IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v31y2017i15d10.1007_s11269-017-1784-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Gene-Expression Programming for Short-Term Forecasting of Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Using Public Weather Forecast Information

Author

Listed:
  • Seydou Traore

    (Texas A&M University)

  • Yufeng Luo

    (Texas A&M University
    Wuhan University)

  • Guy Fipps

    (Texas A&M University)

Abstract

This study aimed to forecast the daily reference evapotranspiration (ETo) using a gene-expression programming (GEP) algorithm with limited public weather forecast information over Gaoyou station, located in Jiangsu province, China. To calibrate and validate the gene-expression code, important meteorological data and weather forecast information were collected from the local meteorological station and public weather media, respectively. The GEP algebraic formulation was successfully constructed based only on daily minimum and maximum air temperature using the true FAO56 Penman-Monteith (PM) set as reference values. The performance of the models was then assessed using the correlation coefficient (R), root mean squared error (RMSE), root relative squared error (RRSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). The study demonstrated that GEP is able to calibrate ETo (all errors ≤0.990 mm/day, R = 0.832–0.866) and forecast the daily ETo with good accuracy (RMSE = 1.207 mm/day, MAE = 0.902 mm/day, RRSE = 0.629 mm/day, R = 0.777). The model accuracies slightly decreased over a 7-day forecast lead-time. These results suggest that the GEP algorithm can be considered as a deployable tool for ETo forecast to anticipate decision on short-term irrigation schedule in the study zone.

