IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v92y2018i2d10.1007_s11069-018-3244-9.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Integration of multi-parametric fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and GIS along the UNESCO World Heritage: a flood hazard index, Mombasa County, Kenya

Author

Listed:
  • Yves Hategekimana

    (Chinese Academy of Science
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Lijun Yu

    (Chinese Academy of Science
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Yueping Nie

    (Chinese Academy of Science)

  • Jianfeng Zhu

    (Chinese Academy of Science
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Fang Liu

    (Chinese Academy of Science
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Fei Guo

    (Chinese Academy of Science
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Flood is a natural hazard affecting human life and ecosystem globally causing catastrophic disasters. Most flood-induced socioeconomic losses are exacerbated by unabated urban development, population upsurge, unregulated municipal systems, and indiscriminate land use. Therefore, implementation of a flood prediction system can potentially help mitigate flood-induced consequences. In this study, a framework of multi-criteria analysis incorporating geographic information system, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, and bivariate statistics-based methods was developed for flood hazard index determination. Flood-prone areas were identified based on six factors (hydrological aspects and land cover): elevation, aspect, slope, flow accumulation, rainfall, and land cover map. To generate a flood hazard index, each one of the factors was classified into five categories: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high; the factors were then combined and processed using the proposed methodology. Obtained overall maps have been adjusted with socioeconomic data such as gross domestic product to relate the flood exposure to economic and demographic factors in Mombasa County, Kenya. Results suggest that the County is largely dominated by areas with a high flood hazard index due to its location and shoreline. Fort Jesus, the UNESCO World Heritage site, is currently under high risk of flood as shown by the flood hazard index, while most of the shoreline is at very high risk of flooding.

