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Riverine flood assessment in Jhang district in connection with ENSO and summer monsoon rainfall over Upper Indus Basin for 2010

Author

Listed:
  • Bushra Khalid

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics
    International Islamic University
    International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)

  • Bueh Cholaw

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Débora Souza Alvim

    (National Institute for Space Research)

  • Shumaila Javeed

    (COMSATS Institute of Information Technology)

  • Junaid Aziz Khan

    (National University of Science and Technology (NUST))

  • Muhammad Asif Javed

    (COMSATS Institute of Information Technology)

  • Azmat Hayat Khan

    (Pakistan Meteorological Department)

Abstract

Pakistan has experienced severe floods over the past decades due to climate variability. Among all the floods, the flood of 2010 was the worst in history. This study focuses on the assessment of (1) riverine flooding in the district Jhang (where Jhelum and Chenab rivers join, and the district was severely flood affected) and (2) south Asiatic summer monsoon rainfall patterns and anomalies considering the case of 2010 flood in Pakistan. The land use/cover change has been analyzed by using Landsat TM 30 m resolution satellite imageries for supervised classification, and three instances have been compared, i.e., pre-flooding, flooding, and post-flooding. The water flow accumulation, drainage density and pattern, and river catchment areas have been calculated by using Shutter Radar Topography Mission digital elevation model 90 m resolution. The standard deviation of south Asiatic summer monsoon rainfall patterns, anomalies and normal (1979–2008) has been calculated for July, August, and September by using rainfall data set of Era interim (0.75° × 0.75° resolution). El Niño Southern Oscillation has also been considered for its role in prevailing rainfall anomalies during the year 2010 over Upper Indus Basin region. Results show the considerable changing of land cover during the three instances in the Jhang district and water content in the rivers. Abnormal rainfall patterns over Upper Indus Basin region prevailed during summer monsoon months in the year 2010 and 2011. The El Niño (2009–2010) and its rapid phase transition to La Niña (2011–2012) may be the cause of severity and disturbances in rainfall patterns during the year 2010. The Geographical Information System techniques and model based simulated climate data sets have been used in this study which can be helpful in developing a monitoring tool for flood management.

Suggested Citation

  • Bushra Khalid & Bueh Cholaw & Débora Souza Alvim & Shumaila Javeed & Junaid Aziz Khan & Muhammad Asif Javed & Azmat Hayat Khan, 2018. "Riverine flood assessment in Jhang district in connection with ENSO and summer monsoon rainfall over Upper Indus Basin for 2010," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 92(2), pages 971-993, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:92:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-018-3234-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-018-3234-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. N/A, 2004. "Index for 2004," European Union Politics, , vol. 5(4), pages 511-512, December.
    2. Nigel Arnell & Simon Gosling, 2016. "The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(3), pages 387-401, February.
    3. Kumar Gaurav & R. Sinha & P. Panda, 2011. "The Indus flood of 2010 in Pakistan: a perspective analysis using remote sensing data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(3), pages 1815-1826, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shakeel Mahmood & Asif Sajjad & Atta-ur Rahman, 2021. "Cause and damage analysis of 2010 flood disaster in district Muzaffar Garh, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(2), pages 1681-1692, June.
    2. Salman Atif & Muhammad Umar & Fahim Ullah, 2021. "Investigating the flood damages in Lower Indus Basin since 2000: Spatiotemporal analyses of the major flood events," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(2), pages 2357-2383, September.
    3. Asif Sajjad & Jianzhong Lu & Xiaoling Chen & Chikondi Chisenga & Nausheen Mazhar & Basit Nadeem, 2022. "Riverine flood mapping and impact assessment using remote sensing technique: a case study of Chenab flood-2014 in Multan district, Punjab, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(3), pages 2207-2226, February.
    4. Syeda Maria Ali & Bushra Khalid & Asma Akhter & Aneeza Islam & Shahzada Adnan, 2020. "Analyzing the occurrence of floods and droughts in connection with climate change in Punjab province, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2533-2559, September.

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