IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v116y2023i3d10.1007_s11069-023-05822-4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparison of machine learning tools for damage classification: the case of L’Aquila 2009 earthquake

Author

Listed:
  • F. Michele

    (Gran Sasso Science Institute (GSSI))

  • E. Stagnini

    (Gran Sasso Science Institute (GSSI))

  • D. Pera

    (University of L’Aquila)

  • B. Rubino

    (University of L’Aquila)

  • R. Aloisio

    (Gran Sasso Science Institute (GSSI)
    INFN-Laboratori Nazionali del Gran Sasso)

  • A. Askan

    (Middle East Technical University)

  • P. Marcati

    (Gran Sasso Science Institute (GSSI))

Abstract

On April 6, 2009, a strong earthquake (6.1 Mw) struck the city of L’Aquila, which was severely damaged as well as many neighboring towns. After this event, a digital model of the region affected by the earthquake was built and a large amount of data was collected and made available. This allowed us to obtain a very detailed dataset that accurately describes a typical historic city in central Italy. Building on this work, we propose a study that employs machine learning (ML) tools to predict damage to buildings after the 2009 earthquake. The used dataset, in its original form, contains 21 features, in addition to the target variable which is the level of damage. We are able to differentiate between light, moderate and heavy damage with an accuracy of 59%, by using the Random Forest (RF) algorithm. The level of accuracy remains almost stable using only the 12 features selected by the Boruta algorithm. In both cases, the RF tool showed an excellent ability to distinguish between moderate-heavy and light damage: around the 3% of the buildings classified as seriously damaged were labeled by the algorithm as minor damage.

Suggested Citation

  • F. Michele & E. Stagnini & D. Pera & B. Rubino & R. Aloisio & A. Askan & P. Marcati, 2023. "Comparison of machine learning tools for damage classification: the case of L’Aquila 2009 earthquake," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3521-3546, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:116:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-023-05822-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-05822-4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-023-05822-4
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-023-05822-4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kursa, Miron B. & Rudnicki, Witold R., 2010. "Feature Selection with the Boruta Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 36(i11).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tong, Jianfeng & Liu, Zhenxing & Zhang, Yong & Zheng, Xiujuan & Jin, Junyang, 2023. "Improved multi-gate mixture-of-experts framework for multi-step prediction of gas load," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    2. Asma Shaheen & Javed Iqbal, 2018. "Spatial Distribution and Mobility Assessment of Carcinogenic Heavy Metals in Soil Profiles Using Geostatistics and Random Forest, Boruta Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Ramón Ferri-García & María del Mar Rueda, 2022. "Variable selection in Propensity Score Adjustment to mitigate selection bias in online surveys," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(6), pages 1829-1881, December.
    4. Manuel J. García Rodríguez & Vicente Rodríguez Montequín & Francisco Ortega Fernández & Joaquín M. Villanueva Balsera, 2019. "Public Procurement Announcements in Spain: Regulations, Data Analysis, and Award Price Estimator Using Machine Learning," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-20, November.
    5. Sangjin Kim & Jong-Min Kim, 2019. "Two-Stage Classification with SIS Using a New Filter Ranking Method in High Throughput Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-16, May.
    6. Foutzopoulos, Giorgos & Pandis, Nikolaos & Tsagris, Michail, 2024. "Predicting full retirement attainment of NBA players," MPRA Paper 121540, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Zhao-Yue Chen & Hervé Petetin & Raúl Fernando Méndez Turrubiates & Hicham Achebak & Carlos Pérez García-Pando & Joan Ballester, 2024. "Population exposure to multiple air pollutants and its compound episodes in Europe," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Schrader, Silja & Graham, Sonia & Campbell, Rebecca & Height, Kaitlyn & Hawkes, Gina, 2024. "Grower attitudes and practices toward area-wide management of cropping weeds in Australia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    9. Piotr Pomorski & Denise Gorse, 2023. "Improving Portfolio Performance Using a Novel Method for Predicting Financial Regimes," Papers 2310.04536, arXiv.org.
    10. Caperna, Giulio & Colagrossi, Marco & Geraci, Andrea & Mazzarella, Gianluca, 2022. "A babel of web-searches: Googling unemployment during the pandemic," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    11. Hakan Pabuccu & Adrian Barbu, 2023. "Feature Selection with Annealing for Forecasting Financial Time Series," Papers 2303.02223, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    12. Abolfazl Mollalo & Kiara M. Rivera & Behzad Vahedi, 2020. "Artificial Neural Network Modeling of Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Incidence Rates across the Continental United States," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-13, June.
    13. Faisal Alsayegh & Moh A Alkhamis & Fatima Ali & Sreeja Attur & Nicholas M Fountain-Jones & Mohammad Zubaid, 2022. "Anemia or other comorbidities? using machine learning to reveal deeper insights into the drivers of acute coronary syndromes in hospital admitted patients," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(1), pages 1-15, January.
    14. Basso, Franco & Cox, Tomás & Pezoa, Raúl & Maldonado, Tomás & Varas, Mauricio, 2024. "Characterizing last-mile freight transportation using mobile phone data: The case of Santiago, Chile," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    15. Andrea Albergoni & Florentina J. Hettinga & Wim Stut & Francesco Sartor, 2020. "Factors Influencing Walking and Exercise Adherence in Healthy Older Adults Using Monitoring and Interfacing Technology: Preliminary Evidence," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-18, August.
    16. Franck Ramaharo & Fitiavana Randriamifidy, 2023. "Determinants of renewable energy consumption in Madagascar: Evidence from feature selection algorithms," Papers 2401.13671, arXiv.org.
    17. Yu, Yang & Yu, Qinghua & Luo, RunSen & Chen, Sheng & Yang, Jiebo & Yan, Fuwu, 2024. "Degradation and polarization curve prediction of proton exchange membrane fuel cells: An interpretable model perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).
    18. Weichun Zhang & Yunyi Zhang & Xin Zhang & Wei Wu & Hongbin Liu, 2024. "The Spatiotemporal Variability of Soil Available Phosphorus and Potassium in Karst Region: The Crucial Role of Socio-Geographical Factors," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-21, June.
    19. Jamei, Mehdi & Ali, Mumtaz & Karbasi, Masoud & Xiang, Yong & Ahmadianfar, Iman & Yaseen, Zaher Mundher, 2022. "Designing a Multi-Stage Expert System for daily ocean wave energy forecasting: A multivariate data decomposition-based approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    20. Gang Chen & Xianju Li & Weitao Chen & Xinwen Cheng & Yujin Zhang & Shengwei Liu, 2014. "Extraction and application analysis of landslide influential factors based on LiDAR DEM: a case study in the Three Gorges area, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 509-526, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:116:y:2023:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-023-05822-4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.