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Drought severity change in China during 1961–2012 indicated by SPI and SPEI

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  • Wen Wang
  • Ye Zhu
  • Rengui Xu
  • Jintao Liu

Abstract

Using monthly meteorological observation data at 633 sites in China during 1961–2012, the drought severity change has been investigated in terms of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) with potential evapotranspiration estimated by the Penman–Monteith equation (SPEI_pm). Significant wetting appeared to have occurred in northwestern corner of China (Xinjiang Province), especially in winter. The middle to northeastern Tibetan Plateau also experienced wetting in the last 52 years in general. Significantly, drying occurred in Central China (mostly in the middle Yellow River basin) and southwestern China (Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau) in spring and in autumn. There is no evidence of an increase in drought severity over China taking the whole country into account. On the contrary, the hyper-arid and arid zones got significantly wetter in the last 52 years as indicated by both SPI and SPEI. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Wen Wang & Ye Zhu & Rengui Xu & Jintao Liu, 2015. "Drought severity change in China during 1961–2012 indicated by SPI and SPEI," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2437-2451, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:75:y:2015:i:3:p:2437-2451
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-014-1436-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aiguo Dai, 2013. "Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(1), pages 52-58, January.
    2. Aiguo Dai, 2013. "Erratum: Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(2), pages 171-171, February.
    3. Justin Sheffield & Eric F. Wood & Michael L. Roderick, 2012. "Little change in global drought over the past 60 years," Nature, Nature, vol. 491(7424), pages 435-438, November.
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    3. Gauranshi Raj Singh & Manoj Kumar Jain & Vivek Gupta, 2019. "Spatiotemporal assessment of drought hazard, vulnerability and risk in the Krishna River basin, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(2), pages 611-635, November.
    4. Myoung-Jin Um & Mun Mo Kim & Yeonjoo Kim & Daeryong Park, 2018. "Drought Assessment with the Community Land Model for 1951–2010 in East Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, June.
    5. Lingkui Meng & Ting Dong & Wen Zhang, 2016. "Drought monitoring using an Integrated Drought Condition Index (IDCI) derived from multi-sensor remote sensing data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1135-1152, January.
    6. Rui Zhang & Taotao Chen & Daocai Chi, 2020. "Global Sensitivity Analysis of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index at Different Time Scales in Jilin Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-19, February.
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    8. Jimmy Byakatonda & B. P. Parida & Ditiro B. Moalafhi & Piet K. Kenabatho & David Lesolle, 2020. "Investigating relationship between drought severity in Botswana and ENSO," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(1), pages 255-278, January.
    9. Xianxian Leng & Xiaogang Liu & Yanli Gao & Yujie Liu & Qiliang Yang & Guangzhao Sun & Youliang Peng & Yifeng Huang, 2020. "Drought assessment of southwestern China based on HadGEM2-ES model under representative concentration pathway 4.5 scenario," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 102(1), pages 307-334, May.
    10. Lingkui Meng & Ting Dong & Wen Zhang, 2016. "Drought monitoring using an Integrated Drought Condition Index (IDCI) derived from multi-sensor remote sensing data," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(2), pages 1135-1152, January.
    11. Yi Liu & Zhongyun Ni & Yinbing Zhao & Guoli Zhou & Yuhao Luo & Shuai Li & Dong Wang & Shaowen Zhang, 2022. "Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Driving Forces of Drying Trends on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Based on Geomorphological Division," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-31, June.

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