Suggested Citation

  • Seydou Traore & Yufeng Luo & Guy Fipps, 2017. "Gene-Expression Programming for Short-Term Forecasting of Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Using Public Weather Forecast Information," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(15), pages 4891-4908, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:15:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1784-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-017-1784-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-017-1784-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-017-1784-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Traore, Seydou & Luo, Yufeng & Fipps, Guy, 2016. "Deployment of artificial neural network for short-term forecasting of evapotranspiration using public weather forecast restricted messages," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 363-379.
    2. Lopez-Urrea, R. & Olalla, F. Martin de Santa & Fabeiro, C. & Moratalla, A., 2006. "An evaluation of two hourly reference evapotranspiration equations for semiarid conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 86(3), pages 277-282, December.
    3. Yufeng Luo & Seydou Traore & Xinwei Lyu & Weiguang Wang & Ying Wang & Yongyu Xie & Xiyun Jiao & Guy Fipps, 2015. "Medium Range Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Forecasting by Using ANN and Public Weather Forecasts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3863-3876, August.
    4. Landeras, Gorka & Ortiz-Barredo, Amaia & López, Jose Javier, 2008. "Comparison of artificial neural network models and empirical and semi-empirical equations for daily reference evapotranspiration estimation in the Basque Country (Northern Spain)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(5), pages 553-565, May.
    5. Seydou Traore & Aytac Guven, 2012. "Regional-Specific Numerical Models of Evapotranspiration Using Gene-Expression Programming Interface in Sahel," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(15), pages 4367-4380, December.
    6. Blaney, Harry F. & Criddle, Wayne D., 1962. "Determining Consumptive Use and Irrigation Water Requirements," Technical Bulletins 171000, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    7. Yang, Yang & Cui, Yuanlai & Luo, Yufeng & Lyu, Xinwei & Traore, Seydou & Khan, Shahbaz & Wang, Weiguang, 2016. "Short-term forecasting of daily reference evapotranspiration using the Penman-Monteith model and public weather forecasts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 329-339.
    8. Luo, Yufeng & Chang, Xiaomin & Peng, Shizhang & Khan, Shahbaz & Wang, Weiguang & Zheng, Qiang & Cai, Xueliang, 2014. "Short-term forecasting of daily reference evapotranspiration using the Hargreaves–Samani model and temperature forecasts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 42-51.
    9. Ozgur Kisi & Taner Cengiz, 2013. "Fuzzy Genetic Approach for Estimating Reference Evapotranspiration of Turkey: Mediterranean Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3541-3553, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Lei & Zhao, Xin & Zhu, Ge & He, Jun & Chen, Jian & Chen, Zhicheng & Traore, Seydou & Liu, Junguo & Singh, Vijay P., 2023. "Short-term daily reference evapotranspiration forecasting using temperature-based deep learning models in different climate zones in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).
    2. Tabasum Rasool & A. Q. Dar & M. A. Wani, 2021. "Development of a Predictive Equation for Modelling the Infiltration Process Using Gene Expression Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(6), pages 1871-1888, April.
    3. Fan, Junliang & Ma, Xin & Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Fucang & Yu, Xiang & Zeng, Wenzhi, 2019. "Light Gradient Boosting Machine: An efficient soft computing model for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration with local and external meteorological data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Lei & Zhao, Xin & Zhu, Ge & He, Jun & Chen, Jian & Chen, Zhicheng & Traore, Seydou & Liu, Junguo & Singh, Vijay P., 2023. "Short-term daily reference evapotranspiration forecasting using temperature-based deep learning models in different climate zones in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).
    2. Chen, Mengting & Cui, Yuanlai & Wang, Xiaonan & Xie, Hengwang & Liu, Fangping & Luo, Tongyuan & Zheng, Shizong & Luo, Yufeng, 2021. "A reinforcement learning approach to irrigation decision-making for rice using weather forecasts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    3. Yang, Yang & Luo, Yufeng & Wu, Conglin & Zheng, Hezhen & Zhang, Lei & Cui, Yuanlai & Sun, Ningning & Wang, Li, 2019. "Evaluation of six equations for daily reference evapotranspiration estimating using public weather forecast message for different climate regions across China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 386-399.
    4. Yang, Yang & Cui, Yuanlai & Bai, Kaihua & Luo, Tongyuan & Dai, Junfeng & Wang, Weiguang & Luo, Yufeng, 2019. "Short-term forecasting of daily reference evapotranspiration using the reduced-set Penman-Monteith model and public weather forecasts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 70-80.
    5. Traore, Seydou & Luo, Yufeng & Fipps, Guy, 2016. "Deployment of artificial neural network for short-term forecasting of evapotranspiration using public weather forecast restricted messages," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 363-379.
    6. Yang, Yang & Cui, Yuanlai & Luo, Yufeng & Lyu, Xinwei & Traore, Seydou & Khan, Shahbaz & Wang, Weiguang, 2016. "Short-term forecasting of daily reference evapotranspiration using the Penman-Monteith model and public weather forecasts," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 329-339.
    7. Qin, Shujing & Liu, Zhihe & Qiu, Rangjian & Luo, Yufeng & Wu, Jingwei & Zhang, Baozhong & Wu, Lifeng & Agathokleous, Evgenios, 2023. "Short–term global solar radiation forecasting based on an improved method for sunshine duration prediction and public weather forecasts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 343(C).
    8. Junzeng Xu & Junmei Wang & Qi Wei & Yanhua Wang, 2016. "Symbolic Regression Equations for Calculating Daily Reference Evapotranspiration with the Same Input to Hargreaves-Samani in Arid China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(6), pages 2055-2073, April.
    9. Cao, Jingjing & Tan, Junwei & Cui, Yuanlai & Luo, Yufeng, 2019. "Irrigation scheduling of paddy rice using short-term weather forecast data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 714-723.
    10. Zhang, Lei & Traore, Seydou & Cui, Yuanlai & Luo, Yufeng & Zhu, Ge & Liu, Bo & Fipps, Guy & Karthikeyan, R. & Singh, Vijay, 2019. "Assessment of spatiotemporal variability of reference evapotranspiration and controlling climate factors over decades in China using geospatial techniques," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 499-511.
    11. Qiu, Rangjian & Li, Longan & Wu, Lifeng & Agathokleous, Evgenios & Liu, Chunwei & Zhang, Baozhong & Luo, Yufeng & Sun, Shanlei, 2022. "Modeling daily global solar radiation using only temperature data: Past, development, and future," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    12. Matin Ahooghalandari & Mehdi Khiadani & Mina Esmi Jahromi, 2016. "Developing Equations for Estimating Reference Evapotranspiration in Australia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(11), pages 3815-3828, September.
    13. Zhang, Kang & Xie, Xianhong & Zhu, Bowen & Meng, Shanshan & Yao, Yi, 2019. "Unexpected groundwater recovery with decreasing agricultural irrigation in the Yellow River Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 858-867.
    14. Mohamed A. Mattar & A. A. Alazba & Bander Alblewi & Bahram Gharabaghi & Mohamed A. Yassin, 2016. "Evaluating and Calibrating Reference Evapotranspiration Models Using Water Balance under Hyper-Arid Environment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(11), pages 3745-3767, September.
    15. Jia Luo & Xianming Dou & Mingguo Ma, 2022. "Evaluation of Empirical and Machine Learning Approaches for Estimating Monthly Reference Evapotranspiration with Limited Meteorological Data in the Jialing River Basin, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(20), pages 1-16, October.
    16. Fan, Junliang & Ma, Xin & Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Fucang & Yu, Xiang & Zeng, Wenzhi, 2019. "Light Gradient Boosting Machine: An efficient soft computing model for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration with local and external meteorological data," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    17. Feng, Yu & Cui, Ningbo & Gong, Daozhi & Zhang, Qingwen & Zhao, Lu, 2017. "Evaluation of random forests and generalized regression neural networks for daily reference evapotranspiration modelling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 163-173.
    18. Feng, Yu & Jia, Yue & Cui, Ningbo & Zhao, Lu & Li, Chen & Gong, Daozhi, 2017. "Calibration of Hargreaves model for reference evapotranspiration estimation in Sichuan basin of southwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 1-9.
    19. Yin, Juan & Deng, Zhen & Ines, Amor V.M. & Wu, Junbin & Rasu, Eeswaran, 2020. "Forecast of short-term daily reference evapotranspiration under limited meteorological variables using a hybrid bi-directional long short-term memory model (Bi-LSTM)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    20. Shiri, Jalal, 2017. "Evaluation of FAO56-PM, empirical, semi-empirical and gene expression programming approaches for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration in hyper-arid regions of Iran," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 101-114.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:15:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1784-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.