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Recent changes of extreme dryness/wetness pattern and its possible impact on rice productivity in Jiangsu Province, southeast China

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  • Jin Huang

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Fangmin Zhang

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Yan Xue

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

  • Qi Li

    (Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology)

Abstract

Based on the data of monthly precipitation and rice productivity at 61 meteorological stations in Jiangsu during 1966–2010, the possible impact of dryness/wetness variability on rice productivity was explored in this paper. Principal component analysis was applied to the climate-induced rice productivity index (CRPI) series and divided Jiangsu into six sub-regions—south, northwest, east, middle, southwest and northernmost. Mann–Kendall trend test for monthly Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) series in each sub-regions shows that most of Jiangsu was dominated by wetter tendency in August and drier tendency in September. CRPI had stronger negative correlation with monthly SPI series in the majority of sub-regions. Especially, the SPI in October, March, July and August had significantly negative linear relationship with CRPI in south Jiangsu, northwest Jiangsu, middle Jiangsu and southwest Jiangsu, respectively, which indicated the obvious unfavourable impact of extreme wetness episodes on rice productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin Huang & Fangmin Zhang & Yan Xue & Qi Li, 2016. "Recent changes of extreme dryness/wetness pattern and its possible impact on rice productivity in Jiangsu Province, southeast China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(3), pages 1967-1979, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:84:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2529-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2529-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jin Huang & Fangmin Zhang & Zhenghua Hu & Shutao Chen, 2019. "Climatology of rainfall erosivity during 1961–2012 in Jiangsu Province, southeast China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 98(3), pages 1155-1168, September.
    2. Jian Fang & Feng Kong & Jiayi Fang & Lin Zhao, 2018. "Observed changes in hydrological extremes and flood disaster in Yangtze River Basin: spatial–temporal variability and climate change impacts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 89-107, August.
    3. Jin Huang & Yadong Lei & Fangmin Zhang & Zhenghua Hu, 2017. "Spatio-temporal analysis of meteorological disasters affecting rice, using multi-indices, in Jiangsu province, Southeast China," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(4), pages 661-672, August.

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    Keywords

    Jiangsu; Rice; SPI;
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