IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v31y2017i12d10.1007_s11269-017-1711-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Soft Computing Techniques for Rainfall-Runoff Simulation: Local Non–Parametric Paradigm vs. Model Classification Methods

Author

Listed:
  • Mohammad Rezaie-Balf

    (Graduate University of Advanced Technology-Kerman)

  • Zahra Zahmatkesh

    (Graduate University of Advanced Technology-Kerman)

  • Sungwon Kim

    (Dongyang University)

Abstract

Accurate simulation of rainfall-runoff process is of great importance in hydrology and water resources management. Rainfall–runoff modeling is a non-linear process and highly affected by the inputs to the simulation model. In this study, three kinds of soft computing methods, namely artificial neural networks (ANNs), model tree (MT) and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), have been employed and compared for rainfall-runoff process simulation. Moreover, this study investigates the effect of input size, including number of input variables and number of data time series on runoff simulation by the developed models. Inputs to the simulation models for calibration and validation purposes consist two parts: I1: five variables, including daily rainfall and runoff time series (30 years) with lag times, and I2: twelve variables, including daily rainfall and runoff time series (10 years). To increase the model performances, optimal number and type for input variables are identified. The efficiency of the training and testing performances using the ANNs, MT and MARS models is then evaluated using several evaluation criteria. To implement the methodology, Tajan catchment in the northern part of Iran is selected. Based on the results, it was found that using I1 as input to the developed models results in higher simulation performance. The results also provided evidence that MT (R = 0.897, RMSE = 6.70, RSE = 0.33) with set I2 is capable of reliable model for rainfall-runoff process compared with MARS (R = 0.892, RMSE = 7.47, RSE = 0.83) and ANNs (R = 0.884, RMSE = 7.40, RSE = 0.43) models. Therefore, size (length of data time series) and type of input variables have significant effects on the modeling results.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Rezaie-Balf & Zahra Zahmatkesh & Sungwon Kim, 2017. "Soft Computing Techniques for Rainfall-Runoff Simulation: Local Non–Parametric Paradigm vs. Model Classification Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(12), pages 3843-3865, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:12:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1711-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-017-1711-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-017-1711-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-017-1711-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Meral Buyukyildiz & Gulay Tezel & Volkan Yilmaz, 2014. "Estimation of the Change in Lake Water Level by Artificial Intelligence Methods," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(13), pages 4747-4763, October.
    2. Ayoub Zeroual & Mohamed Meddi & Ali A. Assani, 2016. "Artificial Neural Network Rainfall-Discharge Model Assessment Under Rating Curve Uncertainty and Monthly Discharge Volume Predictions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(9), pages 3191-3205, July.
    3. Ali Rahimikhoob, 2016. "Comparison of M5 Model Tree and Artificial Neural Network’s Methodologies in Modelling Daily Reference Evapotranspiration from NOAA Satellite Images," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(9), pages 3063-3075, July.
    4. Singh, Kunwar P. & Basant, Ankita & Malik, Amrita & Jain, Gunja, 2009. "Artificial neural network modeling of the river water quality—A case study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(6), pages 888-895.
    5. Ali Rahimikhoob, 2014. "Comparison between M5 Model Tree and Neural Networks for Estimating Reference Evapotranspiration in an Arid Environment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(3), pages 657-669, February.
    6. ., 2007. "To the 1930s," Chapters, in: Henry W. de Jong & William G. Shepherd (ed.), Pioneers of Industrial Organization, chapter 10, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. M M Fischer, 1998. "Computational Neural Networks: A New Paradigm for Spatial Analysis," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 30(10), pages 1873-1891, October.
    8. ., 2007. "The 1930s," Chapters, in: Henry W. de Jong & William G. Shepherd (ed.), Pioneers of Industrial Organization, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Manish Goyal & C. Ojha, 2011. "Estimation of Scour Downstream of a Ski-Jump Bucket Using Support Vector and M5 Model Tree," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(9), pages 2177-2195, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maryam Rahimzad & Alireza Moghaddam Nia & Hosam Zolfonoon & Jaber Soltani & Ali Danandeh Mehr & Hyun-Han Kwon, 2021. "Performance Comparison of an LSTM-based Deep Learning Model versus Conventional Machine Learning Algorithms for Streamflow Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(12), pages 4167-4187, September.
    2. Yan Zhou & Zhongmin Liang & Binquan Li & Yixin Huang & Kai Wang & Yiming Hu, 2021. "Seamless Integration of Rainfall Spatial Variability and a Conceptual Hydrological Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-16, March.
    3. Saeed Mozaffari & Saman Javadi & Hamid Kardan Moghaddam & Timothy O. Randhir, 2022. "Forecasting Groundwater Levels using a Hybrid of Support Vector Regression and Particle Swarm Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(6), pages 1955-1972, April.
    4. Peiman Parisouj & Hamid Mohebzadeh & Taesam Lee, 2020. "Employing Machine Learning Algorithms for Streamflow Prediction: A Case Study of Four River Basins with Different Climatic Zones in the United States," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(13), pages 4113-4131, October.
