Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(10), pages 3317-3335, August.
    7. Sueyoshi, Toshiyuki & Shang, Jennifer & Chiang, Wen-Chyuan, 2009. "A decision support framework for internal audit prioritization in a rental car company: A combined use between DEA and AHP," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 199(1), pages 219-231, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yu Xiaobing & Li Chenliang & Huo Tongzhao & Ji Zhonghui, 2021. "Information diffusion theory-based approach for the risk assessment of meteorological disasters in the Yangtze River Basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2337-2362, July.
    2. Georgios K. Koulinas & Alexandros S. Xanthopoulos & Konstantinos A. Sidas & Dimitrios E. Koulouriotis, 2021. "Risks Ranking in a Desalination Plant Construction Project with a Hybrid AHP, Risk Matrix, and Simulation-Based Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(10), pages 3221-3233, August.
    3. Ming Zhong & Kairong Lin & Guoping Tang & Qian Zhang & Yang Hong & Xiaohong Chen, 2020. "A Framework to Evaluate Community Resilience to Urban Floods: A Case Study in Three Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-21, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Muhammad Atiq Ur Rehman Tariq & Cheuk Yin Wai & Nitin Muttil, 2020. "Vulnerability Assessment of Ubiquitous Cities Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-21, December.
    2. Hossain, Mohammad Khalid & Meng, Qingmin, 2020. "A fine-scale spatial analytics of the assessment and mapping of buildings and population at different risk levels of urban flood," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    3. Subhankar Chakraborty & Sutapa Mukhopadhyay, 2019. "Assessing flood risk using analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and geographical information system (GIS): application in Coochbehar district of West Bengal, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(1), pages 247-274, October.
    4. Pranay Paul & Rumki Sarkar, 2022. "Flood susceptible surface detection using geospatial multi-criteria framework for management practices," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(3), pages 3015-3041, December.
    5. Mostafa Dastorani, 2022. "Application of fuzzy-AHP method for desertification assessment in Sabzevar area of Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(1), pages 187-205, May.
    6. Alaa Ahmed & Abdullah Alrajhi & Abdulaziz Alquwaizany & Ali Al Maliki & Guna Hewa, 2022. "Flood Susceptibility Mapping Using Watershed Geomorphic Data in the Onkaparinga Basin, South Australia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-23, December.
    7. Suddhasil Bose & Subhra Halder, 2023. "Identification of crop suitable land using geospatial techniques and assessment with socio-economic factors—case study from India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 229-253, March.
    8. Zhihui Li & Keyu Song & Lu Peng, 2021. "Flood Risk Assessment under Land Use and Climate Change in Wuhan City of the Yangtze River Basin, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-16, August.
    9. Weiwei Xie & Qingmin Meng, 2023. "An Integrated PCA–AHP Method to Assess Urban Social Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise Risks in Tampa, Florida," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-21, January.
    10. Cavalieri, Francesco & Franchin, Paolo & Giovinazzi, Sonia, 2023. "Multi-hazard assessment of increased flooding hazard due to earthquake-induced damage to the natural drainage system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    11. Rakhi Das & Gopa Samanta, 2023. "Impact of floods and river-bank erosion on the riverine people in Manikchak Block of Malda District, West Bengal," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(11), pages 13595-13617, November.
    12. Yujie Wei & Ran Wang & Xin Zhuo & Haoying Feng, 2021. "Research on Comprehensive Evaluation and Coordinated Development of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Qingjiang River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-22, September.
    13. Fatemeh Rezaie & Mahdi Panahi & Sayed M. Bateni & Changhyun Jun & Christopher M. U. Neale & Saro Lee, 2022. "Novel hybrid models by coupling support vector regression (SVR) with meta-heuristic algorithms (WOA and GWO) for flood susceptibility mapping," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 1247-1283, November.
    14. Haiyue Lu & Xiaoping Rui & Gadisa Fayera Gemechu & Runkui Li, 2022. "Quantitative Evaluation of Psychological Tolerance under the Haze: A Case Study of Typical Provinces and Cities in China with Severe Haze," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(11), pages 1-23, May.
    15. Mustapha Ikirri & Farid Faik & Fatima Zahra Echogdali & Isabel Margarida Horta Ribeiro Antunes & Mohamed Abioui & Kamal Abdelrahman & Mohammed S. Fnais & Abderrahmane Wanaim & Mouna Id-Belqas & Said B, 2022. "Flood Hazard Index Application in Arid Catchments: Case of the Taguenit Wadi Watershed, Lakhssas, Morocco," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-20, July.
    16. Susmita Ghosh & Md. Mofizul Hoque & Aznarul Islam & Suman Deb Barman & Sadik Mahammad & Abdur Rahman & Nishith Kumar Maji, 2023. "Characterizing floods and reviewing flood management strategies for better community resilience in a tropical river basin, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(2), pages 1799-1832, January.
    17. Lu Peng & Zhihui Li, 2021. "Ensemble Flood Risk Assessment in the Yangtze River Economic Belt under CMIP6 SSP-RCP Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, November.
    18. Richard Abishek Selvam & Antony Ravindran Antony Jebamalai, 2023. "Application of the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) for flood susceptibility mapping using GIS techniques in Thamirabarani river basin, Srivaikundam region, Southern India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(2), pages 1065-1083, September.
    19. Wen-Min Lu & Qian Long Kweh & Chung-Wei Wang, 2021. "Integration and application of rough sets and data envelopment analysis for assessments of the investment trusts industry," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 296(1), pages 163-194, January.
    20. Yande Gong & Joe Zhu & Ya Chen & Wade D. Cook, 2018. "DEA as a tool for auditing: application to Chinese manufacturing industry with parallel network structures," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 263(1), pages 247-269, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:7:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02266-z. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.