Using social indicators to forecast partisan alignments in congressional election years
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1007/BF00305591
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Mueller, John E., 1970. "Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson1," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 64(1), pages 18-34, March.
- Arcelus, Francisco & Meltzer, Allan H., 1975. "The Effect of Aggregate Economic Variables on Congressional Elections," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 69(4), pages 1232-1239, December.
- Stokes, Donald E., 1966. "Some Dynamic Elements of Contests for the Presidency," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(1), pages 19-28, March.
- Tufte, Edward R., 1975. "Determinants of the Outcomes of Midterm Congressional Elections," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 69(3), pages 812-826, September.
- Tufte, Edward R., 1973. "The Relationship between Seats and Votes in Two-Party Systems," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 67(2), pages 540-554, June.
- Arcelus, Francisco & Meltzer, Allan H., 1975. "Aggregate Economic Variables and Votes for Congress: A Rejoinder," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 69(4), pages 1266-1269, December.
- Bloom, Howard S. & Price, H. Douglas, 1975. "Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions: the Asymmetric Effect of Prosperity and Recession," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 69(4), pages 1240-1254, December.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Gebhard Kirchgässner, 2016.
"Voting and Popularity,"
CREMA Working Paper Series
2016-08, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
- Gebhard Kirchgässner, 2016. "Voting and Popularity," CESifo Working Paper Series 6182, CESifo.
- Kirchgässner, Gebhard, 2016. "Voting and Popularity," Economics Working Paper Series 1618, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
- Rausser, Gordon C. & de Gorter, Harry, 1988.
"Endogenizing Policy In Models Of Agricultural Markets,"
1988 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Knoxville, Tennessee
270460, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Rausser, Gordon C. & Gorter, Harry De, 1988. "Endogenizing Policy in Models of Agricultural Markets," 1988 Conference, August 24-31, 1988, Buenos Aires, Argentina 183120, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Rausser, Gordon C. & de Gorter, Harry, 1988. "Endogenizing policy in models of agricultural markets," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt18z7n1qz, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
- Antoine Auberger, 2011. "Popularity Functions for the French President and Prime Minister (1995-2007)," Working Papers halshs-00872313, HAL.
- Berlemann, Michael & Enkelmann, Sören, 2014.
"The economic determinants of U.S. presidential approval: A survey,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-54.
- Michael Berlemann & Sören Enkelmann, 2012. "The Economic Determinants of U.S. Presidential Approval -A Survey-," CESifo Working Paper Series 3761, CESifo.
- Soeren Enkelmann & Michael Berlemann, 2013. "The Economic Determinants of U.S. Presidential Approval - A Survey," Working Paper Series in Economics 272, University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics.
- repec:rre:publsh:v:36:y:2006:i:3:p:427-47 is not listed on IDEAS
- Robert Michaels, 1986. "Reinterpreting the role of inflation in politico-economic models," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 113-124, January.
- Franch, Fabio, 2021. "Political preferences nowcasting with factor analysis and internet data: The 2012 and 2016 US presidential elections," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
- Antoine Auberger, 2020. "The impact of economic and political factors on popularity for France (1981- 2017)," Working Papers hal-02501677, HAL.
- Walker A. Pollard, 1983. "Presidential Elections: Cyclical and Distributional Economic Effects," Public Finance Review, , vol. 11(2), pages 217-236, April.
- Frey, Bruno S., 1978.
"Politico-economic models and cycles,"
Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2), pages 203-220, April.
- Frey, Bruno S., 1976. "Politico-economic models and cycle," Discussion Papers, Series I 83, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
- Benny Geys & Jan Vermeir, 2008.
"Taxation and presidential approval: separate effects from tax burden and tax structure turbulence?,"
Public Choice, Springer, vol. 135(3), pages 301-317, June.
- Geys, Benny & Vermeir, Jan, 2007. "Taxation and presidential approval: separate effects from tax burden and tax structure turbulence [Besteuerung und Popularität von Politikern: Gibt es unterscheidbare Wirkungen aufgrund der Steuerl," Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Processes and Governance SP II 2007-09, WZB Berlin Social Science Center.
- Bharatee Bhusana Dash & J. Stephen Ferris, 2018. "Economic Performance and Electoral Volatility: Testing the Economic Voting Hypothesis on Indian States, 1957–2013," Carleton Economic Papers 18-07, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
- Ryan Amacher & William Boyes, 1982. "Unemployment rates and political outcomes: An incentive for manufacturing a political business cycle," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 38(2), pages 197-203, January.
- Morris P. Fiorina, 1991. "Elections and the Economy in the 1980s: Short- and Long-Term Effects," NBER Chapters, in: Politics and Economics in the Eighties, pages 17-40, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Matthew J. Lebo & Janet M. Box‐Steffensmeier, 2008. "Dynamic Conditional Correlations in Political Science," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 52(3), pages 688-704, July.
- Garey Durden & Patricia Gaynor, 1987. "The rational behavior theory of voting participation: Evidence from the 1970 and 1982 elections," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 231-242, January.
- Jacob Holt, 2022. "Party does not matter: Unified government and midterm elections," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 103(1), pages 168-180, January.
- Timothy Y. C. Cotton, 1986. "War and American Democracy," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 30(4), pages 616-635, December.
- GENÇ Ismail H. & SAHIN Hasan & BEKMEZ Selahattin, 2010. "Is Turkish Electorate Homo-economicus?," EcoMod2003 330700061, EcoMod.
- Joseph McGarrity, 2001. "Vote share and return rates: A comparison of two measures of election outcomes," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 29(3), pages 294-303, September.
- W. Mark Crain & Thomas H. Deaton & Robert D. Tollison, 1978. "Macroeconomic Determinants of the Vote in Presidential Elections," Public Finance Review, , vol. 6(4), pages 427-438, October.
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:soinre:v:7:y:1980:i:1:p:47-61. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.