IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v78y2015i1p497-515.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Is the S-shaped curve a general law? An application to evaluate the damage resulting from water-induced disasters

Author

Listed:
  • Minjian Chen
  • Jing Ma
  • Yajie Hu
  • Fei Zhou
  • Jinxiu Li
  • Long Yan

Abstract

Water-induced disasters are harmful and can cause drastic damage. The response to these disasters is critical, and this task continues to gain global attention. A quick and accurate assessment of the damage is vital to mitigate the effects of the water-induced disasters. This paper begins with exploring the S-shaped curve that is widely observed with many types of damage resulting from the various water-induced disasters. Following that, we propose a conceptual model using the grade of a disaster as the crucial factor and recommend a general function in the form of a hyperbolic tangent function. The damage assessment of the flood and drought events that occurred in the Yangtze River Delta was conducted to explain the processes involved in the function configuration. Flood season precipitation and soil moisture were incorporated into the flood and drought models, respectively, to simulate the functions in agricultural areas hit by drought or flood events. Comparing the calculated result and field survey shows the effectiveness of the proposed damaged estimate function. This proposed methodology can be used to quickly assess the flood and drought damage, and it can also be extended to other types of disasters. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Minjian Chen & Jing Ma & Yajie Hu & Fei Zhou & Jinxiu Li & Long Yan, 2015. "Is the S-shaped curve a general law? An application to evaluate the damage resulting from water-induced disasters," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(1), pages 497-515, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:78:y:2015:i:1:p:497-515
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-1723-9
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11069-015-1723-9
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-015-1723-9?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. Jonkman & J. Vrijling & A. Vrouwenvelder, 2008. "Methods for the estimation of loss of life due to floods: a literature review and a proposal for a new method," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(3), pages 353-389, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhi Xu & Jing Ma & Yajie Hu, 2019. "Saltwater Intrusion Function and Preliminary Application in the Yangtze River Estuary, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-19, January.
    2. Chaochao Li & Xiaotao Cheng & Na Li & Xiaohe Du & Qian Yu & Guangyuan Kan, 2016. "A Framework for Flood Risk Analysis and Benefit Assessment of Flood Control Measures in Urban Areas," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-18, August.
    3. Cui, Yi & Jiang, Shangming & Jin, Juliang & Ning, Shaowei & Feng, Ping, 2019. "Quantitative assessment of soybean drought loss sensitivity at different growth stages based on S-shaped damage curve," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 821-832.
    4. Dong, Xuefan & Liu, Yijung & Wu, Chao & Lian, Ying, 2019. "The topology of scale-free networks with an S-shaped nonlinear growth characteristic," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 137-148.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. George R. Priest & Laura L. Stimely & Nathan J. Wood & Ian P. Madin & Rudie J. Watzig, 2016. "Beat-the-wave evacuation mapping for tsunami hazards in Seaside, Oregon, USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1031-1056, January.
    2. R. Jelínek & E. Krausmann & M. González & J. Álvarez-Gómez & J. Birkmann & T. Welle, 2012. "Approaches for tsunami risk assessment and application to the city of Cádiz, Spain," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(2), pages 273-293, January.
    3. Mehdi Karbasi & Alireza Shokoohi & Bahram Saghafian, 2018. "Loss of Life Estimation Due to Flash Floods in Residential Areas using a Regional Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(14), pages 4575-4589, November.
    4. Animesh Gain & Vahid Mojtahed & Claudio Biscaro & Stefano Balbi & Carlo Giupponi, 2015. "An integrated approach of flood risk assessment in the eastern part of Dhaka City," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 79(3), pages 1499-1530, December.
    5. Nathan Wood & Jeff Peters, 2015. "Variations in population vulnerability to tectonic and landslide-related tsunami hazards in Alaska," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(2), pages 1811-1831, January.
    6. Wim Kellens & Ruud Zaalberg & Tijs Neutens & Wouter Vanneuville & Philippe De Maeyer, 2011. "An Analysis of the Public Perception of Flood Risk on the Belgian Coast," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(7), pages 1055-1068, July.
    7. David Ocio & Christian Stocker & Ángel Eraso & Arantza Martínez & José María Sanz Galdeano, 2016. "Towards a reliable and cost-efficient flood risk management: the case of the Basque Country (Spain)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(1), pages 617-639, March.
    8. Nathan Wood & Mathew Schmidtlein, 2012. "Anisotropic path modeling to assess pedestrian-evacuation potential from Cascadia-related tsunamis in the US Pacific Northwest," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 62(2), pages 275-300, June.
    9. Richard Franklin & Jemma King & Peter Aitken & Peter Leggat, 2014. "“Washed away”—assessing community perceptions of flooding and prevention strategies: a North Queensland example," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 1977-1998, September.
    10. Yijun Shi & Guofang Zhai & Shutian Zhou & Yuwen Lu & Wei Chen & Jinyang Deng, 2019. "How Can Cities Respond to Flood Disaster Risks under Multi-Scenario Simulation? A Case Study of Xiamen, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-18, February.
    11. Qiang Meng & Xiaobo Qu & Xinchang Wang & Vivi Yuanita & Siew Chee Wong, 2011. "Quantitative Risk Assessment Modeling for Nonhomogeneous Urban Road Tunnels," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(3), pages 382-403, March.
    12. Dongjing Huang & Zhongbo Yu & Yiping Li & Dawei Han & Lili Zhao & Qi Chu, 2017. "Calculation method and application of loss of life caused by dam break in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 85(1), pages 39-57, January.
    13. Wim Kellens & Tijs Neutens & Pieter Deckers & Johan Reyns & Philippe Maeyer, 2012. "Coastal flood risks and seasonal tourism: analysing the effects of tourism dynamics on casualty calculations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(3), pages 1211-1229, February.
    14. Borowska-Stefańska, Marta & Kobojek, Sławomir & Kowalski, Michał & Lewicki, Marek & Tomalski, Przemysław & Wiśniewski, Szymon, 2021. "Changes in the spatial development of flood hazard areas in Poland between 1990 and 2018 in the light of legal conditions," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    15. M. Peng & L. Zhang, 2012. "Analysis of human risks due to dam-break floods—part 1: a new model based on Bayesian networks," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 903-933, October.
    16. Sebastiaan N. Jonkman & Matthijs Kok & Johannes K. Vrijling, 2008. "Flood Risk Assessment in the Netherlands: A Case Study for Dike Ring South Holland," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 28(5), pages 1357-1374, October.
    17. Shakeel Mahmood & Asif Sajjad & Atta-ur Rahman, 2021. "Cause and damage analysis of 2010 flood disaster in district Muzaffar Garh, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(2), pages 1681-1692, June.
    18. Jean Paul Vanderlinden & Juan Baztan & Tracey Coates & Osiel Gonzalez Davila & Francois Hissel & Idrissa Oumar Kane & Phoebe Koundouri & Loraine McFadden & Dennis Parker & Edmund Penning-Rowsell & Luc, 2015. "Nonstructural Approaches to Coastal Risk Mitigations," DEOS Working Papers 1523, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    19. Simon Lloyd & R. Kovats & Zaid Chalabi & Sally Brown & Robert Nicholls, 2016. "Modelling the influences of climate change-associated sea-level rise and socioeconomic development on future storm surge mortality," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(3), pages 441-455, February.
    20. Wang, Te & Li, Zongkun & Ge, Wei & Zhang, Hua & Zhang, Yadong & Sun, Heqiang & Jiao, Yutie, 2023. "Risk consequence assessment of dam breach in cascade reservoirs considering risk transmission and superposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:78:y:2015:i:1:p:497-515. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.