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Dual-Interval Two-Stage Optimization for Flood Management and Risk Analyses

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  • ZhenFang Liu
  • GuoHe Huang

Abstract

In this study, a dual interval two-stage restricted-recourse programming (DITRP) method is developed for flood-diversion planning under uncertainty. Compared with other conventional methods, DITRP improves upon them by addressing system uncertainties with complex presentations and incorporating subjective information within its optimization framework. Uncertainties in DITRP can be represented as probability distributions and intervals. In addition, the dual-interval concept is presented when the available information is highly uncertain for boundaries of intervals. Moreover, decision makers’ attitudes towards system risk can be reflected using a restricted-resource measure by controlling the variability of the recourse cost. The method has been applied to a case study of flood management. The results indicate that reasonable solutions for planning flood management practice have been generated which are related to decisions of flood-diversion. Several policy scenarios are analyzed, assisting in gaining insight into the tradeoffs between risk and cost. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Suggested Citation

  • ZhenFang Liu & GuoHe Huang, 2009. "Dual-Interval Two-Stage Optimization for Flood Management and Risk Analyses," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(11), pages 2141-2162, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:23:y:2009:i:11:p:2141-2162
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-008-9375-0
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    1. Nie, S. & Li, Y.P. & Liu, J. & Huang, Charley Z., 2017. "Risk management of energy system for identifying optimal power mix with financial-cost minimization and environmental-impact mitigation under uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 313-329.
    2. Shuvrangshu Jana & Rudrashis Majumder & Prathyush P. Menon & Debasish Ghose, 2022. "Decision Support System (DSS) for Hierarchical Allocation of Resources and Tasks for Disaster Management," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-30, September.
    3. Hong Wang & Xiaodong Zhang, 2018. "A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1615-1629, March.
    4. M. Li & P. Guo & G. Yang & S. Fang, 2014. "IB-ICCMSP: An Integrated Irrigation Water Optimal Allocation and Planning Model Based on Inventory Theory under Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(1), pages 241-260, January.

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