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Adaptation of urban water supply infrastructure to impacts from climate and socioeconomic changes: The case of Hamilton, New Zealand

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  • Matthias Ruth
  • Clark Bernier
  • Nigel Jollands
  • Nancy Golubiewski

Abstract

While the relations between climate variables and sectoral water demand have been well established in the literature, few studies have attempted to quantify changes in urban water usage with climate change. Concentrating on the city of Hamilton, New Zealand, we investigate possible water use and infrastructure needs for a range of climate and population projections. We find that water demand (at the monthly aggregate level) is largely driven by changes in population, and not significantly affected by changes in climate. However, as population increases, the effect of climate variables on per capita consumption will be magnified. Monthly aggregate changes may further mask potenially significant short-term shortages. In several scenarios, water supply shortages in 2030 occur with a 30--40% probability, suggesting needs for long-term capacity expansion or aggressive demand side management, rather than implementation of short-term management of water demand. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media B.V. 2007

Suggested Citation

  • Matthias Ruth & Clark Bernier & Nigel Jollands & Nancy Golubiewski, 2007. "Adaptation of urban water supply infrastructure to impacts from climate and socioeconomic changes: The case of Hamilton, New Zealand," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(6), pages 1031-1045, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:21:y:2007:i:6:p:1031-1045
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-006-9071-x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Matthias Ruth (ed.), 2006. "Smart Growth and Climate Change," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 3938.
    2. Donald H. Rosenthal & Howard K. Gruenspecht & Emily A. Moran, 1995. "Effects of Global Warming on Energy Use for Space Heating and Cooling in the United States," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2), pages 77-96.
    3. Matthias Ruth & Kieran Donaghy & Paul Kirshen (ed.), 2006. "Regional Climate Change and Variability," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 3989.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiao-Chen Yuan & Yi-Ming Wei & Su-Yan Pan & Ju-Liang Jin, 2014. "Urban Household Water Demand in Beijing by 2020: An Agent-Based Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(10), pages 2967-2980, August.
    2. Jon Franczyk & Heejun Chang, 2009. "Spatial Analysis of Water Use in Oregon, USA, 1985–2005," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(4), pages 755-774, March.
    3. Martin Hanel & Magdalena Mrkvičková & Petr Máca & Adam Vizina & Pavel Pech, 2013. "Evaluation of Simple Statistical Downscaling Methods for Monthly Regional Climate Model Simulations with Respect to the Estimated Changes in Runoff in the Czech Republic," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(15), pages 5261-5279, December.
    4. Stephen Cook & Ashok Sharma & Meng Chong, 2013. "Performance Analysis of a Communal Residential Rainwater System for Potable Supply: A Case Study in Brisbane, Australia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(14), pages 4865-4876, November.
    5. Negin Ashoori & David A. Dzombak & Mitchell J. Small, 2016. "Modeling the Effects of Conservation, Demographics, Price, and Climate on Urban Water Demand in Los Angeles, California," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(14), pages 5247-5262, November.
    6. Stephanie MacLeod & Yves Filion, 2012. "Issues and Implications of Carbon-Abatement Discounting and Pricing for Drinking Water System Design in Canada," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(1), pages 43-61, January.
    7. Chappin, Emile J.L. & van der Lei, Telli, 2014. "Adaptation of interconnected infrastructures to climate change: A socio-technical systems perspective," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 10-17.
    8. Alistair Hunt & Paul Watkiss, 2011. "Climate change impacts and adaptation in cities: a review of the literature," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 13-49, January.
    9. Cook, Stephen & Sharma, Ashok K & Gurung, Thulo Ram, 2014. "Evaluation of alternative water sources for commercial buildings: A case study in Brisbane, Australia," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 86-93.
    10. Jeffrey O’Hara & Konstantine Georgakakos, 2008. "Quantifying the Urban Water Supply Impacts of Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(10), pages 1477-1497, October.
    11. Mohamed Ibrahim, 2009. "Rainwater Harvesting for Urban Areas: a Success Story from Gadarif City in Central Sudan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(13), pages 2727-2736, October.
    12. Scholten, Lisa & Schuwirth, Nele & Reichert, Peter & Lienert, Judit, 2015. "Tackling uncertainty in multi-criteria decision analysis – An application to water supply infrastructure planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(1), pages 243-260.

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