    5. Gaurav Singh & A. R. S. Kumar & R. K. Jaiswal & Surjeet Singh & R. M. Singh, 2022. "Model coupling approach for daily runoff simulation in Hamp Pandariya catchment of Chhattisgarh state in India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 12311-12339, October.
    6. Amir Molajou & Vahid Nourani & Abbas Afshar & Mina Khosravi & Adam Brysiewicz, 2021. "Optimal Design and Feature Selection by Genetic Algorithm for Emotional Artificial Neural Network (EANN) in Rainfall-Runoff Modeling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(8), pages 2369-2384, June.
    7. Abhinav Kumar Singh & Pankaj Kumar & Rawshan Ali & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Dinesh Kumar Vishwakarma & Kuldeep Singh Kushwaha & Kanhu Charan Panda & Atish Sagar & Ehsan Mirzania & Ahmed Elbeltagi & Alban Ku, 2022. "An Integrated Statistical-Machine Learning Approach for Runoff Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-30, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mkhabela, Thulasizwe S. & Mndeme, S.H., 2010. "The cost of producing milk in the KwaZulu-Natal Midlands of South Africa: a cost-curve approach," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 49(1), pages 1-21, March.
    2. Dilip Kumar Roy & Tapash Kumar Sarkar & Sujit Kumar Biswas & Bithin Datta, 2023. "Generalized Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Models Based on a Hybrid Optimization Algorithm Tuned Fuzzy Tree Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(1), pages 193-218, January.
    3. Anett Weber & Winfried J. Steiner & Stefan Lang, 2017. "A comparison of semiparametric and heterogeneous store sales models for optimal category pricing," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 39(2), pages 403-445, March.
    4. Michael Hahsler & Radoslaw Karpienko, 2017. "Visualizing association rules in hierarchical groups," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 87(3), pages 317-335, April.
    5. Behrooz Keshtegar & Ozgur Kisi & Hamed Ghohani Arab & Mohammad Zounemat-Kermani, 2018. "Subset Modeling Basis ANFIS for Prediction of the Reference Evapotranspiration," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(3), pages 1101-1116, February.
    6. Roohollah Noori & Hossien Sheikhian & Farhad Hooshyaripor & Ali Naghikhani & Jan Franklin Adamowski & Behzad Ghiasi, 2017. "Granular Computing for Prediction of Scour Below Spillways," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 313-326, January.
    7. Debashree Dutta & Sutapa Chaudhuri, 2015. "Nowcasting visibility during wintertime fog over the airport of a metropolis of India: decision tree algorithm and artificial neural network approach," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(2), pages 1349-1368, January.
    8. Margaret W. Gitau & Jingqiu Chen & Zhao Ma, 2016. "Water Quality Indices as Tools for Decision Making and Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(8), pages 2591-2610, June.
    9. Lin, Huiyan & Lu, Kang Shou & Espey, Molly & Allen, Jeffery, 2005. "Modeling Urban Sprawl and Land Use Change in a Coastal Area-- A Neural Network Approach," 2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI 19364, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Vlontzos, G. & Pardalos, P.M., 2017. "Assess and prognosticate green house gas emissions from agricultural production of EU countries, by implementing, DEA Window analysis and artificial neural networks," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 155-162.
    11. Roberto Patuelli & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp & Norbert Schanne, 2011. "Neural networks for regional employment forecasts: are the parameters relevant?," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 67-85, March.
    12. Hadi Sanikhani & Ozgur Kisi, 2012. "River Flow Estimation and Forecasting by Using Two Different Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(6), pages 1715-1729, April.
    13. Jian Yin & Chesheng Zhan & Wen Ye, 2016. "An Experimental Study on Evapotranspiration Data Assimilation Based on the Hydrological Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(14), pages 5263-5279, November.
    14. Sayiter Yıldız & Can Bülent Karakuş, 2020. "Estimation of irrigation water quality index with development of an optimum model: a case study," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 22(5), pages 4771-4786, June.
    15. Yufeng Luo & Seydou Traore & Xinwei Lyu & Weiguang Wang & Ying Wang & Yongyu Xie & Xiyun Jiao & Guy Fipps, 2015. "Medium Range Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Forecasting by Using ANN and Public Weather Forecasts," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3863-3876, August.
    16. Mehmet Kayakuş, 2020. "The Estimation of Turkey's Energy Demand Through Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Regression Methods," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 8(2), pages 227-236, December.
    17. Mohammad Najafzadeh & Ahmed Sattar, 2015. "Neuro-Fuzzy GMDH Approach to Predict Longitudinal Dispersion in Water Networks," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2205-2219, May.
    18. Manish Pandey & Masoud Karbasi & Mehdi Jamei & Anurag Malik & Jaan H. Pu, 2023. "A Comprehensive Experimental and Computational Investigation on Estimation of Scour Depth at Bridge Abutment: Emerging Ensemble Intelligent Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3745-3767, July.
    19. Işık, Erdem & Inallı, Mustafa, 2018. "Artificial neural networks and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems approaches to forecast the meteorological data for HVAC: The case of cities for Turkey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 7-16.
    20. Kichul Jung & Deg-Hyo Bae & Myoung-Jin Um & Siyeon Kim & Seol Jeon & Daeryong Park, 2020. "Evaluation of Nitrate Load Estimations Using Neural Networks and Canonical Correlation Analysis with K-Fold Cross-Validation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:31:y:2017:i:12:d:10.1007_s11269-017-1711-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.