Suggested Citation

  • Yves Hategekimana & Lijun Yu & Yueping Nie & Jianfeng Zhu & Fang Liu & Fei Guo, 2018. "Integration of multi-parametric fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and GIS along the UNESCO World Heritage: a flood hazard index, Mombasa County, Kenya," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(2), pages 1137-1153, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:92:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3244-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3244-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-018-3244-9
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-018-3244-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chan-juan Li & Yuan-qing Chai & Lin-sheng Yang & Hai-rong Li, 2016. "Spatio-temporal distribution of flood disasters and analysis of influencing factors in Africa," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(1), pages 721-731, May.
    2. Manik Mahapatra & Ratheesh Ramakrishnan & A. Rajawat, 2015. "Coastal vulnerability assessment using analytical hierarchical process for South Gujarat coast, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(1), pages 139-159, March.
    3. Fangfang Cai & Lijie Pu & Ming Zhu, 2014. "Assessment Framework and Decision—Support System for Consolidating Urban-Rural Construction Land in Coastal China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(11), pages 1-21, November.
    4. Stefanos Stefanidis & Dimitrios Stathis, 2013. "Assessment of flood hazard based on natural and anthropogenic factors using analytic hierarchy process (AHP)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 68(2), pages 569-585, September.
    5. Jochen Hinkel & Detlef Vuuren & Robert Nicholls & Richard Klein, 2013. "The effects of adaptation and mitigation on coastal flood impacts during the 21st century. An application of the DIVA and IMAGE models," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(4), pages 783-794, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mingshen Shao & Dong Xu & Yuchao Wang & Ziyi Wang & Xingzhou Liang & Li Li, 2022. "Quantitative evaluation of weathering degree through Fuzzy-AHP method and petrophysics analysis for sandstone carvings," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(2), pages 1547-1566, June.
    2. Dibyandu Roy & Anirban Dhar & Venkappayya R. Desai, 2024. "A grey fuzzy analytic hierarchy process-based flash flood vulnerability assessment in an ungauged Himalayan watershed," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 18181-18206, July.
    3. Yves Hategekimana & Mona Allam & Qingyan Meng & Yueping Nie & Elhag Mohamed, 2020. "Quantification of Soil Losses along the Coastal Protected Areas in Kenya," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-16, May.
    4. Juri Kim & Tae-Hyoung Tommy Gim, 2020. "Assessment of social vulnerability to floods on Java, Indonesia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 101-114, May.
    5. Rofiat Bunmi Mudashiru & Nuridah Sabtu & Rozi Abdullah & Azlan Saleh & Ismail Abustan, 2022. "A comparison of three multi-criteria decision-making models in mapping flood hazard areas of Northeast Penang, Malaysia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 112(3), pages 1903-1939, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Moumita Palchaudhuri & Sujata Biswas, 2016. "Application of AHP with GIS in drought risk assessment for Puruliya district, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1905-1920, December.
    2. Jhantu Dey & Sayani Mazumder, 2023. "Development of an integrated coastal vulnerability index and its application to the low-lying Mandarmani–Dadanpatrabar coastal sector, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3243-3273, April.
    3. Reguero, Borja G. & Beck, Michael W. & Schmid, David & Stadtmüller, Daniel & Raepple, Justus & Schüssele, Stefan & Pfliegner, Kerstin, 2020. "Financing coastal resilience by combining nature-based risk reduction with insurance," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    4. Shifa Chen & Xuan Zha, 2016. "Evaluation of soil erosion vulnerability in the Zhuxi watershed, Fujian Province, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1589-1607, July.
    5. Hong Lv & Xinjian Guan & Yu Meng, 2020. "Comprehensive evaluation of urban flood-bearing risks based on combined compound fuzzy matter-element and entropy weight model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 1823-1841, September.
    6. Michael P. Cameron, 2017. "Climate Change, Internal Migration and the Future Spatial Distribution of Population: A Case Study of New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics 17/03, University of Waikato.
    7. Cailin Li & Yue Wang & Baoyun Guo & Yihui Lu & Na Sun, 2024. "Street Community-Level Urban Flood Risk Assessment Based on Numerical Simulation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-32, August.
    8. Pornpit Wongthongtham & Bilal Abu-Salih & Jeff Huang & Hemixa Patel & Komsun Siripun, 2023. "A Multi-Criteria Analysis Approach to Identify Flood Risk Asset Damage Hotspots in Western Australia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-30, March.
    9. Alaa Ahmed & Guna Hewa & Abdullah Alrajhi, 2021. "Flood susceptibility mapping using a geomorphometric approach in South Australian basins," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 106(1), pages 629-653, March.
    10. Rui-Song Quan, 2014. "Rainstorm waterlogging risk assessment in central urban area of Shanghai based on multiple scenario simulation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1569-1585, September.
    11. Shi Shen & Changxiu Cheng & Changqing Song & Jing Yang & Shanli Yang & Kai Su & Lihua Yuan & Xiaoqiang Chen, 2018. "Spatial distribution patterns of global natural disasters based on biclustering," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(3), pages 1809-1820, July.
    12. Seong Yun Cho & Heejun Chang, 2017. "Recent research approaches to urban flood vulnerability, 2006–2016," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(1), pages 633-649, August.
    13. Victor Ongoma & Haishan Chen & Chujie Gao & Aston Matwai Nyongesa & Francis Polong, 2018. "Future changes in climate extremes over Equatorial East Africa based on CMIP5 multimodel ensemble," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 90(2), pages 901-920, January.
    14. Rui Liu & Yun Chen & Jianping Wu & Lei Gao & Damian Barrett & Tingbao Xu & Xiaojuan Li & Linyi Li & Chang Huang & Jia Yu, 2017. "Integrating Entropy‐Based Naïve Bayes and GIS for Spatial Evaluation of Flood Hazard," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 756-773, April.
    15. Mustafa El-Rawy & Wael M. Elsadek & Florimond Smedt, 2023. "Flood hazard assessment and mitigation using a multi-criteria approach in the Sinai Peninsula, Egypt," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(1), pages 215-236, January.
    16. Axel Creach & Emilio Bastidas-Arteaga & Sophie Pardo & Denis Mercier, 2019. "Adaptation of Residential Buildings to Coastal Floods: Strategies, Costs and Efficiency," Post-Print hal-04467886, HAL.
    17. Cailin Li & Na Sun & Yihui Lu & Baoyun Guo & Yue Wang & Xiaokai Sun & Yukai Yao, 2022. "Review on Urban Flood Risk Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-24, December.
    18. Xuchao Yang & Lin Lin & Yizhe Zhang & Tingting Ye & Qian Chen & Cheng Jin & Guanqiong Ye, 2019. "Spatially Explicit Assessment of Social Vulnerability in Coastal China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-20, September.
    19. Kerim Koc & Zeynep Işık, 2020. "A multi-agent-based model for sustainable governance of urban flood risk mitigation measures," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 1079-1110, October.
    20. Muhammad Hussain & Muhammad Tayyab & Jiquan Zhang & Ashfaq Ahmad Shah & Kashif Ullah & Ummer Mehmood & Bazel Al-Shaibah, 2021. "GIS-Based Multi-Criteria Approach for Flood Vulnerability Assessment and Mapping in District Shangla: Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-29, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:92:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3244-9. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.